So, according to you, having several hundred unfinished aircraft needing to return to factory to be of any real use is a good thing?
In normal world it is called waste of resources and money… but, hey.. in F-35 wonderland money is not the problem, right? it just keeps flowing, and flowing… and flowing…
Unfinished? When is a fighter ever “finished?” Are the Rafales with PESA’s unfinished?
The F-35s that have been produced to date are in use right now, training, developing tactics, maturing maintenance and sustainment practices, and so forth.
In 2018 will aircraft need updates? Of course… just like they will many times after 2018.
Besides, isn’t France the country in the process of re-manufacturing the earliest Rafales right now?
Lets try to keep things above fanboy level here.
Brazil’s economy has had about as bad a two years as possible. I’m sure they are looking to keep the program going and weather the storm.
The last few years has seen many nations signing contracts or producing at a minimum rate just to keep key defense industries on life support: France-Dassault (Rafale), Brazil-embraer (gripen), Russia- Mig branch of UAC, Israel- Elbit, Elta, IAI (list is too long to name nations that Israel is selling advanced avionics potentially not in Israel’s best interests, potential Silent Eagle deal), India- possibly the worst offender of pouring money into “make in India” even if it drives up costs to astronomical levels, US- basically every shipbuilding deal looks at keeping Ingalls/ Newport News, GD Bath/NASSCO, Electric boat, solvent.
No doubt times are pretty hard all around, but a new air frame with a production run of 100? Every upgrade, every spare part, etc… it has the makings of a procurement disaster.
It is easy to say that Brazil might buy more later… lots of things might happen, but for any potential buyer Gripen NG would be a hugely risky choice. Who is going to keep the program viable ten years from now? All fighters run into issues with things like component obsolescence, etc. With the Gripen NG going into production soon but with production scheduled to continue to around 2030… what incentive does any manufacturer have to keep a component in production for a jet being produced at a rate of only a handful a year?
But why? The UAEAF has the most advanced F-16s going, Mirage 2000-9’s, and a very sweet budget. They could buy whatever they want (except the F-22 and the F-35). Why an armed crop duster?
Cost, the UAE doesn’t have a bottomless pot of money and whacking technicals just doesn’t require anything with an F-16 Block 60’s level of capability.
By buying these armed turboprops they can greatly increase their force structure and provide a heck of a lot more coverage at a lower cost. It is really a very intelligent decision on their part.
Another blow for a fan-favorite program. There is more bad news in the article:
He expects to stand up an initial squadron of 12 aircraft in central Brazil near the capital, and aircraft deliveries will continue at a rate of two per year thereafter. The location of the second squadron has not been defined, he says.
They had better hope that is a typo-o or mis-quote. Trying to spread the production of 24 jets of 12 years is going to result in some very pricey jets.
Honestly, with a total order book (Sweden and Brazil combined) of ~100 aircraft I don’t see how they can possibly hope to keep the program viable.
1. Needed it. The original radar was inferior to CAPTOR.
Even if we accepted that as true, and that original radar was fully functional with air to ground modes, etc…
The SH still received a new radar 10 years ago.
2. Never built with anything else, & remind me – when was it declared operational? Have any actually been deployed anywhere? And how many of the three variants?
Of course not. In case you haven’t noticed, almost nobody in the West is building fighters with mechanically scanned radars anymore. (I mean the Iraqis just got some F-16s… but other than that?)
There is no way around the fact that the Typhoon is way behind the curve here, and has been for some time.
As for the F-35’s IOC, that was this summer for the F-35B. No, they haven’t deployed yet.
Don’t forget that the users said they’d rather stick with CAPTOR than have some of the AESA radars on offer, because it’s such a good radar. Some of the time taken to get an AESA on Typhoon is due to the users demanding that they don’t lose some of the performance of CAPTOR by moving to an AESA.
Plus it didn’t cost them as much money… :rolleyes:
This has always been a money problem.
I’ve been around here for a long Time.
Don’t act like you don’t know the early LockMart SC stamp.
Um? Meaning what exactly?
Yes it started with F-22.
Then F-35 started off as SC requirement very early in its development.
Guess LM thought the Huge F135 was a savoir, and SC was a fact.
The F-22’s SC requirement came from the ATF program, set by the USAF. Source on the F-35 claim?
Later in F-35 development, it quickly became clear that this was doubtfull.
Then the first report of F-35 KPP came out.
The SC requirement from LM vanished like smoke on the water from their advs divisjon.Sometime later, it missed out more KPP in report.
By then the die hard LM community was in a state of panic.
And ever since then, Sensor fusion was the new black.The F-35 can’t do Mach 1.2 in SC.
End of story.By SC deffinition.
The F-15E, EF and Su-35S can.
An interesting story. Seems like it would be very easy to dig up a source to support it. 🙂
This coming from you is rich. I have the exact numbers for Typhoon from the UK´s NAO and i have the exact numbers for the JSF program from the USAF and US Navy comptroller, believe me you dont want to go that way.
Those aren’t apples to apples, besides, the F-35 is just getting started and it remains to be seen how costs will shake out.
“Far more”
Let me get the exact UK numbers for you:
Page 172 https://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Appendices-and-project-summary-sheets.pdf
My, my, from 16064 million pounds to 18189 million pounds?! Shocking, just shocking…
These numbers are not disputable by the way, they are the absolute latest from the UK NAO.
Over what time period and for how many jets?
I do not disgree.
But there was at first the SC F-35.
Then there was the F-35, relaxed SC.
And what you state now, the F-35 not SC.
It all depends on the definition used. If sustained M1.2 flight without burners is “supercruise,” then yes, the F-35 can supercruise.
The question of whether or not that is tactically useful is another issue entirely.
LockMart at its best..
Huh?
Its debateble if SC Mach 1.2 with weapons is useful or not..
It least You’re get better accellerating performance up the charts, which could mean less time on AB.
Supercruise has little to do with acceleration. It has everything to do with dry-thrust to drag ratio at high-transonic or supersonic speed. Depending how a design is optimized this doesn’t really say a great deal about how a fighter will accelerate in any general sense.
Well there you go then. USAF F-16s must still be on M-Scan too.
Of course they are. They are also in the process of being replaced.
Where?
Everywhere
The German defense ministry has no overview of the costs it is incurring for Airbus Group’s (AIR.PA) Eurofighter jets and will spend twice as much as it originally planned on the country’s most expensive defense project, federal auditors said.
The German Federal Court of Auditors, which oversees the government’s financial management, said in a report the costs for the Eurofighter jets over their life cycle would climb to around 60 billion euros ($83 billion) from an originally planned 30 billion, despite the number of jets having been reduced.
The auditors said operating expenses, especially maintenance costs, had increased particularly strongly.
They also said the budget of 11.8 billion euros the defense ministry had calculated in 1997 for the purchase of 180 Eurofighter jets would only be enough to buy 140 of the planes.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/30/us-germany-eurofighter-airbus-group-idUSBREA3T06C20140430
Only six Eurofighters in Spain’s Quick Reaction Alert (QRA) service in bases at Morón de la Frontera and Albacete are currently capable of taking off, according to military insiders. These jets are kept ready to scramble 24 hours a day, year-round, to intercept suspicious aircraft in Spanish airspace.
Spain only ordered a total of 73 Eurofighters: 19 of the original Tranche 1, 34 of tranche 2 and 20 of Tranche 3A.
These Tranche 1 aircraft have major support issues, acknowledged by the industry and experts say little planning has taken place to support the jets once they have been delivered.
In addition, the contract with Eurofighter for the redesigns associated with delivering the upgraded did not include any provision for later components to be compatible with the earlier T1 jets. Subsequently, companies stopped building the new components, leading to a shortfall.
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2014/10/29/spanish-airforce-eurofighter/
Unfortunately this means that we’ll need to support them and keep them flying into the future – all the way to 2030 on current plans. In general, a military aircraft typically costs two or three times in support over its lifetime what it cost to acquire: that would be a horrifying £46bn at minimum in the case of Eurofighter, enough to replace Trident twice over. Allowing for the fact that we will scrap 53 planes of 160 early, we’d still be looking at £30bn or more.
Amazingly, however, the MoD tells the NAO that it expects to pay no more than £13.1bn to keep its fleet flying until the end of its life. As the auditors dryly note, “Living within the support cost budget will be challenging”. They point up some problems in particular:
The Department is confident that it can deliver the full range of support for the reduced number of aircraft within the originally approved figure of £13.1 billion.
Risks remain … prices on Typhoon contracts are negotiated with United Kingdom industry on a non-competitive basis under longstanding agreements which enable industry to recover agreed overhead costs. The Strategic Defence and Security Review accelerated the retirement of Harrier to April 2011 and committed to reduce the Tornado fleet by half by 2015 with consequent reductions on work placed with industry. Unless industry is incentivised to restructure to manage this reduced workflow there is a risk that, under the existing arrangements, the costs of under-utilised industry assets will be re-charged to the Department on its remaining contracts – notably Typhoon …
The collaborative arrangements present serious challenges if the Department is to upgrade and support the aircraft quickly and cost-effectively …
And indeed the MoD, referring to its pie-in-the-sky £13.1bn estimate of Typhoon support costs, admits in a very small footnote:
[Estimates of support] costs exclude … the impact of Strategic Defence and Security Review decisions and the impact of changes to industry overheads.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/03/eurofighter_nao_analysis/?page=4
A bit like posts about the Eurofighter costing a ridiculous amount then isn’t it.
:rolleyes:
Are you even serious? How long was the F-15 in service before AESA was added? How long was the F-14 in service before bombs were added? Heck why bother with F-16s when you can just us the Tornado forever. These are some really ridiculous points.
How about the Super Hornet, which first flew in 1995, a year after the Typhoon, and was operational with an AESA in 2005… ten years ago?
How about the F-35, which first flew in 2006, 12 years after the Typhoon, and is operational with an AESA today?
There is simply no excuse for the snail like pace with which the Eurofighter program has progressed.
The lack of money is because of the Iraq War and 2008.
Wars are expensive, but really? You don’t see how the Typhoon costing far more than it was supposed to might have played a role? Why blame war? Why not blame social spending, or health care, or the overall economy?
Within the context of a discussion of military procurement budgets, the Typhoon has been an ugly mess.
Not in the air-to-air role. And even the M-Scan Captor beats the PESA on USAF F-16s.
No F-16 has a PESA.
If you’re taking Germany as an example of high costs, don’t be deceived, they just don’t believe in running an AF properly. All their aircraft have poor availability because they don’t spend enough. As for Spain, the Eurofighter didn’t cause the 2008 crash.
All operators have experienced very high costs. Who said anything about the 2008 crash?
Costs are reasonable given the level of fighter it is.
Word of advice, don’t post that Janes graphic if you want to be taken seriously. It has been completely debunked more than once.
As for AESA, we basically just haven’t been arsed. The technology to do it has been around for over a decade or more, demonstrators existed in 2000. It’s financial lethargy nothing to do with Eurofighter and everything to do with things like:
a) Dumbass wars that another NATO country drags you into, which cost a shed-load and soak up money that would otherwise be spent on developing useful capabilities, rather than fighting tea-cosy wearers; and
b) Idiot bankers who have zero understanding of risk.
If you look at countries that didn’t get involved in a), they had more money to spend.
Typhoon lacks an AESA due to lack of money. Money wouldn’t have been a problem is billions and billions hadn’t been spent developing a fighter nobody could afford to keep current.
As for wars… staying out hasn’t helped Germany much has it? If you are going to make an assertion it has to be at least minimally compatible with reality.
As for tomorrow, I think it’s quite positive. Captor-E + Meteor + Storm Shadow + Brimstone. No F-16 Block 60 will be a patch on that.
Why are people still talking about “tomorrow” with the Typhoon? Really?
It first flew in 1994 (20+ years ago) and it entered service in 2003 (12 years ago).
We are still talking about future capabilities that are years from operational service?
Besides, three of the above are weapons that could be integrated onto an F-15 or F-16 if there were a desire to do so.
Yes, Typhoon has been more expensive than it should’ve been, mainly due to partner nation procrastination, and by one nation more than the others. But since only four European nations use Typhoon in significant numbers, out of what? 40+ of the total number of European countries (I know quite a few don’t have significant armed forces, but you get my point), I hardly see how you can think that it has ‘effectively gutted European force structures’…
-Dazza
True, I will amend that to gutted the force structures of its operators.
Correct. Even the USG realizes you cannot close the factory and lay off all the assembly workers for 10 years while flight testing takes place. The costs to restart production after 10 years of inactivity would be prohibitive.
Concurrency is nothing new and has been part of aircraft production start up since WWII. But in the past, the concurrency costs were limited to discoveries during brief 2 years of targeted flight testing of well thought out stressing cases. The remaining production in the as-tested production block was often cancelled and fixes were rolled into subsequent production blocks.
Today’s concurrency costs are destined to be greater simply because of the protracted, duplicative flight testing which creeps along over a 10 year period – as mandated by the USG test personnel.
The other point people need to remember is that by doing things concurrently they have greatly sped up getting the F-35 into real operational service. If they had only built a handful of test articles and completed testing before starting production then today there would still only be those handful of aircraft.
As it is by the time 2018 rolls around and testing wraps up there will have been almost 400 F-35s delivered and the production line will be humming along briskly.
[ATTACH=CONFIG]241778[/ATTACH]
Where do you get such dreadful information?
Look at where the force structures were before Typhoon, and where they are today.
They are still producing Typhoons with obsolete mechanically scanned radars and only a minimal multi-role capability.
Lets be honest, Typhoon has been disastrous for Europe. If they had simply purchased F-16 Block 60s or similar way back in 2000 they would be far more capable today.
His data (referring to post at f-16.net) is wrong, here is the chart:
[ATTACH=CONFIG]241777[/ATTACH]So F-15E can supercruise @ M1,14 only when clean. As for F-15E drag index system, its 4 pages long but to name few relevant items;
LAU-128A launcher + ADU-552A adapter (used for both AIM-120 and AIM-9) -> Drag index = 1,1
AIM-120A -> 2,3 on wing stations, 1,3 if mounted conformally, 1,7 if mounted on CFT stations. (note that conformal mounting does not require launcher/adapter)
AIM-9M -> 2,1
Type 4 CFT -> 20,1
Type 5 CFT -> 21,3
LANTIRN -> 9,5 + 7,4 if carrying cft mounted A-G stores, 7,4 + 6,5 if not.
Mk-82 -> 0,8 if mounted without bombs/tanks on wing stations, 0,9 if mounted with bombs/tanks on wing stations
GBU-12 -> 3,9 if mounted without bombs/tanks on wing stations, 4,3 if mounted with bombs/tanks on wing stations
Mk-84 -> 3,0 if mounted on centerline, 2,1 if mounted on wing without cft, 2,3 if mounted on wings with cft, 2,8 if mounted on cft stations without bombs/tanks on wings, 3,0 if mounted on cft stations with bombs/tanks on wings.
GBU-10 -> 10,5 if mounted on centerline, 7,5 if mounted on wings, 9,8 if mounted on cft stations without bombs/tanks on wings, 10,7 if mounted on cft stations with bombs/tanks on wings.
610 Gal Fuel tank -> 12,2 if mounted on centerline, 5,5 if mounted on wing without cft, 6,0 if mounted on wings with cft, 12,3 if mounted on wings with cft with bombs on outboard cft station.So with CFT and minimalist armament of 4 AIM-120s, F-15E can barely exceed mach 1. Without CFT, it can supercruise slightly faster than M1,08 with 8x AIM-120s, or 4xAIM-120s+4xAIM-9s, or LANTIRN + 2xMk-84 bombs, or 4xAIM-120s + 2x Wing fuel tanks.
Supercruise at < ~1.2 isn’t really usable. It means you would have to be at your ideal altitude and avoid any kind of maneuvers. Even a gentle turn would result in the aircraft falling out of SC.
That is part of why the USAF defined “supercruise” as M1.5 for the ATF program. They wanted an aircraft that could actually fly like a fighter across a useful range of altitudes while remaining supersonic on dry thrust.