There will be more than 4000 D-30 thanks IL-76 operations. There will be 1000 PS-90. and huge amount of PD-XX will come online in due course. Russian aviation sector is creating long term profitability starting from raw materials like Titanium to down stream Airline and chopper firms.
A330 sales are good for EADS & there suppliers but it does not mean it is good for EU as its sales to Middleasern airlines are killing EU airline industry. No one in EU can match Aeroflot/Volga Denpr profits despite using inefficient aircrafts in the portfolio. There will be no commercial competitor to IL-76/An-124 from China or West.
WOW You really do believe that don’t you JSR! For you the Russian aerospace is this massive powerhouse with all its il76, D-30 engines and PS-90!
Nobody in the EU can match Aeroflot/Volga Depnr profits!?!?
I hate to burst your bubble but the Aerospace industry of Canada is worth more then Russia’s as for the EU well its larger and worth more in exports then Russia, Canada, Brazil, Japan, India, China, South Africa and Australia combined. The only place that is worth more and produces more is America. 1000 possible PS-90 pffft:rolleyes: CFM produces over 1200 engines a year! Snecma and Rolls-Royce hold 40% of the global aero engine market alone! No commercial competitor to the IL-76/AN124…well that is debatable. Both those types are serving a niche out sized cargo market and the vast majority of cargo aircraft globally are airliner conversions of Western types.
I look at percentage component in each aviation product and its original source of IP. For example 70% of components of An-148/158 series will come from Russia. And 80% of An-124 at this point.
There is no way 70% of components of A330 will come from France or B787 coming from US at this point. Chinese export product has dubious component source.
Outsourcing is a normal component of aerospace production that has paid off well for the Western aerospace industry. Russian lack of parts availability due to lack of outsourcing has been detrimental to Russian sales and the new Superjet adopts the Western outsourcing model.
As I mentioned before only low tier stuff sells because they have been upgraded with foreign components and engines. Even J-7 has western components like radar. J-17 has western ejection seat.
CAC will fit as much or as little Western components as you want with the J-7, you can have perfectly decent Chinese radar, avionics and ejector seats if you want or pix and mix western stuff. The first batch of JF-17 had Chinese zero-zero ejector seats, Pakistan decided that later batches would have MB seats as per prior policy.
I agree to a degree TR1 the JF-17 has been hyped by some people to be the next Mig-21 but the fact is the aircraft has barely entered service with its primary customer nation and production is pretty much locked into servicing their needs. Its way to early to judge if it will be a sales success especially as it hasn’t got a domestic engine yet.
Again this whole thread was started up on the strange argument that China is in some form of crisis over lack of export sales of its newer top tier types. I would argue that Chinese defence export sales of aircraft have been perfectly solid over the years and their new generation fighters are locked into servicing domestic needs. As for the JF-17 it is way too early to judge its success, it appears to have strong interest in certain parts of the world and in a few years time we should get a better idea of how well its doing.
Armchair enthusiasts over-hyping the JF-17 might be irksome TR1 but that doesn’t mean we have to write it off as a failure when its so early into its production life or somehow think that the Chinese aerospace industry is in a state of near collapse when evidence shows otherwise. I would also argue that there has been an over-hyping of Russian aerospace output by some people in a rather nationalistic defence in the face of a rapidly growing Chinese industry. How many times has this kind of thread descended into arguments of how super duper fantastic the Russian aerospace industry is in comparison to China…
Where did you get the impression that I think they are not trying hard JSR?!:confused:
I am saying that export sales of helicopters, low tier fighters, trainers and you can throw in light transport types are solid. High tier fighter production appears to be earmarked for domestic force modernisation. As for when China stops buying J-10 and J-11…CAC and SAC are hardly going to close down. They will be deep into production of whatever types are chosen to replace the J-10 and J-11. Defence aerospace is a strategic industry for China so they are hardly going to let their main production facilities go down the pan.
You appear to be really eager to big up Russian production and some kind of soon to be seen collapse of the Chinese aerospace sector through lack of work. Considering China has had an aerospace sector in constant growth for the last twenty to thirty years and significant ongoing domestic military and civilian needs I don’t think they are in any threat of collapse!
Certainly Russia has had a modest income stream from maintenance and modernisation of types like the il76 and AN124 plus various fighter contracts over the years but is it fair to compare that to Chinas ongoing domestic aerospace growth? For that matter how does Russian domestic aerospace maintenance and modernisation sector compare to a Western nation like America? How many more iL76 and AN124 going to be produced in comparison to Airbus a330?
People need to be a bit more nuanced about this debate rather then use it as a game of web one-upmanship.
Yes MSphere but again why is that such a big deal? Export sales have been solid over the last couple of decades, all those sales have been to third tier airforces of cheap easy to maintain jets.
The thrust of the thread seems to be “why hasn’t China had a big sale of its top tier fighters”?! The answer to me is rather prosaic: China is re-equipping its airforce and all its top tier fighters are needed for that. I don’t see export sales of J-10 or J-11 being the greatest priority at the moment when China has regiment after regiment of legacy types to replace.
I don’t think its fair to include China is some form of forum top trumps “we have sold more then you” when the clear priority for China is domestic force modernisation.
Selling K-8 or J-7 even at a low ebb does little to harm Chinas balance of trade, my guess especially for the J-7 is with warehoused components the profit of building a few to sell to a third world African nation even at such a low price is almost pure profit, now that is all good news for CAC. I think JF-17 has some very strong export possibilities in the next five years, ironically the major bar for export of that type is Pakistans force modernisation needs.
I am bemused over peoples desire (especially from certain lets say Russian quarters) to assume there is some major problem with what China has on offer. Low tier aircraft sales including helicopters are doing very nicely on the export market and high tier production is almost entirely marked for induction into the China airforce. Five years down the line when J-10 and JF-17 production slots can be freed up for export will give us a better idea of what the score is with Chinese exports.
Can’t I blame Boeing just a little bit? 😉
I find this thread rather bemusing, Chinese defence exports have been very solid over the years.
The K-8 has been sold onto twelve different airforces, they might be third tier nations but the sales figures are nothing to sniff at.
The J-7 is still getting export sales, CAC have some in test as we speak:
http://china-defense.blogspot.co.uk/2012/07/curious-case-of-j-7.html
Actually amongst third tier airforces the market for a supersonic point defence fighter has been pretty much ceded to China. For many a small nation basic maintenance, a turbojet engine, basic fire control radar, WVR only capability and no fancy computerised maintenance system is perfect! I would argue if Northrop Grumman put a basic J85 powered F-5 back into production they might find some buyers.
Looking at other types that China produces like the J-10 and J-11 production is tied up servicing the huge Chinese airforce re-equipment program. JF-17 will see exports soon outside of Pakistan and I think interest will particularly pick up once the WS-13 turbofan is up to spec. Egypt is certainly keen on it as a logical replacement for their older Migs especially with local production. I also wouldn’t be surprised if it sees a sale in South America. Once the WS-10 is up to spec on the J-10B and Chinese re-equipment needs ease up we should see some exports of that as well.
The thing is I don’t think the Chinese themselves see themselves in an aerospace defence export race with other nations. They have aircraft that they will sale on favourable terms no questions asked. I don’t see any reason to criticise that.
Well I certainly think there are a few different factors for this decision by Airbus.
Firstly and to a degree crudely this is a degree of payback by Airbus over the KC45 cancellation. Boeing has moved heaven and earth over the years to buy out and remove all US based large aircraft competition. Airbus launching limited a320 production is entirely legitimate and helps further build local allies.
as well as do something that will pi$$ off Boeing.
Secondly a green field site for a320 production can be easily expanded in the future. This puts in place a seed-corn of trained US based manufacturing staff who can be moved onto other programs in the future, in particular KC-Y. One of Boeing and its fan chorus accusations against Airbus/EADS during KC-X was the lack of local experience and manufacturing facilities that were only a paper solution.
So its a win for US workers in that state and a foot through the door for Airbus.
Good idea for Vietnam to snap up those Su-30K, for $270million and upgraded to KN standard its a bargain. Vietnam has already stated that it wanted to expand its Su-30 fleet further this is an opportunity not to be passed up.
It will be interesting to see if Vietnam starts to consider some force enablers like an AEW&C type.
The main fire-bombers in service with US firefighting contractors is the P-2 Neptune… converted ex-USN ASW patrol aircraft. The second-most-numerous are P-3 Orions (however, their main operator was not contracted for this season, and put their 8 P-3s up for sale this February).
Last month there was a fatal crash of a P-2 in the western US, and a non-fatal landing incident with a P-2 from another operator.
Both of these companies (Neptune Aviation and Minden Air) currently have BAe-146 converted to fire-bomber under final service evaluation by the US Forest Service. Minden Air has 1 under contract while Neptune has 3 under contract (2 of which will enter service next month).
Both companies plan to completely replace their P-2s with BAe-146s within 5 years (they actually plan to end up with more -146s than they have P-2s).
As for the Dash-8… Neptune acquired one in 2005 for conversion, intending to use that type to replace its P-2s… but since they are now fully-involved with the BAe-146 for that purpose, it seems the Dash-8 wasn’t what they wanted.
Indeed Badger1968 I forgot about the Bae-146 Firebomber conversion. What is very clear about US based Fire bomber contractors is they are only interested in used Western type that are cheap to procure and convert. The Bae-146 it a clever choice, it was designed for austere operations in Africa. Four engines increases safety if there is an in-flight failure. Jet engines offer a faster transit onto station yet its STOL design offer the low speed handling characteristics required by fire bomber (The Honeywell turbofans are also fairly frugal). Finally they are cheap in comparison to other aircraft on the used market.
Inducting the Be-200 would involve a significant investment for a private contractor, as it isn’t certified yet it is further hampered in market. Finally if a Western operator wants an amphibious type the Bombardier CL-415 is already available and certified for the region. Best chance for the Be-200 is European civil government operators who are looking to replace their older CL-215 and CL-415.
The accident was nothing to do with the qualities of the C-130 in the fire fighting role. The C-130 with the removable fire retardant kit is an excellent platform for fire fighting.
The USAF and ANG are providing a seasonal service they have no need for the Be-200. It is virtually a single use type which would have little utility for the USAF/ANG out of season. Inducting the Beriev would involve introducing an entire new support structure at great cost and virtually no return to the US tax payer. The C-130 is in service and easily convertible to role by installing the Modular Airborne FireFighting System (MAFFS).
Now there has been an issue with contracted aircraft exceeding their fatigue life and suffering structural failure most notably the unfortunate 2002 incident with C-130A, N130HP. There is an argument to be made for the BE-200 to be purchased by the US forestry service and its contractors. Then again I think any US based operator will be more interested in the CL-415 or a conversion of Western airliner type to tanker role like the Dash-8.

Wasn’t Bill Sweetman keen on a Naval Typhoon variant?
The reason you haven’t got any response totoro is what you have asked us to do is long winded and dull.
If you want to do some war gaming then go to a forum that has people who like to do that.
A pity her propulsion systems are still so smoky even after diesel conversion…I find this part the most interesting. Is this the same system that is on the Kuzentsov or a new development?
Have Western carriers adopted this system to replace conventional ILS yet?
Main propulsion is still boiler and steam turbine based. The installation of six new Italian-made Wärtsilä 1.5 MW diesel generators is purely (and sensibly) to help support the hotel loads of her significant new system and electronics fit. It has the advantages of not having to run up her boilers if she is sitting somewhere in harbour or offshore if they need to run systems like the radars or even the lights. Interestingly the Charles de Gaulle had significant power provision hotel load issues from the nuclear steam plant earlier in her life. They literally couldn’t run hall lights under certain situations, I believe the partial solution was installation of extra diesel generators (somebody please correct me if I am wrong on that).
Best looking Phantom?
FG1 says otherwise!

If we don’t know, then don’t quote fake news pieces, & I won’t feel compelled to call BS.
Erm?! In this thread at no point have I quoted any news reports. I have called you out as a bit paranoid…that is your funeral! But don’t accuse me of something I haven’t done!:mad:
As for Wesley Clarke in 2007…you are keen on bashing us over the head on that one aren’t you! What he said FIVE YEARS AGO has no bearing on official NATO policy NOW! So far every major NATO nation that has said anything about Syria has clearly stated that they don’t want to do any kind of intervention…PERIOD! AS for the US there is no way Obama in a presidential election year is going to launch any major military action unless Syria deploys Chemical or Nuclear weapons!!!
In respect of what Turkey did or didn’t do, I’m not touching that with a barge pole in this forum! What I am saying is they are not keen at this point in responding militarily and article 5 is being waved as a red herring by people who seem keen on grandstanding at the moment. Article 5 only really applies if Syria was attempting to invade Turkey. It was invoked on 11/9 but frankly that was all symbolic.