The Chinese Phalcon radar system (not) sold because of strong US pressure over Israel, to me, is the worst case scenario in the concept of any of these nations patnering with the Israelis on an expensive and critical/sensitive piece of aerospace technology such as a 5th Gen fighter…
Does any one think that the USD would sit back and let Israel help any opther country come up with an US-embargo-proof new stealth fighter line?
I don’t! Why do you think the Lavi program was killed off to start with?
Now let’s talk about the PAK-FA, how confortable would the Russians feel exporting their most advanced aircraft to a country with so deep and long established links to the US? I say this specific hypotesis is definitely a no-go!
The Brazilian MinDef has said over and over that it wishes a 5th Gen program to pick up after the F-X2… Let’s see what his successor has to say on this subject…
Comments?
Hammer
No, a jump carrier in the gulf trying to intimidate would end in a complete disaster if the surrounding countries get annoyed. You will need complete air dominance even before enter, including Hawkeye’s.
You did notice I meant it as a joke, right my friend! 😉
As has been put here before, to me the definitve “kiss of death” to selling these ships abroad really is the absolute lack of low-hour airframe Harriers to go with it…
Regards
Hammer
Chile has a decades old unflinching claim to a large slice of the Antarctic continent… Can such a ship be part of a ramp up of naval capability towards a future definitive aircraft-carrier capable force? Brazil boughttha ex-Foch on such a “temp-ship” premise…
Argentina amongst all of the sugested nations above at least has a clear and long standing military strategic requirement that might significantly benefit from its navy having a light carrier with fighters…:diablo:
I’m surprised that no one here even sugested Israel as a possible client! Imagine it soon heading to the Arabian Gulf for “humanitarian & oceanographic research support” :diablo::eek:
Also China, by being the worlds largest purchaser of old CV (HMAS Melbourne, Minsk) hulls, might certanly be interested in the “engine-less” Invincible hull to turn it into another “floating casino” like the ex-Variag! :p
And South Africa in some sorte of short term lease? Or else what about a Mediterranean Navy like the ones of Algeria or Libya? Could they be interested?
Coments?
Hammer
PEACE MY FRIENDS!
Hey Arthuro, JackJack,
Please lighten up my friends! 😉
This is friendly discussion space not a world ping pong championship finals match! 😉
Both aircraft are certainly superb and if ever pitted against each other in combat their main operational advantages will very likely reside well beyond the minute aerodynamic and technical aspects both are pointing out over here…
Remember that before flying the first manned strikes against Irak on the last Gulf War hundreds of US Tomahawks swamped the iraqi airbases, fuel depots and C2 nodes making the local air defence mostly useless to defend the country from the Allied air assault that followed suit. Atthat stage the inherent absolute quality of the Iraqi fighters themselves became almost irrelevant to the end result of the conflict…
So the difference between fighter types in the real world would more likely reside on other things/aspects such as the ability to determine the start of the war (“power of initiative” as I called it elsewere in this forum…) and the deep pockets to be able to support the war effort for more than a month (at least) and to rebuild and reequip after the conflict is over. Crew training is also a key point if on remembers the historical number of military aircraft actually lost to operational accidents unrelated to the ennemy’s efforts in the theater of operations…
Coments?
Regards
Hammer
for what its worth, i have found your posts creditable and of value
Thank you, Jackjack!
Regards
Hammer
Me ? why ? I already said in this topic that some of your analysis were wrong, for example, when you were explaining that the purchase of Kc 390 was a bad thing for the French offer …I remember the Super Tucano old news too…
Reread the topic and remember its a forum and people can disagree with you 😀edit : lol and you can answer this question too if you want , it will be more interesting ;):
“If Serra win, … what do you think ?”
Danell,
If you wish to lookup where I commented on the possible acquisition of KC390s for France was RISKY for Dassault, not necessarily BAD for the AdlA.
And please notice that my point was that inserting a new midsized JET powered cargo aircraft inside the current AdlA C295/A400M high-lo mix might put EADS and many important second tier manufacturers linked to A400M AGAINST the Rafale sale to Brazil, specially at a stage wher there is so much criticism being fielded against the A400M due mostly to its remarkable operational introduction date delay and severe cost creep…
Adding powerful FRENCH industrial muscle against the Rafale sale to Brazil is definitely NOT what Dassault desires at this stage. Did I make myself clear? Do you still disagree with my assumptions here? 😉
Today during the press presentation that Embraer and FAB threw at Farnborough both said that there4 is absolutely no CONNECTION between the F-X2 selection and the choice of industrial partners for the new Brazilian Tactical freighter… This news in a couple of minutes blows aay the perceived advantage of the proposed AdlA purchase of the KC-390… If Dassault is already the winner of the F-X2 WHY would FAB and Embraer go to the trouble of isolating both deals from each other?
Average Brazilians accept rather normally an anti-US military purchase strategy as Jobim has been touting recently but on the other hand saying a big public “NO” to a 200 aircraft Super Tucano order for the US armed forces will certainly be seen here by the press as a very stupid move that only penalizes the national industrial star company: Embraer…
Before Lula took his foot off the F-X2 pedal Jobim was vying to be his own replacement independently which of the two candidates won. He has the positive experience of making the military commands do his bidding which is more than any other Brazilian politician can ever come cl;ose to aspiring. The office of the MinDef is a very tough task for an average Joe politician to handle by himself. picking Jobim would certainly save the new president a ton of hassles in his first months in the presidential office. But Jobim`s insistance on the controversial Rafale deal might end up costing his succession plan. Today I believe he has better chances under Serra then under Dilma to be able to keep his post.
Regards,
Hammer
Hammer was often wrong 😉
Soap opera , yes ! … but this “news” is single source for now, i only take as credible news confirmed by several sources …Pending other credible news that will say otherwise 😉
So I`m “often” wrong?? Sorry, but would you please point out the severel times I said something here and something else happened? :dev2:
I apologise to the other readers but I feel that for some unknown reason Mr Danell has decided to single me out of the crowd and has turned me into a target for his innuendo remarks…
Regards
Hammer
[QUOTE=Danell;1613209]It’s what i said : the community interested in defense isssues is very small at the scale of the country.
About your neutrality …The moon is made of green cheese … I won’t wast time to quote what you already wrote about FX-2 here or on BM …everyone know you’re not a fierce supporter of the Rafale for FAB …lol , that’s your opinion and your right but please… we are not stupids 😉
Hi Danell,
I’m sorry you disagree with my “neutrality”… I never thought any of my debaters herre are “stupid”, if they were I don’t think I’d “waste my time over here”, do you agre? About the “cheesy moon”, I believe since it is clearly Off Topic over here so I’ll just leave it be. Finaly to prove my neutralçity to you nust I be a FIERCE SUPPORTER of any of the three models? I don’t think you make any sense now…
regards,
Hammer
Even if the question wasn’t directed at myself, let me tell you this: I disregard ANYTHING that comes from Folha, since the Brazil-France dela on submarines. During the process Folha (and O Globo by the way) would keep publishing articles contrary to the choice, with many fake facts even after several oficial public statements from Brazilian Navy dismissing every one of their arguments.
As for Mr. Galante, I take everything that comes from him with a grain of salt. It’s worthy to note that his modus operandi is pretty similar with what exhibited at the time of the submarine deal, as when his editorial line changed to an opposing position, after he was invited for a a visit to HDW in Germany.
Hi there, Noite,
Of course there was some onitial and mild general press reaction questioning the convenience and/or need for a multi-billion dollar order for the new subs. Their curiosity was probably spiked by the unforseen change of preference from the German U214 towards the French Scorpene derivative… Actually if you recall it was nothing too momentous…
I’m not here to defend the Folha newspaper by any means, but… Isn’t this just the main role one should expect from serious, reponsible journalism? To permanently cross check all the expensive investment programs decided upon by our elected officials to be payed for with our taxes? Don’t you agree?
But also do remember that once the Navy PR Dept came forward and answered all these very reasonable concerns promptly all objection simply vanished overnight even at the “conservative” Folha de São Paulo newspaper.
I myself was utterly surprised at the extremely short time it took Congress to analyse and authorize this deal (no more than 2 days!). Of course theres always the case of Janio de Freitas a rabid anti-Lula newspaper columnist who as expected raged on an on against any Lula decide move. No news over there, right? But even his rants were irrelevant in the end with the contract being signed anyway.
On the O Globo newspaper the whole sub deal coverage was done “en passant” by one reporter alone José Meireles Passos his initially assumed “reluctant” point of view on the deal probably being tinted mostly by his many years spent in Washington DC as the O Globo correspondent in the US more than anything else.
As a Brazilian you do know that when the local “big press” catches a whiff of “blood in the water” they’ll immediately behave like frenzied hungry sharks untill the whole issue is uprooted and exposed. Do you agree that nothing as such ever happened in the French Submarine deal?
Regards,
Hammer
P.S.: I do not agree with your take on the Blog Naval editors bias on this subject.
you hold yourself as a professional journalist and so you are held to a higher standard than us fanboys
the swiss couldnt supply the op costs of a f414 because of usn IP, but the usn fa-18 f414 op costs were given.
this doesnt make sense
what the swiss cant do is give the IP of the f414 for brazil to manufacturealso about the indian test, i heard it was simple to correct with fuel ratio or similar with all the craft
i await your clarification on the issues
JackJack, above you meant to say “SWEDES”, not “SWISS”, right? 😉
Regards,
Hammer
But that’s not the more important. In Brazil , if you want to mesure a so called “public support” , you must visit many blogs, forums and websites specialized in defence issues and not only the one which could flatter your own opinion.
I would certainly use the term “public support” very very carefully here in Brazil. This because the true average Brasilian taxpayer probably has ABSOLUTELY NO CLUE that there is an ongoing FAB program/intention to replace its front line fighter jets…
The frorum members represent a small but hard core group o peple that are able to (or at least try to) understand the many pros and cons of every possible purchase option being evaluated in this particular case.
These people tend to be seen by the bidding companies, the Air Force and government members in general as key opinionmakers, trensetters or jus as a strong possible leverage group able to affect other groups related or involved with this bid such as politicians and general press members.
About the main forums:
– Base Militar, on the contrary, is much more pro-Gripen or F18 (or even anti-Rafale)
http://www.alide.com.br/wforum/index.php
Do you really think so? From where I stand I see we have vocal members almost equaly cheering for each one of the three contenders in F-X2. And many of these forum members have switched (some morte than once) their alegiances in the last years…
[Quote]
About the main Blogs:
Choice of the subjects … phrases underlined … editors comments, its generally easy to feel their preference:
– Base Militar is, i would say mmm, pro US…
http://www.basemilitar.com.br/
[/Quote]
Here we must digress 😉 I myself write almost all of the BM articles and exclusive news items and I believe I’m really being able to maintain a very neutral stance. Please note that all the items published under the “Alide Noticias” section do not (at all) represent our opinion as they were written by other media entities.
Best Regards
Hammer
oups i made a mistake 🙂
Base Militar has only 1726 members (with 597 with one post or more) and not 3000+
(DefesaBrasil has 4246 members with 1224 with one post or more )International fanboys are more interested by Base Militar because it’s more easy to use an automatic translator there if you don’t understand portuguese 😉
Hi Danell,
At the Base Militar Forum we don’t require our readers to log in order to read our content, that way we may apperar on a first glimpse to have much less readers than DB’s Forum. Curiously enough both our forums share many of our readers and threads usually do jump the fences extending from one forum to the other with no barriers.
I’m very glad to hear that the Auto Translate feature we implemented is turning out to be useful to you non-portuguese readers. All of you are always most welcome to our Forum!
Regards,
Hammer
The Gripen availability at Red Flag info was from Força Aerea Brasileira (the FAB), the Brazilian Air Force. The first one to comment it was Mr. Juarez Castro, an ex-FAB maintenance officer. Gripen C/D offered a lower availability than our F-5EM Tiger II (we got around 70% availability). Since 1984 I covered military affairs for Brazilian newspapers an Janes Defence Weekly and I never saw an air force admits it failed.
I too heard from different sources inside the Brazilian Air Force that availability of the Gripen during Red Flag was a complete fiasco. These same sources blamed not the basic aircraft design or the manufacturer but the SweAF’s inability to adequately prepare for flight operations under a scorching 40°C air temperature and an over 50°C tarmac temperature at Nellis. Apparently the went to the States with less then the ideal number of replacemente parts for their “cold-blooded” nordic fighters… 😉
Regards,
Hammer
On a side note: will the F414G be reworked by Volvo Aero for mass-produced NGs (just like the RM 12)?
No the GE company is a risk sharing member of the Gripen Demo program, Volvo Aero has no part whatsoever in the Gripen Demo/NG. This is one of the main reasons why the Gripen NG is slated to cost LESS than the C/D version that it replaces in the production lines.
Regards,
Hammer
Remember me Eliane Cantanhede a famous unbiased journalist :
And yet i guess Fohla must be much more richer than BaseMilitar or Defesa@net … lol
Hi Danell,
I don’t think I really understood your answer on this issue here…
In your assessment do you believe Eliane Cantanhede (one of the top reporters inside the Folha newsroom) is, or is not, biased on the F-X2 subject??
Curiously enough she has been repetedly pointed out to me by people who know her as “a long time personal friend of Minister Jobim”. I do not know her personally so I can’t give you my personal opinion on this issue other than her texts seem to me to be pretty neutral…
Regards, Hammer