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EdLaw

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,096 through 1,110 (of 1,259 total)
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  • in reply to: Finland signs formal order for Umkhonto-IR missile #2054130
    EdLaw
    Participant

    It will be interesting to see what form the minesweeper takes – there is an increasing trend for regular ships to be fitted to carry an ROV and sonar suite, without being a dedicated minesweeper. The attraction is obvious in terms of cost, and since most minesweeping now is actually mine hunting (which is safer, if a bit slower), using non-dedicated ships makes some sense.

    in reply to: JAS 39 Gripen-N #2563839
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I am not sure about the whole ‘the US never intended to export the JSF’ and ‘it will not affect the unit cost if they pull out’ lines. The fact is that, when originally mooted, the JSF was expected to sell around 4000 aircraft – 2500-3000 to the US itself, with 1000-1500 for export. This would have meant a low unit cost, since development would have been spread over 4000 airframes.

    As it is now, the US may only buy 1500 total, and if they annoy the other countries, will struggle to secure 500 export sales. It does not take a rocket scientist to work out that spreading the development costs over 2000 planes means a higher unit cost than spreading them over 4000! Especially given the fact that the development cost is the major chunk of the unit cost. Also, smaller production number means lower production volume.

    ($25m construction cost + $25m development cost = $50m price tag, versus $30m construction cost + $50m development cost = $80m, that makes for a massive difference!)

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054146
    EdLaw
    Participant

    $1.5bn? Just buy the CVF instead of the LHA(R), five CVFs would allow for replacement of the (4) LHAs, and the JFK. I suspect the Marines would love to receive a ship of that size, capable of carrying a full airwing of JSFs and helicopters, unlike the Wasp class, which can only carry either a full helicopter component, or a full STOVL airwing!

    Just think, the US, UK and France all operating the same class of ships… :diablo:

    in reply to: Brazilian Skyhawks, are they any good? #2054174
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I have always thought that the A-6 might actually make a good USAF ‘Regional Bomber’, allowing a common Navy/Air Force bomber. The A-6F would be able to carry almost half the bombload of a B-52 (okay, a smaller number of missiles, but 24 500lb versus 51 500lb bombs). It would also allow the USAF to operate its own EA-6Bs (EA-6Cs). Think of the numbers –

    150 EA-6Cs for the Navy/Marines, instead of the EA-18Gs
    150 EA-6Cs for the USAF, since they currently have to borrow Navy aircraft
    300 A-6Fs for the Navy/Marines
    300 A-6Fs for the USAF as regional bombers

    That would be around 900 aircraft, more than were originally built!

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054177
    EdLaw
    Participant

    In terms of years left, I have a feeling the answer is quite a few. If operated as a training carrier, it would have an operational tempo more like the Kitty Hawk, i.e. frequent short cruises, which are relatively kind to the ship.

    As for the running costs, I am not sure I believe the $1bn per year figure, but also, you do not need a full crew to run the ship as a training carrier – you do not need all the other ships in the normal battle group. Basically, the ship just goes out for a 30-60 day cruise, a few times a year, with a very small crew (no need for a lot of the normal crew, since it is only going out for a few weeks).

    I doubt it will be bought by any other Navy – it is too expensive for the countries that cannot afford a carrier normally (okay, stating the obvious), and too old for the countries that can afford carriers!

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054206
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Trident: my suggestion that it be used as a joint training carrier was not a reference to France and Britain operating it – it was a reference to it being used as an American training carrier, with the UK and France paying some of the costs.

    in reply to: Finland signs formal order for Umkhonto-IR missile #2054215
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Part of the problem is that hovercraft always had speed as their novelty – they could make 40-50 knots, whereas conventional ships could only make 30 knots. This difference has narrowed, with high speed monohulls and cats making up to ~45 knots. Hovercraft cost a lot to run, and have a lot of downtime, so the benefits come at a very high cost. The other problem is that of integrating anything with recoil on a hovercraft – you probably cannot mount even a 40mm.

    In a few years, I suspect the USMC will probably be trying to play around with Netfires boxes on LCACs… One LCAC could probably carry 32 Netfires boxes, each with 15 missiles, meaning 480 missiles!

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054234
    EdLaw
    Participant

    It really would not be cool if Argentina bought the JFK – they would be buying it for one purpose, and one purpose only! There is no way Brazil would buy it, since they have enough problems keeping six airworthy Skyhawks aboard the Sao Paulo (ex-Foch). Japan would never buy it, since they are prohibited from having carriers, and are therefore more likely to buy a large amphib, then add a small number of F-35Bs for ‘surveillance’ to operate off it.

    Basically, it is probably not going to be sold, it will either be decommissioned, or be used as a NATO training carrier (still as USS JFK), since there is nobody else who could operate it.

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054274
    EdLaw
    Participant

    The real reason is Gordon England – he is the defence weenie who keeps wanting to cut the military to ‘improve’ it. He has a terrible history of deciding the outcome of a report, then getting the report made. Congress will, hopefully veto the retirement, since there is still a requirement for 12 carriers.

    Now, who is betting that the hawks in the Argentine government will try to buy the JFK? :diablo:

    EdLaw
    Participant

    In some ways, I often wonder if Britain might have been better building a Mig-23/27 type, i.e. single 25-30,000lb class engined fighter. It might have been a better export success, though it would, obviously, not be as good as a strike aircraft.

    The alternative would have been for the UK to go with a totally different type for the fighter role – either an advanced version of the Phantom, or perhaps even something like the Hornet or Eagle.

    I would be very careful in surmising that the Tornado beats the Strike Beagle, which has turned into one of the better strike aircraft. Also, I would not point to the JH-7 as a ringing endorsement, given that aircrafts troubled history!

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054283
    EdLaw
    Participant

    To be honest, I think the F-35 troubles could prove a godsend, with doubts over the availability of STOVL fighters hopefully meaning that the RN will get CTOL carriers. I doubt the Rafale will be purchased – my money would be on either Naval Typhoon or, more likely, the F-35C. Certainly I think the Hawkeye is the desired outcome – none of the alternatives measure up (Merlin AEW is too low, slow and short on endurance, and EV-22 is almost the definition of a white elephant).

    In terms of training, there is no real problem with operating different types – the T-45s would be common to all three nations, and only the actual fighter type would need to be country specific. As for COD, I think the best bet would be to buy time in American Greyhounds.

    P.S. Naval Typhoon may not be as insane as you may think, they need something to do with Tranche 3…

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054307
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Actually, it might not be entirely insane – if the UK switches to CTOL for the CVF, then the combination of 2 Brit and 2 French carriers would mean a large carrier training market. The US could operate the JFK as a training carrier, with US Navy, RN and MN pilots training in the US. Sort of a naval equivalent of the Canadian NFTC facility…

    in reply to: Finland signs formal order for Umkhonto-IR missile #2054313
    EdLaw
    Participant

    Neptune: sorry, I was meaning the SSMs, not the fact that it has a VLS. It was more to do with the fact that up until the missile age, ships were guaged by their main gun, which was reliant on the size. In the west, anti-ship missiles are, broadly, just anti-ship missiles, whether they are mounted on patrol boats or frigates. I agree, size does still dictate the type of missiles that can be used, particularly with Russian missiles, where they seem to have a missile for every day of the week.

    (As for the Flyvefisken, if memory serves, it is around 450 tons displacement, whereas the Hamina is a bit smaller)

    in reply to: JAS 39 Gripen-N #2564480
    EdLaw
    Participant

    I agree, and it would certainly be interesting to see how the Gripen-N stacks up against the Viper, in terms of range, warload and price.

    in reply to: JFK over to NATO ? #2054324
    EdLaw
    Participant

    It is good to know that the HASC has such a high opinion of America’s allies! Somebody really needs to give him a lesson in tact!

Viewing 15 posts - 1,096 through 1,110 (of 1,259 total)