HYPOTHETICAL RUSSIAN STRATEGIC NUCLEAR ARSENAL IN 2015

ICBMs

SS-27 3x500kT 300 900 450MT CEP=100M SILO
SS-27 6x100kT 300 1800 180MT CEP=100M MOBILE
————————————————–
TOTAL: 600 launchers, 2700 warheads with 690MT

SLBMs

SS-N-23 10x100kT 96 960 96MT CEP=200m 6 DELTA IV
SS-N-30 10x500kT 64 640 320MT CEP=100m 4 BOREY
———————————————————–
TOTAL: 160 launchers, 1600 warheads with 416MT on 10 SSBN

BOMBERS

TU-95MS 8xH-101 60 480 48MT CEP=10m
TU-160M 12xH-101 15 180 18MT CEP=10m
———————————————
TOTAL: 75 strategic bombers, 660 ALCMs with 66MT

GRAND TOTAL: 835 LAUNCHERS, 4960 WARHEADS with 1012MT

QUESTIONS:

1. Is it possible at all?
2. How many would it cost?
3. Would it assure nuclear parity with US?

No, because there will be no threat to NATO from Russia from a large number of SS-20s and vice versa with the GLCMs and Pershing IIs.

Relating to the Russian threat to NATO you are right BUT NOT vice-versa! Now US nuclear arsenal poses a huge threat to Russia as you can read in the article “The End of MAD” by Keir A. Lieber, Daryl G. Press and especially watching a great discussion after its publication. In short, it seems US really seeks nuclear supremacy over Russia but doing this quite secretly. So, wider public opinion in US, Russia and elsewhere can’t discover this move. Without wider discussion here I think such US ideas like ABM lauchers in Poland or Czech Republic and ABM radar sites in Georgia or Azerbajan are aimed at Russia first! Only crazy blinders or morons can belive that Iran, DPRK or similiar underdeveloped country is a real nuclear challenge to the US. On the other hand let’s be frankly here: Putin’s Russia is practically in process of abandoning its strategic nuclear arsenal to the level when it won’t be capable to make any “unacceptable damage” to the US. Anyway if Russia doesn’t become wise, its stupid nuclear policy will bring very lamentable results.

I don’t know if this probable that Russian INF withdrawal isn’t some kind of an empty trick aimed at cheating Russian public opinion that Kremlin is doing something to prevent growing US aggressiveness. So, it is also possible that Russian “INF withdrawal” can result only in an empty declaration because Russian rulers won’t start to produce any new nuclear IRBM.

One is obvious to me taken entire basic facts together: If Russia finally destroys its military power as all recent Kremlin’s moves indicate, Russia contemporaneously risks becoming a Western “Bananaland” because Russian nuclear might is the last Russian trump card in that world and the last object of Western concerns.

redicable move seeing how close countries like China, Iran, NK, East Europa(ICBM defence) , etc. starts arming with nuclear weapons. Its unneeded expencive to hold Topol-M against China or Iran. IRBM will be much cheaper. If the current world arming trend continues i expect Russian starts to field IRBM’s in about 10-15 years – when China , Iran, etc. aquire enouth nukes to threat Russia.

Yes, but now Russia doesn’t possess any IRBM missile project on schedule and “Islander” missile has insufficient range. So, Russia will design some brand-new IRBM or will restore SS-20/28 production?