yah, the west were sending their strike a/c from the west, what a mind job,
it must have taken the Serbs several seconds to figure that one out
Brilliant post, it really shows that you don’t read any of the links that you post. Picking and choosing the bits and pieces of articles and information that fit your views don’t fly when any person can look up the original.
Edit- bit harsh, but come on! Knowing the routes, times, and comms allowed for an intelligent battery commander to take a shot at an aircraft flying in close proximity, ONCE. Hardly a recipe for success. It was a propaganda coup, not some cataclysmal shift in aerial combat that renders LO technology obsolete. There were important lessons learned, mostly about the tactical employment and support.
If you look at how the USAF have utilised their stealthy assets in the past this is exactly what has happened. Apaches struck the initial S&T Iraqi radars prior to F-117 insertions in 1991. The one technology that we know has drastically improved since that time is EM detection and processing, and in the case of the future operators of the JSF their nations have spent an awful lot more on ELINT & Digital C3 than any supposed opposition has. “A Force multiplier” may be a nasty buzzword but its hard to deny that the current NATO methods have proved very effective
Agreed, good post.
the “alleged” error refer to the sentence and concern tactical alleged error,
i.e the jammer _should_ have kept closer to be of assistanceYou just said it yourself right above this statement, the serbs popping on radar right when you cant expect it,
yet you think that will change ??!
or are you referring to only Serbs will ever use this tactic and NATO won’t fight them again ?
If you’ve read the entire article from which you posted the quote, you know that there was not a single point of failure that led to the successful shoot down, there were several.
The threats posed by a defense similar to what the Serb missile batteries attempted in Kosovo will always be present. Their motive was to survive, constitute a threat, and win a propaganda victory. In that, they succeeded because we are still talking about the shoot down of the F-117. A look a map would instruct that particular tactic did not work for their overall aims.
The F-35 is not an F-117. It has countermeasures, sophisticated IDAS, and the speed and maneuverability of a fighter to counter a similar threat. Whatever one’s views of the F-35’s maneuverability, it still poses a roll rate, and instantaneous turn far in excess of the F-117.
@ Obligatory-
an EA-6B support
jammer that was said to have been operating not only too far away
from the F-117 (80 to 100 miles) to have been of much protective
value, but also out of proper alignment with the offending threat
radars, resulting in inefficient jamming.
– is there any reason you left out the word “alleged” from the above quote. Reading the whole article, several things become clear: While you are using the article to support the idea that a jamming aircraft needs to x distance away from the targeting radar, the article gives no such evidence. The article does give a clear picture to cascade of failures that led to the shootdown.
Second, the lessons from Kosovo do not necessarily instruct how the F-35, F-22 et al. would be employed in future conflicts. The Serb air defenses were more concerned with survival and representing a threat in being, than denial of airspace. They were popping up for short periods of time to avoid becoming a target. The article refers to the EA-6b being 80 miles away and therefore unable to offer protection. Did it occur to you that with a popup threat like that SA-3 battery, the EA-6B had no time to react, or fire a HARM that would have forced the battery to shut down, therefore it was too far away to protect the F-117. Modern LO aircraft have integrated defensive avionics that update the pilot on detection ranges from threat emitters, and mission planning goes into avoiding those threats.
@Msphere
When the F-35 get operational, it WILL be implemented together with Growler NGJ on any mission that would be required, bar bombing Cavemen in Iraq and Stan. Most likely there was even Growler involved in Syria recent.
– why wouldn’t they use Growlers, MALD-J, and hopefully the NGJ (barring budget nix)? It is just sensible to protect assets and pilots in a combat situation. (Apologize if this was your point)
@ Snafu
The F35 can’t operate effectively without ECM support either.
What was your point again?
– why because you read an online commentary that VHF radars make stealth obsolete?
Those claiming the F-35 can’t operate without ECM support are making a generalization that somehow this diminishes the value of said aircraft. First of all, it would depend on the target and the threat would it not? Second, ECM support would be of greater benefit for F-35 with it’s already reduced detectability ( and freedom of action), than for say, an F-15E which would still be vulnerable. Lastly, that is not at all the lesson from Kosovo.
If we shall get as far back as to Mao or Stalin, then why don’t you bash Japanese or Germans? 😉
I would rather agree that any bombing campaign will kill a multitude of people that the targeting nation does not intend to kill. I would disagree with you that the U.S. or euro nations have been any more indiscriminate than the Russian leveling of Grozny during the Chechnya wars. They set a rather high bar for any nation to reach. We have those on this forum who love to pretend that collateral damage is unique to NATO. Air warfare is indiscriminate, technology can only go so far. In the words of “buster” Glosson, ” if your bombing, your going to kill several hundred people your not mad at”. – edit it was Tony McPeak
That is not meant to be an attack on Russian intervention in Chechnya, they lacked the PGMs and targeting available to Coalition nations during recent wars, it is an observation on the double standards applied. There is NO such thing as a “clean” bombing campaign.
TVIP – In the case of the USAF (and everyone except the USN), what giant fleet of supporting assets are you talking about? The EF-111 and F-4G have been gone for a while, in case you hadn’t noticed, and the USAF has not even bought into AGM-88E for its remaining F-16CJs.
That’s one reason why the Growlers are tabbed as a shared asset by USN and USAF. It is also why the USAF was looking to put Air Force EWO in backseats of EA-18’s. http://www.mountainhome.af.mil/news/story.asp?id=123261853
And one of the arguments Boeing made for continued Growler production. Realistically, is there a situation where the USAF would be involved in an air campaign without Navy assets? The sharing of assets and joint operations are at the very heart of AirSea Battle doctrine.
Actually, both CAO and JPO came in @ a $1trillion lifecycle sustainment costs (excluding the $400bn “design & build” costs). Factors including fuel burn rates may drive the sustainment costs much higher.
You linked the report from March 2013, here’s yesterday’s publication:
Oops on the link, had both open on computer. The JPO sustainment estimate was higher than previous, but still a significant 100 billion lower than CAPE estimate. In truth, after reading the report twice, I have little faith in the accuracy of any of the sustainment estimates.
Thanks, Spudman that was the point I was making. Your short sentence and chart did a better job than my three posts.
What was the JPO’s figure at the time of the 2012 GAO estimates?
Same for the costs of the lots? What were the JPO estimates and GAO estimates and the final figures.
I don’t expect you to go google these for me. I’m making the point that you have not supplied comparison figures that show the GAO estimate being more “wrong” than the JPO or LM estimates.
A single figure that shows the GAO were out by 200billion is meaningless if the JPO figures were out by significantly more.
If the GAO figures are consistently nearer the “real” figure than those of the JPO, or other entity, to claim that the GAO is “wrong” is disingenious at best.
Never claimed they were more “wrong”. The point being that JPO, CAPE, and the GAO (based partly on CAPE) numbers all differ. If you look at the costs projected vs. the contracts signed for production lots, there has been a positive downward trend even with changes to the production schedule and funding uncertainty. I’d be willing to bet the sustainment costs are closer to the JPO estimates based on those trends.
They have? Evidence please.
Well, lets start with the trillion dollar costs estimated in 2012, then revised to 857 billion in 2013.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/21/lockheed-fighter-idUSL2N0GM1OP20130821
other estimates:
http://breakingdefense.com/2014/04/dod-says-f-35-costs-drop-but-hill-aide-predicts-rise-peo-slams-pratt-whitney/
Lets look at lots 6,7. http://www.dodbuzz.com/2013/09/28/lockheed-inks-two-more-f-35-contracts/
That’s just two examples from five minutes of google. The issue with the GAO reports in regard to predicting F-35 costs is that the numbers they use are already old or obsolete by the time the reports are issued.
Here is the full report for Sept 2014:
http://www.gao.gov/assets/660/652948.pdf
No comment on this, read the whole article. There are many large numbers floating around on the sustainment costs of the F-35, GAO has been consistently wrong since the reset, however. The full report will be interesting for sure.
One possible reason for this:
I guess that could be such reason for this Western Intelligence agencies would have been keeping distance from this BUK M1 subject, after all this subject could be almost equivalent to a singularity (black hole) in terms of the Intelligence Agencies, since this approach there is no escape, so the farther it is better.
I even make a wild guess that those Intelligence agencies could have been advising their respective governments that nobody should makes a request for an audit of the SAM BUK M1 under the supervision from NATO, in order to confirm that none unit of the BUK M1 from Ukraine Army would be missing.
Despite everything those Western agencies could not have this information in precise order about how many units from SAM BUK M1 had remained in Ukraine after the dissolution from Soviet Union.
However Russia must know the number and would be eager to see the result of such audit in reason of the War in 2008 against Georgia.
Here is the question in the end, there is no rational person who could argue that there was not material aid from Russia to the rebels. It happened, the Russian military did supply arms to the rebels to some degree. If those arms included the BUK system in question (which is hard to prove for obvious reasons, it was supposed to be), then that is the issue at hand. There was not a phantom jet firing rounds into an airliner, that is an absurd conclusion based on air that does not hold up to the smell test. What is difficult to grasp is the apologist theories that absolve the rebels from culpability based on some posters worldview. Would it matter if it were a Russian airliner downed by Ukrainian forces as it was flying westward? Would those on that flight be any less dead? Yet the attitude of some would have you believe that the rebels were justified in pulling the trigger because the “West” kills people in airstrikes all the time. How about the fact that the action itself was negligent? Was KAL 007 a culpable act by the west due to surveillance by spy planes?
ook, western countries never operate covertly anywhere, ever. Only the bad Russians do that.
Bad bad Russians.
Nic
Here is the problem with that attitude, there is no moral difference. Killing civilians is wrong, period. There is no bad West or bad Russians, in war mistakes are made, bad policy decisions are made. The worst mistake is trying to cover it up with excuses and twisted logic. There is a very alarming attempt to make a comparison with actions of the U.S et al. with Russia and others to justify actions taken which don’t deserve explanations. Nations act on self-interest, it is not always pretty.
Ah, ok, so Russian TV reporters being detained, killed, and kicked out of Ukraine after being assaulted means what exactly?
That is your proof of organized Russian military units? Please.
The BBC story was about reporters interviewing a sister of a Russian serviceman killed (allegedly) in Ukraine. The news crew was roughed up in Russia not Ukraine, this is not the first report of intimidation of journalists trying to cover the deaths of Russian servicemen said to have been killed in Ukraine. I’m sure your aware of the incidents.
errr.
The Airborne Laser Boeing YAL 1
Err. YAL was defunded and project ended quite some time ago. Having a airliner sized offensive laser not in the scope of current developments. It was a BMD project anyway.
lol
SAAB and EMBRAER visit carrier SAO PAULO on last September 04
The team was analising and collecting data to assure if a Gripen Naval Version can operates, with safety, in the carrier NAe São Paulo.
Clearly this will be a painful process, what with a probe on the nosecone and all.