*Dr* Carlo Kopp is not an idiot. His strategic analysis may be viewed as paranoid by some, but his technical competence is far more impressive than anyone’s on this web-board, that’s for sure 🙂
And I doubt he’ll view Singapore’s purchase of F-15T (if they purchase it) as a threat to Australia.
If the Su27/30 flying around is not such “better” as a F-15, there is no justification for a F-22.
Yes there is- it’s in the F-22s title: “Air Dominance Fighter”. Military’s don’t seek parity- the advanced Su-30MK variants and the Su-35, and soon, the new Su-37 (not the old thrust-vectoring testbed, a real new Flanker variant), have already significantly eroded the superiority of the F-15. They want the enemy to not stand a chance. That way you minimize your own casualties if a war starts, or, even better, intimidate the enemy into not even trying to contest the issue.
Damn, we should’ve found this article:
They Will Name a Strategic Bomber after Valeriy Chkalov
The Russian Federation air force command has give preliminary agreement to name one of the Tu-160 strategic bombers of the aircraft regiment based in the city of Ehgel?s (Saratov Oblast?) after the famous Nizhniy Novgorod airman, Valeriy Chkalov, the first vice governor of the Nizhniy Novgorod Oblast, Yuriy Sentyurin, reported to journalists today, 3 September, after a meeting with the regiment?s commander, Colonel Aleksey Serebryakov.
According to Yu. Sentyurin, Chkalov’s name will be conferred upon the airplane after the signing of a corresponding agreement of the Nizhniy Novgorod Oblast? with air force leadership, details of which are being discussed now.
The agreement will provide patronage of the Oblast? government for the bomber.As already has been reported, the 100th anniversary since Valeriy Chkalov?s birthday will be marked on 4 February 2004.
The information was provided by the Nizhniy Novgorod news service.
Source: 03.09.03, Regions.RU
Unfortunate there’s no bort in the article.
Of course but he’s not going outright lie about the figures. These are information that’ll be pass along to the buyer. Even if we were generous to the Flanker and cut Saab’s figures in half, the Gripen would still be FIVE times more efficient operation wise.
He’s not obligated in an interview to tell the absolute truth- to a buyer, things get … contractual, so it’s a bit more iffy. Not to mention we don’t really knwo what his benchmarck for ‘efficient operations’ is.
Correct, they were derived from Western ones and 10 more years of focused development along a basically Westernized road would see them in much the same level as the Western secondaries. As I said earlier the US, France and UK are primaries. Russia is key competitor to Western tech but runs a distance second in everything but airframe and aerodynamics.
This was a Soviet thing more than a Russian thing. Since the opening up, Russia has access to commercial Western electronics as much as any other country, and can take advantage.
Nope, it has everything to do with them though the planes will be assembled in St. Loiuis. This is a classic offset program.
I just don’t see how building the F-15K in America is going to help SK companies that much. I think T-50 is more significant, really.
The AESA radar for the F-2 was planned from work in the 1970s and 80s (which actually resulted from naval work, if I remember correctly.) In fact, until the US politics got involved the 1980s, the Japanese have planned the F-2 around getting the first active electronically scanned array into the air. This was to be their coup. Scanned arrays are possible only with miniaturized eletronics and this was what the Japanese were good at.
Ah you’re referring to AESA.
The Mig-31’s scanned array appeared publicly in 1991. According to what I read.
Yeah- as in the West first saw it in 1991. It was introduced in service when the MiG-31 was- the MiG-31 never had any other radar but Zaslon.
Depending on the circumstances. Smaller plane, smaller radar, big plane, big radar. Reach of their bvrs are about the same. The AMRAAM has a proven record, the R-77 doesn’t.
Reach of the BVRs wouldn’t be the same because the Su-35 will, assuming at least equal pilot competence, be entering the fight with more energy, and will always have the greater amoung of fuel (unless caught at a serious disadvantage out of reasons of incompetence) to maintain/improve it’s energy state. Not to mention it’s greater thrust. I honestly can’t believe they talk up “the world’s first fourth generation fighter” and yet it’s thrust-to-weight ratio doesn’t even equal unity!
And produced by a Westernized state, 1/3 the size of Sweden 🙂
With ridiculous levels of American aid 🙂
Well, if Italy, S Korea or Sweden, had poured treasury enough to bankrupt the nation, like the USSR did, into its arms development, you could could see a first rate monster-sized “air superiority” fighter from any of those nations.
Probably, but IMO the USSR didn’t collapse from exorbitant defence spending- it collapsed because Gorbachev was an idiot. 🙂 He tried to change everything at the same time and lost control- if minor reforms had been introduced over a long period of time (including reduction in the size of the military) things would’ve been better.
Again, they’d probably be bankrupted 😀
Yehah.
Resources that are well spent. Their standard of living is incredibly high too.
Personally, I don’t think they’d lose anything (well, besides fighter tech) from purchasing Yank fighters.
The fighter project is pretty noteworthy in speed of development and capability.
It first flew in 1988, but entered service in 1997. If you include development time before first flight, it doesn’t seem too fast.
Ah, but they can’t. They are locked into process of building a plane that was designed in a system that no longer exists. Chengdu are blazing far beyond them with techniques and doctrines that are for all intent and purposes westernized (again, this is a point repeated again and again in the FC-1 articles.)
FC-1 articles by who? Chengdu? 🙂 IIRC, Su-27SKs/J-11s are not produced with old Soviet tooling. When the aircraft was designed doesn’t matter- it has no effect on it’s capabilities and it’s awesome current and future potential. Now, the only disadvantage Shengyang really has, IMO, is that they’re perhaps not learning as much as Chengdu. Look at it this way- if the USA and the West in general no longer existed, but someone was license producing the F-22, would it matter that “the system” no longer existed? You’ve still got the aircraft, who cares?
He most certainly is being realistic. But not all pilots are so. Try reading stuff from pilots concerning the MKI 😀
It’s always the best plane in the world and beats the F-15 hands down 😀
Considering the articles of the USAF shock at the results of the Su-30K vs F-15 exercies (not what they expected), it’s not unreasonable to think that the much-improved Su-30MKI is the best plane (air superiority wise) in the world. IMO, until the F-22 reaches service, it’s a justified point of view when you compre the aircraft. However, I’m sure if you asked an IndAF pilot which the best AF was, he’d still say USAF.
Apperantly they are looking for a good striker and M2K is probably a better striker than Mig-29, I am not really an expert on it but doesn’t the M2K better weapons than Mig-29?
The Mirage 2000 and MiG-29M1/M2 can carry the same kinds of weapons- laser guided bombs, anti-radar missiles, anti-ship missiles etc, TV-guided weapons, etc. Mirage 2000 has an advantage in that it can use the SCALP EG/ Storm Shadow stand-off weapon. I don’t know if MiG-29M1 is configured for Kh-59M carriage, but I doubt it.
[quote]I wonder how much is it to maintain and run a Mig-29M compared to Mirage-2000-5/-9? Vympel, you got any info?[/quote
Unsure, sorry.
I always thought, besides Mig-29’s crappy range that it’s maintenance cost was the biggest weakness.
The MiG-29M1/M2 carries has a lot more range than the original MiG-29, so that’s not a problem.
http://www.defesanet.com.br/fx/dinheiro21jan04eng/
“Dinheiro: Is there an economic advantage of Gripen over its competitors?
McNamee: Cost of hour/flight of Gripen is extremely low. I could mention, as a reference, that Gripen costs about US$ 2,300, while this cost goes up to about US $ 8,000 for the F-16 and US $ 25,000 to Sukhoi. This means, to fly a Gripen is 10 times less expensive than a Sukhoi.”
Heh- he *is* the CEO. He’s paid to talk up his fighter.
They don’t because they spend most of their time developing and implementing commercial projects that make them money. If Taiwan had continued with their aviation projects after the FCK-1, they’d have a pretty advance industry today. The Sky Sword AAMs are even indicative of their capability.
Not really- a lot of the IDF components are either taken directly, or derived, from Western ones. Assuming 10 more years of development I still don’t see them acquiring the full spectrum capability that so far only the US, Russia, France and the UK have demonstrated (with China coming).
Korea? You watch what happens with the T/A-50 and the F-15K. This is will be like the Korean car industry. The Koreans are going appear out of nowhere and impact the aviation scene.
The T-50 is just an advanced trainer/ light fighter. They’re doing what Yakovlev’s doing. The F-15K really has nothing to do with them- it’s being produced in the US (the F-15 St Louis line was saved from closure by the F-15Ks victory).
Heck, the thing’s still in development. The Japanese had a hard time with their scanning array and they’ve been at it longer.
It’s capabilities are being improved, but it is fully operational. The Japanese have been at scanning arrays longer? I don’t know much about Japan’s efforts in that regard, but the MiG-31 had the world’s first operational PESA in a fighter, over 20 years ago.
If the Su-35 and the Gripen are both delivered tomorrow, my money’s on the Gripen being able to acquire and lock on the giant Flanker more reliably 🙂
If it employed any signficiant RCS reduction measures, I might agree, depending, but it really doesn’t- combined with it’s small pulse doppler compared to a big PESA, I don’t think it stands much of a chance.
There is a reason China went to Israel for its AWACs.
Phalcon is supposedly very good.
The Gripen is hardly not a “real air superiority fighter” 😀
Jack-of-all trades- when I think air superiority, I think a fighter with dominant capabiltiies, top of the food chain sort of stuff- that’s the realm of Eagle, Flanker & Raptor. *Perhaps* Typhoon, but I have misgivings about it.
Well then, let’s see a non-western country the size of Sweden design, build and operate hundreds of fighters like the Gripen.
I’m not saying they could, all I’m saying is that Sweden’s limited size/resources limit the utility of its fighters. It has a good little niche market going, but Saab’s never going to expand signficantly out of that niche.
Anytime a small nation of 25 million builds a plane and hangs a homegrown ARH BVR on it, it’s like “WOW!” 😀
The achievement is noteworthy, but the actual fighter- not so much 🙂
The fact is if you look at the Chinese press (especially the FC-1 ones), China’s main concern is catching up to Western standards and Western ways of doing things. And a big reason is because China was being left behind by the Westernized Asian states on its periphery.
Shenyang is considered at a major disadvantage to Chengdu because it is locked into the J-11 program. I’ve posted articles on this before.
The should let Shengyang play with the Su-27SK design then, if they aren’t already. Su-27SKM availability might make this redundant, unless they’re looking to do something more similar to Russia’s second-stage Su-27 upgrade (new radar etc).
The lead test pilot for the FC-1 and J-10 (and trainer for PAF J-7 pilots) when asked about the best air forces and aircraft in the world, simply answered Israel and the US respectively. This is a veteran of a communist air force full of Flankers. You’d think his natural bias would be to aircraft his country owns.
He’s simply being realistic. The dominant super-power will always have the best aircraft/airforce, there just isn’t an alternative. They have the most comprehensive set of abilities in land, air, and sea war by default.
On the SU-35 and Gripen.
Without doubt these are fighters from different classes but the fact is they were in the same competition. Capability-wise, they are close in the Brazilian view even though one is nearly twice the size of the other (and also guzzles up to 10 times the fuel/operation costs.)
Up to 10 times? Figures?
A large fighter will always be more capable than a smaller one because of weapons load, range and capacity for future upgrades/revisions/additions.
Yes.
But a trademark of technical advantage is the ability to do more in a less space. This began with Western solid state circuitry, all the way down to today’s microchips. Even Westernized Asian states like Taiwan and S Korea have fabrication abilities beyond anything Russia has or will have in the foreseeable future.
I don’t see Taiwan/ S Korea handling the type of military technology the Russians do- there is too great a tendency, IMO, to translate just one field of technical advantage and put that in all fields.
Another trademark is reliability. The F404 will be more reliable than the AL31. The Ericsson MM radar will be more reliable on finding, tracking and keeping lock than the Zhuk. The Gripen will be in the air more often than the Flanker.
These are fair enough assumptions, depending on what degree you’re talking about- except for the Ericsson MM radar bit- firstly, the Su-35 uses N011M- as a damn large PESA, it will be far more capable in finding, tracking, and keeping a lock than any mere pulse doppler. The Ericson simply doesn’t have a prayer of competing on an equal level in the ability to find and kill targets.
Sweden is just a small representation of the Western package (project management, user studies, marketplace goals, reliability, economics, etc.) It has only 8m people. It just so happens that it is one of the smaller Western states that decided it needs to develop fighter planes.
It’s small status etc. reflects it’s fighter plane design- the Gripen is quite the unremarkable aircraft, technical and capability wise. Realistically, to expect Sweden to be capable of designing a real air superiority fighter just because it has some Western attributes just isn’t reasonable.
We saw other example in a westernized Asian state like Taiwan in producing the FCK-1 in short order. And not only was the FCK-1 up and flying fast, it also came with its own ARH bvr (TC-II.)
Meh- same class as Gripen. An interesting plane, but not deserving of any big wows.
Well, some of this has changed, but the aircraft have mostly moved around within the CIS, so the end result number is still basically a constant:
Russia itself has approximately 400 Su-27s- with 236 in the zone west of the Urals and a further 30 under control of Naval Aviation.
Ukraine had approximately 70 (according to Arthur, sold some, don’t know to who), Uzbekistan has 31, Kazakhstan had 16 (Russia transferred some, so this number is now higher, but as I said the end result is still the same) and Belarus had 24 (may have sold some?)
So the absolute maximum number is close to 540 aircraft, give or take several dozen or more.
(this doesn’t include Su-30s & Su-33s)
I like these absolute statements.
A Su-30 is better than a Gripen.
A F-14 is better than a F-18.
A F-15 is better than a F-16.
Always it depends. In which enviroment a weaponssystem is operated?
Which personal, which tactis and which equipement are used?
Which are the neighbours and what are their capabilities?
The nominal best could be a waste of money and ruin the overall capability of armed forces and the economy feeding it.
For Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland, Oman and s. o., what will be the best, differs considerabely from Russia and s. o.
Brasil is a large country with long distances. But where comes the threat from?
Burning tons of fuel to patrol the Amazon never meet a hostile fighter there is not a clever idea. A good surveilance network is more important to alert an interceptor, if such need arise really. To do an intercept ~400 km away. There is no important difference in time for a Gripen or Su-30. If you have to defend something important, you have to be nearby “every” minute, or you have not enough time to fend an attacker off. Staying for hours in the air is not clever always. An effective weaponsload of ~ 2 tons is more than enough to destroy a ground target with smart-weapons. Attacking the same target twice is the best way to enlarge the possibilty of being shot down by the alerted defences. Go in, kill and go out. Tactical surprise, when ever it is possible. The Su-35 offers Brasil more than it needs. Remembers me on PC. Do you need it to do your work or you are more interested in playing games?
But back to reality, every flying hour has it bill.
A Gripen with an AIM-120C can kill a Su-35 for shure. A Su-35 with R-77 can kill a Gripen for shure. Air combat is no football-game with fixed rules. To be at the right time in the right place is more important and a fighter ac is just a tool.
All of what you said is basically assumed whenver discussions like this happen. I never bother to equivocate about “when is it being used etc blah blah” unless the issue is a specific one. If the issue is a comparison between two aircraft and nothing more, the pilots and the countries using it don’t matter to me. One aircraft (not air *force*, which is a broader subject with many different factors) is always going to be objectively inferior or superior to another, depending on the subject.
Anyway, Brazil’s preference for the Su-35 makes your contention that it’s ‘more than it needs’ a bit odd. Brazil *needs* that range to defend it’s airspace- space is time, it doesn’t matter what’s below you.
Pavel Taran! What bort is this?
(ah, never mind, just found a nice big picture: Bort 03 it is!)
Note: 17 aircraft maximum when all the aircraft at Kazan are finished and assuming no more production.
Oh, btw Flanker_man, your Tu-160 page still lists the bort 05 as having the name Ilya Muromets. According to Tupolev Bombers (finally got my damn copy of this awesome book), it has been renamed “Aleksander Golovanov”.
Edit: Tupolev Bombers also says:
“Six Tu-160s are at Zhukovskiy, including four theoretically airworthy aircraft, of which two are earmarked for upgrade to operational status“
That would make the force 19, yes?
Awesome. IMO, that looks like a 17. Considering that the Tu-160 force, including the loss of the Mikhail Gromov, amounts to a total of 17 aircraft maximum, it’s plausible. However, if it is a 17, why would they apply the number out of sequence? Surely the last Tu-160 at Kazan is not yet complete- and to my knowledge the Ukranian aircraft are still being refurbished.
Last I checked, the entire CIS had at least double the number of Flankers you list, GD.
they are both probably the same price when you take into account Mig-29’s expensive maintenance
The MiG-29M1/M2 undoubtedly take advantage of the new maintenance systems that were developed for the MiG-29SMT, cutting back costs per hour.
Why are they building another Su-37 when there’s no point, Su-35 would probably be better for the market, I mean Su-35 is already an awesome dogfighter, why need for TVC when it will cost more, add more weight and less thurst after the weight addition?
The new Su-37 is not a remake of the original, it’s going to be an even further improved Su-35 (new avionics, engines etc)- it’s no test aircraft.