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EdLaw

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Viewing 15 posts - 511 through 525 (of 1,259 total)
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  • in reply to: Why is the F-2 never mentioned? #2509124
    EdLaw
    Participant

    The sad thing is that if Japan really wanted a big-wing more strike capable F-16 derivative, they could of course have just put the F-16XL into service. Perhaps even add the drooped nose with the Hornet’s radar, as the USAF tested on one of the development F-16s. Even add in the thrust vectoring of the MATV, and combine all these features – it would probably still cost a lot less than the F-2!

    in reply to: UK F-35 question #2509138
    EdLaw
    Participant

    1. How is the USN going to get in the manned stealth aircraft business without the F-35?

    2. Why on earth would the Marines pay all that dough for VTOL only to stick their F-35s on CVNs where it’s not needed? (The Bs are going on amphibious assault ships in place of the Harrier. BTW how many Harriers do you see on CVNs?)

    The point was that the Navy have a reasonably modern fighter type, and thus could afford to wait a few years on getting a stealth fighter. On the other hand, the Air Force needs a new aircraft, since it is not procuring anything other than the F-22 at the moment. I do not doubt the value of the F-35 to the Navy, I merely suggest that they are the least desperate, so could cope without the -C model for a while.

    As for the F-35, you seem to ignore the fact that the Marines are getting the F-35 to replace both Harrier and Hornet. The Marines may not deploy the Harrier on CVNs, but they most certainly do deploy Hornets on the CVNs! Add to this the fact that the Navy are pushing for greater integration of Marine and Navy airpower, i.e. putting Marine fighters on the carriers, to allow full strength airwings, which otherwise wouldn’t happen. So yes, I do envision the Marines operating F-35Bs off CVNs, and I’m not alone in this, since the Navy seems to think the same thing!

    in reply to: UK F-35 question #2509259
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Hmm, I do agree that there were more tactful ways of putting it, but that just happens sometimes.

    I would suggest that the unit cost of the F-35C would reduce overall with a greater number ordered, by virtue of it being produced in greater numbers. It is basic production run dynamics that a larger batch generally equals a lower unit cost. In this case, rather than buying ‘x’ of a cheaper type, and ‘y’ of a slightly more expensive type, you aim to buy ‘z’ of the more expensive one, hoping that the reduced unit cost of the more expensive one will save money overall. Frankly, I do doubt that the latter is true, i.e. it might make the -C cheaper than it would have been before, but it is unlikely to be cheaper than the average unit cost of the -As and -Cs in their numbers.

    Basically, it is a big equation, since it involves very uncertain numbers, both in terms of cost estimates, and estimates as to numbers. I doubt they will cancel either the -A or the -C, and almost certainly not the -B. I would argue that what is really needed are more cheap fighters, possibly even just F-16s or even refurbed A-10s, but that’s enough to get you shot in the USAF procurement circles…. :diablo:

    in reply to: UK F-35 question #2509336
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I have to say, the JSF may be nice, but the Navy could get by with Rhinos and UCAVs, and a small number of Marine JSFs. I am not sure why you doubt USN confidence in the UCAV concept – they are the greatest proponents of them now, especially with the USAF having pulled funding from what was J-UCAS. The Navy are very keen to get UCAVs, and are advancing the concept despite the best efforts of the USAF…

    As for hostile posts, I don’t think they really help, and there’s not really any need for them. Sealord claims to have access to a reliable, well informed source, and I see no reason to doubt this whatsoever. A lot of us have sources who we cannot reveal, it is just the simple fact of working in the industry (or around the industry). It is just something you learn to accept, and sometimes you will not be able to provide ‘proof’ to back up your points.

    in reply to: UK F-35 question #2509427
    EdLaw
    Participant

    If anything, it could be argued that the -C version is the ‘least necessary’! The Navy have the Rhino, and seem quite happy with it, and have the UCAV program on the go, so it is arguable that they don’t really need the F-35C. This is especially true if the Marines do get the F-35B, and put one squadron on each CVN, thus still giving a single squadron of stealthy fighters, to supplement a larger batch of Rhinos.

    in reply to: EA-18G #2509434
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I have to say, with the flaps down like that, it’s one hideously ugly bird! Which is actually a real shame, as the Rhino has always looked pretty good to me!

    in reply to: Carrier launch systems? #2047143
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Perhaps that explains the long projection off the bow typically known as a “briddle catcher.”

    I do have to wonder how many times you could reuse this type of cable?

    I’ve seen pictures of a tremendous number of strops being stored near the elevators on Clemenceau/Foch. At the time, I assumed that the sheer number of these cables indicated only a single use?

    Yeah, the bridle catcher was for strop catching if memory serves. It was arguably an inelegant solution, but it did its job.

    In terms of the strops, they could be reused a few times, though you would always test them. You can generally tell how damaged a strop is by the feel of it, and there is the test gear for them, and you simply have to replace them frequently. I’ve done this myself, and its not all that hard, once you know what you’re doing.

    in reply to: Carrier launch systems? #2047157
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Originally the strop was lost, but later on, they installed a strop recovery system, allowing the strop to be reused. It was, perhaps, a tad wasteful originally, but it worked.

    in reply to: Corporate air forces #2509803
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Well, I suspect that Dakota with the AI.23 probably had a better endurance than the Lightning! Perhaps it was for the northern QRA? :diablo:

    in reply to: Last Arrest Gear for HMS ARK ROYAL #2047164
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I agree, it sounds good! The one thing to note is that, in effect, if does now what the British system could have been going 40+ years ago! It’s just a real shame Britain dropped out of proper carrier ops, in favour of Hairdryers (Harriers). 🙁

    in reply to: Corporate air forces #2509946
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I doubt it, though I wouldn’t be all that surprised if Iraq hires in, say, Ukrainian Hinds, to be flown on their behalf. It is, though, important to differentiate between private companies operating aircraft on behalf of a government (this scenario), and them operating them for their own purposes. I suspect Iraq may well ‘contract out’ provision of attack helicopters, to get well trained crews, and be sure of who is using them. I doubt PMCs will try to do it themselves – ultimately, somebody has to be paying the bills for a PMC to be interested. It is certainly arguable that the most important thing for Iraq is to get ‘boots on the ground’ of their own, and then probably use western PMCs for facility protection. This makes a lot of sense, since you can be reasonably sure of the loyalties of contractors, but your own troops can often have other loyalties (as has been shown in Iraq…).

    Once the US draws down forces in Iraq, probably down below 50,000, I suspect they will simply pull back from major cities etc… It is actually what they should have done years ago, and just operate out of much safer bases in western Iraq. You then rely on small observation units in the cities, which can be resupplied by air if necessary – if they spot bad guys, they can hit them, but you don’t need the overt presence of foreign troops. With fewer troops, in safer locations, casualty rates would go down a lot, and you can still prevent bad guys from taking hold of areas (you keep up surveillance, and hit them when they come out into the open). You then provide reconstruction, medical care etc, so that the Iraqis only see you doing good things, hence appreciate the presence more.

    The Iraqi government has the biggest problem – how to rebuild their armed forces, in such a way as to be able to help defeat the insurgency, and yet have a proper national defence force. The last thing they need is to end up in five years with no real national defences, and have, say, Iran decide to do a land grab! This is why PMCs are very useful, they allow you to bring in niche capabilities, without needing to try and develop them yourself.

    In terms of getting more firepower, I think the big step will be if they start using Hinds – they won’t get any western genuine gunship. This will not happen until the US Army pulls out. It could (and probably does) happen in Afghanistan though, and makes a lot of sense there. Being able to scare the bad guys is never a bad thing, and as long as Afghanistan is dangerous(!), there will be a need for PMCs to be well armed!

    in reply to: Corporate air forces #2510174
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I believe that any tales of Apaches in private hands are somewhat made up! There is no chance whatsoever of Apaches being in private hands, especially in a weapons capable form. There are a tiny handful (I know of only one for certain) of AH-1 Cobras being privately owned, but these are demilitarised, i.e. are not weapons capable. Any attempt to make them weapons capable would immediately bring unwanted attention from law enforcement, and result in a lengthy prison sentence.

    The main helicopters being used in an armed form by PMCs are either small helos like the MD500, or larger ones like the Mi-8, which are said to be popular for use in Afghanistan. The Mi-8s aren’t really being used as helicopter gunships though, they just carry door guns, which is frankly nothing exciting, since it is only common sense in that part of the world. It is much safer to fly people around in Afghanistan, so PMCs having some Mil Mi-8s shouldn’t be a surprise, and the presence of door guns is just a normal self defence procedure. I have heard that people like Blackwater have been using some MD500s or similar to provide an aerial escort to their ground convoys, but this is not really a case of anyone asking them to hunt terrorists, just self defence.

    The one to look at though are in Africa, where it is not at all uncommon for the PMCs there (and the governments too) to have Mi-24 Hinds flown by mercenary crews. This sort of thing seems to be restricted to Africa though, and I guess makes sense, given the hostile climate that many of the companies operate in.

    in reply to: How good is the AK-47? #1793634
    EdLaw
    Participant

    One interesting thing to note is the experience in Rhodesia, where the elite troops chose SLRs over AKs pretty much every time, despite the very ready availability of the latter. They found that the 7.62 NATO round would take down enemy infantry with single shots, and even go through small trees, whereas the AK needed a few rounds to take down a determined enemy. I find it very interesting that they chose the SLR over the seemingly greater firepower of the AK, and the latter’s greater magazine capacity. Mind you, I have read that some troops were able to modify the old Bren L4 (7.62mm conversion of the old Brens) mags to fit the SLR, allowing a 30 round mag.

    I would probably want a 5.56mm weapon for close range or urban combat, and a 7.62mm NATO weapon for long range field work. The AK may be nice, but for me, it’s just too inbetween, i.e. its neither a good long range weapon, nor a good close combat weapon (being a bit too heavy for the latter). It does, however, have the major advantage of reliability. I would avoid drawing conclusions about accuracy based on the AK’s main users, who seem to like the ‘spray and pray’ method, firing as fast as possible in the general direction of the enemy. When used by well trained, well disciplined troops, the AK is a very effective weapon – just look at the Polish troops nowadays!

    in reply to: B-52 carried nuclear armed cruise missiles by mistake : US #1793715
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Mind you, they’re planning on not having any AGM-129s in service by next year, maybe they’re planning on using them all on someone, not simply retiring them! :diablo:

    in reply to: Iranian AF vs Israeli AF #2511154
    EdLaw
    Participant

    The major problem is that if Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel, Israel might logically deduce that they are likely filled with non-conventional warheads… If this is the case, the Israeli response would likely involve a few Jericho missiles, with mushroom-inducing warheads!

    Basically, the Iranians can only really hit Israel with long range missiles, since any airstrike would likely fail. Any visible Syrian involvement would spark outright war – this may make Iran happy, but I doubt Syria would be very happy about it! For Iran, they may be risking losing a nuclear facility or two, and maybe a few hundred lives, but Syria risks a conventional war, one which would likely cost many thousands of lives.

    I do agree, however, that Iran could get Hezbolah to kick up the dust, and fire some rockets etc. The problem is that Israel has had a year to re-think how to do things, and know how to do, and how not to do things. Israel would, if they’re sensible, avoid hitting Lebanese government forces, and generally just be more precise with actually hitting the bad guys.

    All in all, Iran has two basic options, conventional strike, as already discussed, or non-conventional (CBR strike). If they use CBR weapons, then things will instantly escalate out of control, with nuclear weapons flying, and lots of people not living to regret a stupid move by someone else.

Viewing 15 posts - 511 through 525 (of 1,259 total)