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ELP

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  • in reply to: Boeing Begins KC-767 Tanker Advanced Boom Flight Tests #2527304
    ELP
    Participant

    Nor is the ‘sticker price’ of much interest, unless you also take into account through life support, running and training costs. If a KC-30 costs $40 m more than a KC-767 (and that remains to be seen) but also offers more of the required capabilities, and saves (say) $80 m in reduced through life costs, then which aircraft represents the greater value for money?

    .

    For those that didn’t RTFA:

    The other big issue comes down to cost. The larger A330 costs about $160 million per plane vs. $120 million for the 767. Northrop couldn’t close the cost gap enough and so tried to switch the debate and the criteria to focus more on the capabilities of the aircraft, where the Airbus model had a stronger case. “The Air Force’s requirements aren’t for the size of tanker Airbus has to offer,” says the government official. “They simply have a need for a smaller, cheaper, more fuel-efficient tanker than Airbus can offer.” The official went on to characterize Northrop’s gambit as a “Hail Mary pass, because at the end of the day, they knew they didn’t have the tanker the Air Force was looking for.”
    http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/jan2007/db20070119_387909.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_businessweek+exclusives

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2527315
    ELP
    Participant

    All that means getting closer to the target to achieve comparible levels of accuracy. This isn’t Iraq you are talking about, where the worst you might expect is some decades old, poorly maintained MANPAD to be shot at you. Need I spell out the implications for you?

    No. No spelling as it isn’t a lockout if GPS doesn’t exist. JDAM isn’t going to be off the plate for a lot of targets. Nor will JSOW, JASSM, SLAM-ER which use imaging on the terminal phase. SLAM-ER and JASSM can now loiter and search. The datalink will have to be eliminated and then even that depending on the target doesn’t make for a failure. JSOW, JASSM, and ….. JSF are low observable. Removing GPS won’t keep PGMs from hitting targets. SDB II won’t be crippled by a lack of GPS either. However we may have to frag an additional 10-15% extra in for targets that require sub 4 meter CEPs.
    More, the old SAM paradygm is more of a threat to legacy aircraft than low observable aircraft that use their own advanced sensors and LANs, independant of AWACs, JSTARS. Once a flight of JSF are put into the air threats that play by the old legacy rule book, can be managed. This is proving itself out now in F-22 exercises.

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2527324
    ELP
    Participant

    Originally Posted by ELP
    Nope. It isn’t a “few sats” as if it doesn’t mean anything. Any attack that is going to take out our satellites, is a threat to our nuclear response capability. Taking out one satellite means spooling up every nuke resource. Any other response would be really stupid. We are not going to sit there and have our eyes taken out.

    I think that is more the result of your own sensiblities being offended then real US policy. Or do you have offical statements to back it up?

    Quote:
    Two. Any conventional strike on Chicom soil is going to get a nuke response from them. They have said so in the past. So that isn’t even a option.

    Do you have a source?
    __________________

    The second part first. Chicom generals/leadership have already stated more than a few times that any strike on mainland China, conventional or otherwise is a reason for nuke reaction.
    Major General Zhu Chenghu, told Western journalists in Beijing that “if the Americans draw their missiles and position-guided ammunition into the target zone on China’s territory, I think we will have to respond with nuclear weapons.” (June 2005)

    Part one. No sensibilities. Truth. We aren’t going to sit around and let ANY of our satellites be dropped. An attack on our satellites is the same as an attack on ANY of our defenses. The threat of a nuke response is our only option as we can’t let our sensors get blinded.

    -“We reserve the right to defend ourselves against hostile attacks and interference with our space assets,”
    Robert Joseph, undersecretary of state for arms control and international security-Dec 13, 2006.

    However… in the end this is all about nothing. China and the U.S. are economically locked. No one in their right mind wants to spoil that.

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2527396
    ELP
    Participant

    Standoff is the best selling point of those “Smart” weapons, without GPS correction, see who can tolerate the drift caused by pure INS guidance.

    JDAMs are about 13 miles or so give or take. Again, if it is 2000lb class most targets will still die even with a 20 meter CEP. Then of course there is the airburst option too.

    Weapons mentioned already like JSOW, JASSM, SLAM-ER use IR imaging in the terminal phase. Again, no big deal here. With upgrades to those you have to eliminate the data-link also.

    Radar assisted and radar assisted off-set bombing with JDAM for targets that allow it do quite well too, …without the GPS update.

    Again CBU-105 is INS only

    You have to consider too that while other satellites might be taken out, GPS is extremely high in orbit. More, PLAAF has more and more GPS assisted systems so there might be times when they don’t want GPS down. A downside here is since they don’t have the keys to the kingdom on mil GPS encryption that might not help them. Don’t know. ???????

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2527878
    ELP
    Participant

    And what is the percentage of PGMs the US is holding in stock and buying that is not GPS guided? .

    Zero. Example a JDAM is an inertial navigation kit that is GPS assisted. If it doesn’t aquire the GPS signals after release the INS still takes it to the target. GPS refreshes the INS periodically. Longer bomb flight times without GPS means a larger CEP. With a GBU-31 series ( 2000lb weight ) for many targets this is less of an issue. Most drops from 30k-40k ft are a minute or less. Where with most INS systems that don’t receive an update, you can be off as much as a mile per hour of flight depending on the platform and other outside influence. So a minute of flight isn’t so bad. GPS with one update on the way down for JDAM helps give it the sub 4 meter CEP it is now known for.
    On targets that will tollerate it, radar assisted JDAM bombing from the likes of B-1, B-2, F-18E/F etc give better CEP on shorter bomb flight times than GPS assist. Where before release the radar painted targets INS position is pumped into the JDAM before release, this radar aquired cord. is much more accurate than the one generated by some mission planning software back at base or many times a cord from other NCW sources. GPS denial on JDAM/SDB for the most part, means shorter fly times if one wants to be accurate with the smaller weapons like SDB. SDB II with imaging, JSOW with the unitery warhead, JASSM with the imaging nose, SLAM-ER with the same imaging seeker also won’t be put out of the game completely by an unavailability of GPS.
    Cruise missiles. Their primary guidance is always what it has been before the GPS era: INS with radar mapping assist. ( example: Desert Storm, sending TLAMs into the Iranian mountains for a radar mapping update before going into Iran. ) GPS on these now only acts as a backup that has to be confirmed within a reasonable range of the radar mapping update.
    CBU-105_SFW_BLU-108b_WCMD is INS only, no GPS.
    So the risk management on GPS for PGMs is not so bad. Our land forces would suffer more from GPS denial…initially.

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2527892
    ELP
    Participant

    And the US is willing to go to a full blown nuclear war with a garenteed US death toll in the tens to hundred million+ over a few sats? :rolleyes: Get real. China is not some helpless none-nuclear country that the US can nuke with impunity.

    China start taking out US sats, US starts taking out Chinese sats and maybe a B2 flight or two to take out major Chinese spaceports and related factories. Much more beyound that would bring an unacceptably high chance of escalation into something no-one in their right minds would want.

    But this is mostly a deterant weapon. It exponentially increases the costs and vastly reduces the likely success rate of US military intervention in Taiwan, thus reducing the likihood of direct US military intervention. That is the real goal with the test.

    Nope. It isn’t a “few sats” as if it doesn’t mean anything. Any attack that is going to take out our satellites, is a threat to our nuclear response capability. Taking out one satellite means spooling up every nuke resource. Any other response would be really stupid. We are not going to sit there and have our eyes taken out.
    Two. Any conventional strike on Chicom soil is going to get a nuke response from them. They have said so in the past. So that isn’t even a option.

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2527895
    ELP
    Participant

    Hm, would US retaliate with nuclear weapons?

    Option A (nuclear) – millions of US citizens dead for hundreds of millions of chinese dead.

    Option B (continue convential war without sats) – couple of hundreds/thousands US soldiers (not civilians!) dead for several thousands or tens of thousands of chinese dead, mostly soldiers.

    Which would you choose if you were the president of US?

    Furthermore, satellites are indentified and tracked. IF china decided to try to take out some satellites, it would leave out ones used for early warning of ICBM launches, precisely as a show of keeping the conflict conventional.

    Interesting theory. However, we can’t risk an enemy taking out any of our eyes/sensors, we also can’t depend on the good graces of an enemy to take out only certain sats. There is no way a nuclear oplan will tollerate any of that.

    in reply to: Is this even possible: Australia to buy F-22s? #2528379
    ELP
    Participant

    Thread needs to be locked. It has gone way off topic.

    in reply to: Boeing Begins KC-767 Tanker Advanced Boom Flight Tests #2528382
    ELP
    Participant

    bump…. topic failed to go to the top on the last posting.

    in reply to: Aussie Hornets #2528385
    ELP
    Participant
    in reply to: Boeing Begins KC-767 Tanker Advanced Boom Flight Tests #2528500
    ELP
    Participant

    dupe post

    in reply to: Boeing Begins KC-767 Tanker Advanced Boom Flight Tests #2528506
    ELP
    Participant

    “Hard details” to back up my arguments.

    1) Tanker role superiority. The A330MRTT has more fuel to offload, further from base.

    2) Basing flexibility. The A330MRTT can operate with full fuel from a 10,000 ft balanced runway, the KC-767 cannot. This means that an A330MRTT can operate from all airfields currently used by RAF VC10s and TriStars (for example) whereas at full weight, the -767 can’t. The 767 does have a lighter ground loading, but the 330’s heavier footprint is not a significant disadvantage, because it does not ‘rule out’ the airfields you’d want to be using.

    3) Role flexibility. Because the Airbus has a wider cabin cross section, it can accomodate standard pallets ‘side-by-side’ whereas the 767 cannot. The A330 cabin is superior in the passenger role, too.

    4) Maturity. Airbus MRTT system elements are already operational, in the tanker role, on German A310MRTTs. The Airbus wing pods are operational, and were developed and integrated without major problems. The KC-767 wing pods caused flutter, and the solution causes drag. Both companies are flying their boom designs.

    5) Industrial advantage? The Northrop Grumman KC-30 would provide and protect US jobs, and would provide competition to Boeing.

    Darned right, I “continually tout the Airbus design”, and darned right, I do so “for one reason and one reason only.”

    But as to why, it’s not because Airbus is European, it’s because the Airbus is the superior tanker.

    And why does that bother me? Because I want to see the UK’s most important ally using the best possible equipment, and not to have inferior solutions foisted on them to protect the interests of particular US aerospace companies.

    Usually the US solution is also the best. The F-22 is the best possible F-15 and F-117 replacement, if you can afford it. The F-35 is the best possible replacement for USMC AV-8Bs and for USAF F-16s (though perhaps not for everyone else’s). The P-8 is the best P-3 replacement practically available to the USN. The Longbow Apache and CH-47F are the best possible attack and heavylift helicopters, respectively.

    But sometimes the European designed solution will be superior – US101 for CSAR-X, for example, and KC-30 for KC-X.

    Where are the ‘hard details’ to back up the contention that the KC-767 is a better tanker?

    6) Northrop Grumman knows that it can’t meet the contract requirement so they are trying to upsell their product ( tail (vendor) wagging the dog (customer) which is unfortunately not going to work. Add to that their product will come in almost $40 more per airframe. Not such a hot idea as we need numbers of tankers to spread various places around the globe and not a lesser number of larger tankers. Best they submit a design that meets the contract request. NG will have no one to blame but themselves for screwing this up.

    in reply to: China Tests Anti-Satellite Weapon #2528509
    ELP
    Participant

    There won’t be any satellites taken out. Reason? Any such act, required in our plans, means we spool up for a nuclear response. China isn’t that dumb.

    in reply to: Outside View: Death of U.S. air power #2528828
    ELP
    Participant

    Since the author is in the business of promoting Defense Department programs and more so the USAF, his postion is not surprising. What I do find interesting is that he makes no mention of the fact that other US aviators are also flying 1970’s, or earlier, technology (alibeit newer remanufacture) and flying far more combat operations than the USAF, and spending even greater amounts of time operating within a leathal threat environment. Yet even with these facts (both the US Defense Science Board and the Army Science Board have produced the documents to the DoD), the USAF Science and Technology funding for aircraft is ten times greater than the funding of entire military rotorcraft efforts. This disparity makes it extremely difficult to afford not only new aircraft designed for the post WW3 environment, but even effective countermeasures are hard to fund sufficiently. New better engines for rotorcraft has been repeatedly gone unfunded, to the point that the engine producers do not take any proposal to work on them seriously enough to invest corporate start up funds. Likewise the same with the major rotorcraft manufactures.

    Sorry if I am off topic and ranting, but having recently retired from Army Aviation in the US I take great umbridge at laments of the emptiness of the Air Forces pockets.

    Well off topic to that of course is the fact that the traditional Army branches: Armor, Infantry, Artillery etc, don’t treat Army Aviation with much respect.

    in reply to: Super Hornet Odds……….. #2529036
    ELP
    Participant

    Could someone explain to me, why it is F-18F or nothing ? I mean the -E/F has nearly as much in common with the vanilla Hornet as any other US/Western fighter :confused:

    Well in Australian service there is enough “commonality” real or perceived to get by politicos:

    RAAF things not all inclusive:

    Current new combat crew sims inplace are really Super Hornet combat crew sims tuned to do legacy Hornets

    Joint Helmet Mounted Cueing System is already being setup for legacy Hornets.

    F-18F falls in nicely with RAAF netcentricity being stood up. ( The sims mentioned above, Wedgetail, networks etc )

    Lots of existing Hornet “culture” ( ops, maintenance, logistics/procurement {where the same vendors are already inplace}

    It kinda looks like a Hornet.

    Conversion time. USN units converting to Super Hornet didn’t take very long.

Viewing 15 posts - 601 through 615 (of 2,195 total)