@ Levsha
AT the contrary, actually almost all military project and most of civilian one seems to present serious drawbacks in a sense or the other.
Probleem it was that in my own post I was not in any way talking about today: I was talking about the costant german habit to develop, for political reasons mainly, their own military planes always in collaboration with a foreign partner.
Fact is that until they were bilateral ones (Alpha jet, Transall) thing went smooth as it happened also with other of such deals around the world (Jaguar, Soko/Orao, AMX…), when things instead went multilateral or better european (Tornado, Typhoon) they went absolutely much more troubled.
Probably, as the more parties are involved the more a compromise between different requirements and worksharing became exponentially much more difficult.
Happened also with the naval Horizon program if you see, too different requirements, too different costructive standards , too different the same strategical insight and the mindset of the navies involved in the project.
So, to sum it up I just doesn’t get how the idea that I was talking about actual program going on (all IMHO at such an initial stage that we cannot get in any way a precise idea how they would end up) and not about the past examples of international collaboration has came out from nothing…
Excuse me, I’m not a native speaker, so I said notable instead of “worth noting”.
And a successful project in my mind means: completed and operative in about the scheduled times, produced in about the numbers that they are supposed to and with not too much cost increase in relation to what was originally forecasted. Export numbers is just something you cannot foresee during development.
So, according to the top of your head, actual Vauxhall are british cars.
Let’s say that there are a lot of successful planes born by the collaboration of two nation, practically there is not any German notable post-WWII planes that is not born from a program with France.
Seems that problem arise when the number of nation involved rise up, the tri-national Tornado was almost troubled, the Eurofighter program an absolute mess.
Maybe Tempest i.e. a national program but utilizing contributions from foreign industries would be a safer way.
The example of the Gripen E/F i.e a swedish plane with italian avionics and an american engine is a clear indication of how it will be working just fine.
@FBW
????????
I’ve said nothing about AIM-120D range, also because I didn’t like the male reproductive organ measuration context” that usually spang forth from such kind of discourse.
It’s quite evident that such inflated numbers refers to large, not manoeuvrable planes like AEW, tankers or transport, not small, low RCS and agile 4+ fighters.
As soon they made even a simple high G turn the advantage of a more efficient flight path just wane away, period.
About the “I want it to be true” , the usual design, development, production and introduction into service procedure in use by the Soviet, now Russian is the one I highlighted, period also in this case.
That everything doesn’t even go smoothly (Delays, insufficient performances of some components as in the example you have done) is just in the normal order of things, same as it happen with other procedures, last but not least the standard western one ( that is NOT the F-35 one, thank God).
And yes, you are right, in the standard Sov/Rus there is a concurrency phase by default and is precisely the (very delicate) one in which Su-57 actually is: between the beginning of the industrialization process with the production of the “first serials”, the end of State Trials and the awarding of the first contracted batch, all things that are pursued in parallel and not sequentially.
And in any case, it’s not a better or a worse way of doing thing compared to other, it’s just their own way, responding to their perceived needs, their well established doctrine and their own economical/productive structure.
So, if someone try to made forecast on the future production perspectives of a Russian military planes without keeping in mind those peculiar way of advance things or even worse try to apply the usual western model to it can only FAIL in a spectacular way, like an example someone thinking that the just contracted batch of 12 Su-57 in the 2018-2027 SAP means that they would serially produce 1,2 planes at year in the average…:stupid:
@ XB-70
Let’s add another important point:
4) There is not any rush to put it in service as a substitute for obsolescent fighters.
Su-57 would have been the substitute for Su-27, together with the Su-35S.
ATM only an handful of Cold War era Su-27 (P &S model) are still in service and still have flight hours available, Su-27 SM are from 2004 onward and are being updated to SM3 standard.
So the first ones would probably be replaced with an additional batch of Su-35, for the other they could surely wait for the izdelje-30 version as they were envisaged to from the very beginning.
@ Eagle
>> Italy would make sense in terms of industrial set-up as mentioned above…Not sure that Politics will follow due to the poor state of Italian finance and the fact that they are quite involved with the F35 (with an assembly line).
???? and Uk is not fully involved in F-35 also? Or you think they would cancel the order and will sell Queen Elizabeth????
Let’s clear a thing : there is not any plane called Tempest as for now, just a fancy mock-up, they talk to have it operational about 2035 i.e. after ALL the others 6th gen projects already announced.
So they would be the successor of current Typhoons, putting all the european nations that had a part into the Eurofighter program at the same level.
Neither it is necessary that they would join in a multinational program of the same dimension and complexity: given that the forecasted economy of scale never
materialized, or better was eaten up by the time and money needed to armonize the different requisites, maybe it would be better to just limit themselves to a more modest bilateral collaboration.
Think about Jaguar, Alpha jet and in our case AMX or even the different twins Yak-130/M-346 joint programs, all of them worked surely better than Typhoon and Tornado ones.
@ Swerwe
Aehm, I just remember you that both radar and IRST of Gripen E are from Leonardo.
So, you can surely get the swedes aboard but they would just eat up the british share of it, without touching the Leonardo’s one at all.
In the case of the Tempest, Leonardo will have a consistent share of the whole program independently by any further italian commitment in it.
In the case Italy would decide to fully enter in the program, the share would just increase.
@Levsha
No, Russian sequence is acceptance trials, state test completion, first serial, serial production and officially entering in service.
All those term indicates something with a completely different meaning from the wastern ones.
Acceptance trials are made at a very initial stage of development, just for to compliance between the offered product and the performance requested, state trials encompasses the most part of the development , first serial production has nothing to do with IOC but it’s just the way to hone assembly line procedures, serial production phase happen after the state trials are completed while official entering in service marks the moment the planes are handled exclusively by the Air force with not any intervention by the production’s association support team (and with no further post production fixing).
I wouldn’t call 12 Su-57 by 2021 ‘full scale serial production’, period.
Infact they call it just “first contracted batch” but in the case they would be produced on a fully developed assembly line and with the same work schedule they would use in other full scale serial production (i.e. instead of working them one after one on a single bench) they would qualify as such anyway, just limited to a ludicrous number of planes.
And no, 12 Su-57 by 2021 doesn’t mean absolutely that there would not be produced more of them before of that date, just that eventual new contracts would eventually fall into the 2018-2027 state acquisition programme, that’s already started.
So it could be either that in the end only 12 Su-57 would be ordered in total or that after this first contract, awarded for the 2011-2020 state acquisition programme, another one would immediately follow, just being inserted into the 2018-2027 one.
Most probable thing is however IMHO would be that after the first batch with -117 engines they would wait for the development of izdelye 30 to be completed and produce the whole of Su-57S in 2021-2030 state acquisition programme timeframe, covering the substitution of the remaining su-27 P and S models with Su-35 instead.
Let’s put it in that way: actually what we have it’s a fancy mock up and a timeline going to 2035, lot of time to finalize a project.
Fact is that , differently of what giganick1 said there is not a “british side of electronics business” in SeleX, all the intellectual property of their actual product line belong to Leonardo, so no possibility to just award contract to a local subsidiary.
And if someone has to be wary about an joint venture, that’s is Italy, that would have to accept to operate outside an european legal framework and the possibility to tap on european common defence funding, not the UK.
@ XB-70
fact is that in Russian/Soviet acquisition process there is nothing like IOC (and consequently LRIP) , full scale serial production begin when the item is fully ready, period.
So, just the bench tests is just not enough to begin it.
Perhaps Marcellego could comment on the reported Leonardo involvement?
The Italians being frozen out by the French-German combo might see a worthwhile collaboration a la Tornado?
Words are on a 27% of Leonardo quote in the project. Financial press have confirmed it-
I’m not sure that it translates much beyond UK IP at this stage. I would imagine that Italy are in the sort of mess that we could be in if there is a change of government in the UK. Can you foresee us progressing with future fighters if the Conservatives lose power in the next year?
It translate in : WE OWN SELEX ES i.e. the one that has incorporated former Ferranti and Marconi, so if you want to put a radar on Tempest without us, you have to buy it off the shelf abroad or build back an indigenous avio electronic industry from the scratch.
Sweden and Italy are also unaligned (and I’m not clear on why the potential partners need to be outside of the EU)?
Ahem, maybe the government are but that 27% of Leonardo share is more enough to say that Italy is on it from Day One.
Crew, it seems me that you are just adding confusion (and flames) to an already tangled argument.
Let me just reply to someone in orden to clarify some point:
@ FBW I honestly don’t understand if in your post are you talking about su-57 or F-35.
Because I kinda remember that one of the goals stated in the latter development was to reduce tools when compared to legacy planes, while I am not aware of anything similar said about Su-57.
let’s say that there is a lot of difference regarding tooling and above all environmental requirements between a legacy western plane and Sov/Russian ones, actual or old.
In any case a stealth plane need specific tooling compared to a more conventional, just for keeping their own level of RCS over time.
Surely the tooling needed by F-35 will be more efficient that the logistical nightmares of the “legacy” F-117, B-2 and F-22A but they will pose a significant burden anyway.
And Russian have no legacy VLO planes, so the use of the term “finer services” made sense according to their own POW.
@ FalconDude
Isn’t the F-35 the plane the Su-57 is supposed to counter and/or match? (and the similar or better F-22)?
Well, No ,no, no and against no.
Russians have never had anything that would even getting close to the concept and the production share of the low end multirole fighters of the USAF.
Both during the Cold War than today they had a vaste array of planes, each covering a well specific mission.
So there will not be NEVER a plane like the F-35 accounting for the 80% of the total fighter line in russian service, like there were not a single counterpart of the F-16 during Cold War but several specialized models (ever more than one for a given role like in the case of Su-17/Mig-27).
@KGB
Statements
* Su-57 is to replace current T-10 platform (Su-27, 30, 35), with 35 being the last of the model
and
* Current plan is for 12 Su-57’s by 2025. That number can easily change since nothing is in writing
are contradictory one another and make not sense.
The procedure of ordering just a batch at time it’s not an oddity but a cardinal point of russian procurement system like also the one of having in store both a model making the best possible use of actual technologies (i.e. the Su-35 in the given case) and one (the PAK-FA) pushing forward to keep the pace of technological advancement.
Given that russian state control both the research bureaus, the production facility than the armed forces they have not to ensure a several decades long commitment to buy planes in the orders of hundreds or thousands pieces from the industry in order to get them to invest in the project.
They pay bureaus for prototypes, production facilities for putting on an assembly and decide the production numbers on the very run, according to the actual situation, not placing orders several years before the actual finalization of a project.
IMHO I thing it refers to the initial (-117 powered) model that would NOT be produced in any big number in any case, what seems me to be changed is the data of the production of the definitive version of the plane that have been shifted to 2023 instead of 2021 (but in this case it is possible that with the latter they referred to the 2021-2030 state armament programme).
And really. they have stated quite clearly where the problem lie: 5gen planes (ANY of them) are much more in need “of finer service” i.e. they not just need more maintenance hour compared to a 4,5 gen but even specifically built tools.
There is another problem: what is the planes that it is poised to substitute? Just Su-27 P & S? Actually there are less than 80 still in service and Su-35 and Su-30SM actually are acquired as their replacement.
Or maybe it’s better not to have one dedicated thread for it and post the very few news about it in the general russian one.