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Hammer

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Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 611 total)
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  • in reply to: An Alternative Falkland Scenario #2261465
    Hammer
    Participant

    The main product of Venezuala is Chocolate. The main product of Brazil obviously nuts. So an embargo on Choc Fruit and Nut should suffice to curb any invasion.

    Sorry Hampden, the main product of Venezuela is not “chocolate” but something much more valuable: crude oil, and A LOT of it!
    Regards,

    Hammer

    in reply to: An Alternative Falkland Scenario #2261718
    Hammer
    Participant

    It’s not very difficult to disguise Mirage IIIs into Mirage IIIs, but it will take some imagination to disguise Su-30s into A-4s or Pucaras. Just changing the roundel will not be enough this time :p Also Peru did not openly support Argentina, while Venezuela would probably even advertise such support. So I think if this impossible scenario would materialise, then they would retain their original markings.

    Sorry I never meant my “rebranding” comment as a way for Venezuela not assuming the “propertity” of their Su-30s. My question in reality was would the Argentinians ALLOW foreign owned, maintained and piloted fighters to operate in their country, even a “friendly” nation such as Bolivarian Venezuela certainly is …

    Regards!

    Hammer

    in reply to: An Alternative Falkland Scenario #2262042
    Hammer
    Participant

    Would Brazil deploy Sao Paulo?

    Only as a way to STOP a war from happening in South America. I can’t see Brazil ASSISTING Argentina to start a war against the UK.

    Chavez, Venezuela is a different thing whatsoever. About deployment times The Su-30MKVs would head to South Argentina (Comodoro Rivadavia, Rio Gallegos or Rio Grande) in a very small number of hours, probably the US and the UK would only notice they moved WELL AFTER they reach their deployment base in Argentina. Would they retain Venezuelan roundels or would they be immediately rebranded as Argentinian FAA? (Peru did this in 1982)

    Regards,

    Hammer

    in reply to: RA-5 Vigilante, your thoughts… #2007204
    Hammer
    Participant

    Just this week I was trying to locate a Vigilante Stealth aircraft image that a fellow poster on another forum drew for me. Unfortunately, it is nowhere to be found, it looked BEAUTIFUL!

    Regards,

    Hammer

    in reply to: South America market 2015-2035 #2264929
    Hammer
    Participant

    Nope.

    Brazil at the moment is busy trying to replace the US as the main influence and force in the region.

    I don`t really see it this way outside the product exporting arena… Aparently every country in the continent would rather see the USA not insert itself into the military/security issios of this area. the Unasur Union of South American Countries and its related South American Defense Council, both organizations that do not include the US (And Canada, Mexico and little islands s part of its members. The message here is simple no International Great Power meddling accepted here!

    Regards

    Hammer

    in reply to: South America market 2015-2035 #2264931
    Hammer
    Participant

    I`m from Brazil and here I can see a MAJOR change, a rupture in Military-related thought, docrine and means reequipment processes. This is the 2008 National Defense Strategy (END is its Acronym in Portuguese). This is the document that asserted civilian rule over all the military functions, that emphsised the importance of developing and actually supporting a modern and strong national defense industry and thatcrystal;ized the various defence-related docrines into a single coordinated on. Before 2008 all military forces were functionaly and operationally independent from each other. And that was very bad!

    Procurement was uncoordinated and joint exercises where disturbed by the fact that radios from different forces seemed unable to talk to each other… Before END Each Force would ask for bulk funding from the Finance Milistry and then split this money internally according to its own internal priorities and bias. No the military are told what they ought to evaluate in the Arms Bazaar. ZERO sinergy in the process. Now the big programs are conceived in the forces but as soon as possible these programa escalate to the the ministry of Defense. This has been a dramatically enphasised in comings and goings of the FX-2 and prosuper. For the Brazilian Air Force the next gen fighter planes is a key subject but so far FAB has refused to cooperate, the navy on the contrary is of a much phylosophy and is always eager to show its allegiances to the established Civilian masters. Right now the Ministry is pouring billions of into the KC-390 transport, thus the billions of dollars that F-X2 needs ro become a reality. Apart from all this I happen think this is a very difficult moment in which to settle on a single modern fighter. A fact true only begause there are zero “Barbarians at our gates”…

    Some questions focus on the much declared mass obsolescence of 4th gen fighters due to the advent of Stealth fighters. Also are Brazilian defense industries mature enough to be the recipients of advanced jet fighter technology transfers? Maybe its a good thing to delay F-X2 a few years more…

    Best regards

    Hammer

    in reply to: Scenario: Re-arming Argentina #2264939
    Hammer
    Participant

    Drop it Belethor: There will be no war!

    The sad thing is that Obligatory is right on the money when he refers to the Argentinian government as narrow-minded. So narrow-minded infact that their quest to colonise the Falklands could well lead Argentina into another deadly war with serious reprecussions for their people. Not very smart folks in power over there.

    in reply to: Scenario: Re-arming Argentina #2264945
    Hammer
    Participant

    Actually that’s the first and only issue – the Islands are British and the people living there wish to remain British, end of story. I can’t for the life of me work out why folks here are even bothering to ‘debate’ this issue (Obviously it’s a convenient excuse by some to beat the tiresome anti British drum but considering those folks are well and truly clueless or willfully ignorant as to the facts surrounding the islands why even bother reading their posts.)

    If this “fact” you highlight was so clear cut and uncontroversial as you say, my friend, there would be no issue at all, correct?

    But the Angentinian government believes these are their islands and they were able to persuade all the other governments of the continent of this and by consequence the roughly 380 million people they represent. I’m sorry if this opinion does not suit yours but just by ignoring it will not make it go away, I’m sorry. 😉

    So, to finally answer Swerve’s central question I believe that the strategy to the Argentinians best interest is to make the extraction of any economic profits from the Islands by the British as hard and as expensive as they possibly can.

    Harrassing foreign fishing vessels (by at least asking for their ARGENTINIAN authorization to fish in the disputed waters). Accompanying and interfering with survey ships envolved in petroleum field sounding programs just like the Chinese do in the South China Sea. By doing this they effectively scare off any potential financers without which the offshore oil extration bonanza dreamt by the Kelpers will never happen so consequently no financial independence for them wil ever happen.

    As long as the islands are “poor” they will remain a considerable burden on the UK Treasury and that may work to convince the post Thatcher generation these few kelpers are just not worth the trouble and the cost. I’m not saying this WILL HAPPEN, I’m saying this ought to be Argentina’s simplest and cheapest way forward.

    To do this they like northern neighbour Brazil will need some 12x 1800 ton OPVs and some 40-50 500-ton OPVs to police the argentinian EEZ (and the Falklands EEZ the claim is theirs. Maybe since the area that is more critical to patrol is well to the south the best mix might instead be 20 1800-ton OPVs and 20-30 500-ton units for their particular environment and future challenges.

    On the air a consistent and modern fleet of long-range MPAs should be procured. I imagine that some 20 aircraft should suffice, modernized Orions, or coverted C-130 Hercules like the ones the USCG uses. Brazil has an open requirement to replace their 12 recently modernized P-3AM Orions in the mid-term. These could be Embraer designed derivations of their E-195 longer range Regional Jet or even a dedicated Maritime Patrol C-390 conversion. Argentina as a Tier 1 C-390 partner might be interested in this the long run.

    As I said before I don’t believe that the Argentinians will ever again attempt to violently raid the Islands as they did back in 82. BUT I believe that they will should put in place measures that may keep the British Military concerned to the point as to expand the expensive (in number of means and number of people) the military defensive “shield” they have in and around the islands. This would be direct a continuation of the civilian based strategy I outlined first here.

    So what would they need to acquire to be able to achieve this objective:

    ASW (SNAs were and ought to be the UKs most significant military card in that near antartic environment)

    Some 10-15 SSK subs armed with modern sensors and weapons
    SNAs (if they can make them)
    Underwater acoustic sensor networks
    Long Range MPAs (the ones I mentioned before)
    5-8 3500 ton or 6000 ton frigates with advanced ASW gear (active and passive sonars Towed Array Sonars, modern torpedos)
    Encripted Dataliks and national satcom capability

    Air based ASuW

    30-50 Long range (extreme if possible) heavy land based fighter with supersonic ASW missiles Advanced Flankers (Su-35S?) armed with Brahmos or Moskit missiles
    6x long range AWACS and
    6 A330MRTT or 20 KC-390 dedicated tankers

    Anti air anti missile (specially against ship/sub-launched Tomahawks) defense
    20 batteries of S-300/400 class SAM systems

    20 long range satellite-linked UAVs

    Had the Argentinians such kit they would drive the UK miliary planners nuts leading to an immense expansion of Falkland’s defensive means while literally breaking the Bank of England at the same time.

    Comments?

    %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%

    Finally my friend Belethor, I believe that we all here SHOULD always “bother to read” the other’s people’s posts because until I last looked this here is essecially a DEBATE forum. And from this debate is that we all shall learn and grow as individuals.

    Regards, from Brazil,

    Hammer

    in reply to: Scenario: Re-arming Argentina #2265283
    Hammer
    Participant

    Hi guys, I’ve just read through the full three pages of this topic so far and here is my take.

    1st major issue – Which country has the “rights” to the islands?

    I started here because this in itself is an absolutely pointless and doomed to be inconclusive debate. Why?:

    a) New territory “ownership” throughout the centuries rights have as a norm been unilateral propositions and here lists the most critical problem! Since there is no single international law code that exists ABOVE ALL SOVEREIGN NATIONS (even the UN’s “international” laws are no more than individual temporary concessions by each nation’s legislative bodies decided upun independently. Thus they are absolutely revokable at any one point in time as seen fit by said Legislative body.) Looking at the Falkland problem through this FACT, from a GLOBAL perspective. Argentina’s and the UK’s possession claims carry EXACTLY the same weight. Despite “a” saying the Islands are his, unfased “b” says the very opposite. We go back to square one.

    b) Inhabitants idea of who they should belong to also seems a very hard to sustain argument. Territory ownership as I see it is the kind of dispute the HAST to be solved BETWEEN NATIONS, not between a nation and some “people”… If only because said people’s individual rights to voice their opinion os such a subject has to be guaranteed by some nation’s body of laws (since we saw above thet there is no real supernational universal law code in force (at least at this point in our evolution as human beings on the face of the earth). For argument’s sake lets for a moment supose that the bulk of the Hong Kong citizens when push came to shove had refused to accept the end of the lease contract and like the kelper community invoked their sublime right (under British law I supose) to BE ALLOWED TO STAY in Hong Kong under the Union Jack… According to the most usual criteria of the past (the time tested and trusted relative national force levels paradigm) If China at this point in time was still as underdeveloped and it’s military and internal legal and political instances were in the same level of disarray seen in the begining of the 20th century. Quite possibly the UK government would feel confortable in reneging the previous territory return date “for the sake of the local peoples will”… But that was not the case, China was a political and economic behemoth growing at absurd rates, whose exploding internal consumer markets were to important to be neglected by a great variety British export executives and their many cronies perced confortably in goverment. So a country reasoning its decisions as being derived prom a particular small constituency of its people is certainly not the NORMAL such issues are resolved. If the situation was the exact contrary, if a resource rich island population in the British Empire decided to seceed completely would the government accept that? Specially in tough economic times? The acceptable answer here should naturally be “it depends”!
    Look at unflinching Israeli Palestinian situation. To me at least it is clear to assum the situation wil only be defined ehen on peple conceeds that the other peoples numer are just too grater then one’s own population and that there is no sense in trying to compete in absolute number child of births any further if the average adult’s life span keeps growing too. In the end if the Argentinians can make kelper material progress impossible maybe more of them will have to consider relocating permantly to a more economicaly sound country of the Commonwealth.

    This was the ironically very same big problem affecting the Islanders were trying to fend off whe the Argentine Marines hit the beaches in 1982. Today the individual expenses of the very same military personnel’s sent to protect the islands have turned into a significant part of the local comunity…

    A Igree that island property will have to be sorted ou diplomatically some day in the future by both GOVERMENTS, certainly not with the Kelpers themselves.

    It is clear that the 82 Junta and the Kircheners wich today wripping themselves in the blue and white Argentinian flag is a nifty political strategy, but the british (military, politicians and the people as well have to understand that the loud claim to the Marvinas comes not from the high ranking elite, but in every home of the people themselves. And this makes all the difference. Cristina’s hability to have Brazil and Uruguay close their ports to Falkland Island civilian and military in a strole multiplied the costs of British support logistics to the region. To me the islands will be British as long as there are English-speaking people living there and that the support COST [as pointed out by others here. Remember that the Royal Navy left the Pacific not because it was less importyant but because the UK Treasury could nolonger afford the costs of being there. Mayvbe the Kelpers should talk to some very elderly Australians about how the felt face to face qith the Japanese wit the Navy’s retraction of its Pacific Fleet. Its MONEY that matters in the end, not memory, honour or even certain common genetic traits between a few islanders and a great number of folk in the central British islands..

    in reply to: South America market 2015-2035 #2265289
    Hammer
    Participant

    You may as well use a civilian twin-engine conversion or Tucano rather than re-open a Pucara line. The latter is a symbol of a savage dictator that brutally oppressed his own people and used multiple shades of self-created crisis to maintain martial law.

    Mad Rat,

    May I ask what do you imagine when you say a “civilian twin engine conversion”, I drew a blank! 😉 As I see it, to the average Argentinean the Pucarás bear absolutely no conection with the last military dictatorship period, quite the contrary. As I see it to the average argentinian the Pucará is a major technological leap forwad for the local Aicraft manufacturing organization and an international commercial achievement.

    Regards,

    Hammer

    P.S.: I imagine our local Argentinians would support this opinion too.

    in reply to: South America market 2015-2035 #2266296
    Hammer
    Participant

    In theory you Victor are perfectly right, but in the light of day to day events the relationship between the civilian executive power and the Argentinian military institution as a whole has degraded to such a low level that the mere basic concepts described oin the Defense White Book today are no more than “black ink stains on white paper” and should not be read as something that is set to happen in the real world in any foreseable future…Unfortunately!

    Regards

    Hammer

    in reply to: South America market 2015-2035 #2266431
    Hammer
    Participant

    Argentina is really in a pickle these days… Both the Kirchener Governments have done the utmost to discredit and undercut funds for the military forces. If theuey instead opted to turn up the heat in the South Atlantic, I don’t mean starting a new war or anything of the sorts but by puttin some 40-odd new gen Su-35 Flankes in the South of the country the British MoD might feel pressed to significantly upgrade the islands air cover preventively which would end up costing the Treasury a sh%tload of money that would certainly be missed elsewhere in the British economy… 40 new Eurofighters (IN THE MIDDLE OF THE FROZEN SOUTH ATLANTIC, with zero logistics support from neighbouring South American ports and airports ) Ought to cost significantly more than the same number long range Flankers flying from ample and confortable land bases in Southern Argentina… In the regular long run costs for protecting the “rights” of the less then 3000 Kelpers on the islands… The Argentinians’ game is for the long haul, the longer they sustain their claim the less it makes economic sense to the UK government….

    JF-17s to them would only make some sort of sense if the government gives up using military pressure to recover the Falkland islands and if they become exclusively concerned with very, very, low acquisitions costs to replenish the FAA’s Fighter Fleet.

    Regards,

    Hammer

    P.S.: There is an ongoing effort to establish a Chinese Z-11 (AS350 clone) helicopter manufacturing site in Argentina, let’s see how well this develops before thinking about new Chinese fast jets for them. 😉

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -IV #2007414
    Hammer
    Participant

    With that gun and SAM launcher and radar missile director? :diablo:

    Don’t be too quick to judge the Lafayette class, my friend, first of all they ar not very recent, so one must always compare them with their equivalents from the same timeframe to start with, correct? Second, the program objective was to REDUCE the radar echo, not to do away completely with it. I visited Courbet some years ago and the capitain told me that in any busy coastal theater of operaton his ship is very hard to tell apart from fishing and tug boats which in turn makes any oponent’s action very difficult to say the least… This class has been a comercial export success story with multiple units being sold to the Saudi, Taiwanese and Singaporean Navies. Today there are several optins for mid-life class upgrade including VL Mica, Aster 15/30 and others… Something that is always a good news for navy and industry!

    Regards,

    Hammer

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -IV #2010756
    Hammer
    Participant

    I find it a little lacking in the Stealth aspect… 😉

    Regards,
    HAMMER

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -IV #2012319
    Hammer
    Participant

    Here’s my hypotetical art for a “stealthified” Barroso corvette. Tell me how you like it.

    http://i241.photobucket.com/albums/ff314/hammer-nikit/Tamandare.jpg

    Regards,

    Hammer

    Hi there guys, hi Swerve!

    Barroso is one of the few ships to recieve a “mid-life-update” evem before it was delivered to the Brazilian Navy. The original sensor suite and combat system software was supposed to be British exactly like the four Inhaúmas. Its construction was able to be stopped twice only because it was built in the Brazilian Navy’s shipyard and not a private one. The last period of stagnation coincided with the ramp up to the Niterói Frigate’s ModFrag update program, so Barroso ended up being fitted with the much more modern Siconta software and Selex RAN 30/RAN20 radars.
    The new class is being refered by the navy as the Tamandaré corvette after a 19th century Brazilian Admiral just like Admiral Barroso himself.

    The basic objective behind the original Barroso order was to try to fix the Inhauma’s terrible sea handling characterístics in rough seas, thus the much larger bow to compensate for those ships tendency to take a lot of water in the forcastle.

    Stealth design became a global naval design tendency AFTER the Barroso’s design was finalized and frozen. This time around there will be a significant design effort in that direction.

    This tuesday ALIDE obtained many details on this program although almost all of our previous assumptions proved to be really on the mark . Please use Google Translator to read the article below in English or in your local tongue.

    More details here

    http://www.alide.com.br/joomla/capa/75-extra/4168-cinco-novas-corvetas-da-qclasse-tamandareq-a-caminho

    Regards,

    Hammer

Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 611 total)