Let me see, Israel’s 19 ‘A’s commence delivery from 2016 from LRIP V, costing $145m each ($4bn offset deal inclusive), but the Indian AF can have theirs a year earlier for only $65m a-piece- notwithstanding the trillion dollar US defence cuts to materialise this decade (would somebody explain to Mr. Shukla what JSF procurement cuts will do to the unit cost, thanks).
Sheeesh, can’t wait for his PAK-FA/FGFA critique about which he “happens to know a great deal” :D.
2º Nothing, if the four partners agree to delete the entire T3B, wich IMO is almost a certainty
Oops!! I wasn’t aware of that clause- and it’s a foregone conclusion that’s what’ll happen- the FT doesn’t half beat the apocalyptic drum sometimes. Apologies to Scorps82 also. 😮
In other news Alenia Aeronautica/ Finmechannica are heading an Italian trade delegation to New Delhi next week, so watch for any interesting leaks or hints regarding EADS’ bid.
.. I`m just saying that there is no actual reason that Rafale cannot discount just as much as Eurofighter… All things said, with what seem like lower support costs, I expect Rafale WILL aim for a higher profit margin, but with enough margin that they can expect to still undercut Eurofighter.
Perhaps Eurofighter will be only too happy with slimmer margins. The Germans are making sizeable cuts to their procurement programme and are expected to announce such measures shortly. Berlin now wants to buy 140 instead of the contracted for 177 Eurofighters, they may attempt to emulate the UK-Saudi deal of Spring 2009 (which allowed the former to sell on part of its surplus contingent), with India.
This would save the Germans billions of Euros in penalty payments.
With so many variables, the dynamic of this race changes by the week! EADS’ hand is much stronger (imho), also M2K’s upgrade cost was a massive miscalculation by Dassault and doesn’t bode well for Rafale’s lifecycle cost in their L1 bid.
“First one back to base gets the targeting pod!!”
PAK-FA will have its own specific family of A2A munitions, so it doesn’t need Meteor in the long run really.
I was referring to the IAF machines only. If the ‘Super-30’ gets Taurus, Meteor will follow- definitely later for the FGFA, (imho):
The MBDA has also offered its MICA and Meteor missiles to the IAF and said that they can be integrated with various types of aircraft operating in the IAF.
http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2011-10-17/news/30289904_1_mbda-missile-system-iaf
Sorry in regard to Your optimism … but is that already “fact” or again only a “wishfull-thinking” if, when and so on, especially since the Indian Flankers will also be modified for their own Astra AAM (which is surely not in the class of the Meteor).
Deino
Around 2015 the IAF will face a decision to standardise on it’s MRAAM, the choice will be Meteor or the successor to the R-77. For various reasons, it won’t be the latter. Astra is slated for LCA, MiG-29K/UPG, Mirage 2000 etc.
Like you intimated, it’s inconceivable the IAF would risk such high value assets such as the ‘Super-30’ and FGFA with an inferior missile (much as that would be on your wish list!). You must’ve heard MBDA’s ‘Taurus’ has already been linked to the ‘Super-30’? Also:
The MBDA has as well provided [RFPs for] its MICA and Meteor missiles to the IAF and pointed that they could be operational in different aircraft of the Indian Air Force.
http://www.indiandefence.com/taurus-stand-off-missile-system-offered-india-20111019/
We’ll know for sure soon. Watch this space, huh? 😉
and the source is…?
MBDA is part owned by EADS and when India select Eurofighter and are welcomed as an ‘equal’ partner, they will set about integrating the Meteor (including the development of the compressed launcher), with the FGFA- barring any technical issues with the NO36.
As Quad said, the upper-tier of the IAF will standardise on the Meteor.
Happy Diwali everyone!!
Technically the AH-64D didn’t win the competition, as the Mi-28NE was eliminated on technical grounds- the former remains the sole bidder:
While this may pave the way for New Delhi to select the Apache, being left as a sole bidder could actually delay the process of ordering the U.S. helicopter since sole bidder programs are extensively regulated under new anti-corruption policies. Selecting the AH-64D will also pave the way for India to receive the AGM-114L-3 Hellfire Longbow anti-tank guided missile for the first time. The failure of the Russian helicopter also means a setback for the two companies counting on providing the weapons for the helicopter – European MBDA Missile Systems and Israel’s Rafael Advanced Defense Systems. Both competed on supplying the missiles for the Mi-28N or Ka-52 helicopters, hoping to win a ‘short cut’ into future Indian Army and Air Force programs.
I think the report claims the Mi-28N failed the technical evaluation on 20 points, it doesn’t say the Apache beat the Mil by those 20 points, but had better performance.
It’s a no-brainer, the Mi-28NE is nowhere near to the performance of the AH-64D, though I had thought the option of integration of PARS-3 would’ve boosted it’s chances significantly (particularly as they may go with MBDA to arm the LCH).
USS, are you aware of any issues/limitations not addressed by the Block III upgrade? (aside from being maintenance intensive in certain operating conditions).
The total cost is ~$1.4bn.
A notice issued by the US Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA) on 27 December estimates that a direct commercial sale of 22 AH-64Ds, plus weapons, sensors, spares and training would cost about $1.4 billion.
The DSCA also says the possible sale to the Indian air force would include 50 General Electric T700-701D engines, over 1,350 Lockheed Martin AGM-114 Hellfire missiles, 245 Raytheon Stinger missiles, 12 Lockheed/Northrop Grumman APG-78 fire control radars and 23 Lockheed modernised target acquisition designation sight/pilot night vision sensors.
Finally some numbers that represent what is realistic instead of those $10 billion figures that have been floating around for ages.
The numbers’ game:
NEW DELHI: The final lap in the marathon to bag the $10.4 billion MMRCA (medium multi-role combat aircraft) project for supplying 126 fighters for IAF will begin next week.
The defence ministry has issued letters to the two aviation majors left in the fray, the Eurofighter Typhoon (backed by UK, Germany, Spain and Italy) and the French Rafale, that their commercial bids will be opened on November 4.
The other contenders, the American, Russian and Swedish jets, were earlier ejected out of the race after long-drawn technical evaluation and field trials.
It will, however, take two-three weeks to determine the lowest bidder (L-1) after the bids are opened on November 4. “Huge amounts of mathematical and data verification of the lifecycle costs of operating the jets over a 40-year period, with 6,000 hours of flying, as well as cost of ToT (transfer of technology) will have to be done,” said an official.
Final commercial negotiations with the L-1 vendor will then begin before the contract is ready for signing by early-2012. While the first 18 jets will come from abroad, the remaining 108 will be manufactured by Hindustan Aeronautics after ToT from end-2016 or early-2017 onwards.
As earlier reported by TOI, India is likely to go in for another 63 fighters after the first 126 fighters, which will make the entire project zoom well beyond $20 billion.
FGFA will carry 6 (SIX!!) MBDA Meteors internally!!! -You heard it here first! [rapturous applause]…
Nice view of LG mechanism:

Easily enough room for 3 compressed:

TIE fighter attacks Yak-130:

So now the evidence of LM’s corruption is the lack of evidence? Who’s grasping at straws now 😉
Corruption is a very serious allegation and very difficult to prove, especially against a defence company -the UK’s SFO will tell you that! (remember BAE Systems and the Saudi Typhoon deal?). I suspect defence dealings in the US are even more opaque.
LM’s problem is that it has become too cosy with, and far too accustomed to, it’s ‘black world’ Skunk Works projects of the good old days. Then it could tell Congress “just sign the cheque and don’t ask any questions!!”along with the formidable product that is the F-22 and evading any meaningful Nunn-McCurdy sanction for the F-35, this hubris just won’t wash this coming decade- which will be a difficult, lean time for (mainly Western) defence contractors.
The financial tide has receded and a bloated LM has been left beached with it’s trunks down, that’s why the F-35 continues to be the target of such animosity, which will likely increase especially if the ‘B’ gets cancelled. Irrespective of the scandalous cost escalation, LM’s saving grace may be the F-35 living up to its billing- which at this point in time, is not a certainty.
Isn’t that what capitalism is meant to be?
The communists suffered that problem too. 😀
This problem is endemic in all major defence programmes (also civil programmes) the lowest bid for the tender wins the contract having fulfilled the RFP, a short while down the line so much money has already been expended that the programme becomes ‘too big to fail’, and a U-turn or selection of an alternative- ‘not economically viable’. Although LM is the clear ‘King of Creative Accounting & Empty Promises’, others are culpable Eurofighter, BAE Systems, Northrop, HAL, Sevmash (for INS Vikramaditya and now for the 3rd Yassen class, ‘Kazan’) to name but a few.
I think PAK-FA is going down the same route too. Notice how IAF procurement numbers have fallen, and the 2-seater development will be a drawn-out affair. Indian ‘involvement’ in the 2nd stage engine appears to be a case of separate auditing for the FGFA, and will involve a massive, up-front cash injection.
I’m sure the former senior staff of Lehman Bros. would feel right at home with many of the world’s leading defence companies (if they aren’t already).