More about the GAO report:
The report notes that “current forecasts indicate that life-cycle costs will be substantially higher than the legacy aircraft it replaces. Rising JSF costs erode buying power and may make it difficult for the U.S. and its allies to buy and sustain as many aircraft as planned.”
The GAO also hints about “emerging concerns about … stealth-related issues” – which to those of us who have been through the history of LO, sounds a bit ominous.
The GAO worries about the extent of design changes, which were expected in 2007 to decline rapidly from early 2008 to early 2009 (following CDR) and continue more gradually after that. In all, the program now expects 10,000 more changes than planned in 2007.
Auditors: F-35 will need ‘unprecedented’ levels of funding to continue
This is not what the program needed right now. Let’s hope that the GAO is wrong.
Saab to deliver second Erieye to UAE in April.
We were offered integration of our weapons onto F-35 by Lockheed Martin, in the USA, at a price set by LM.
Sorry for the OT but: Do you have a source for that?
According to Spudmanwp the UK would not need source codes to integrate weapons, there should be some kind of interface (forgot the name). According to Mr. SWP it was the silly UK politicians who don’t understand anything of this who insisted on having the source codes….
If the American jets can win on merits(I do not see how) then more power to them.
But they will absolutely not win this deal on political pressure…not as long as Antony is the defense minister.
I don’t know the details of how India will do the evaluations but normally there are a set of technical requirements. And normally all the planes that meet those technical requirements may win.
Then there are ToT and offset requirements, as well as cost.
Now; if the SH meet all technical requirements then (for the final decision) it should not matter that e.g. the Rafale is in many ways superior from a purely technical point of view.
It comes down to the other requirements, including the costs, as long as the SH is deemed to meet the requirements and be “good enough”.
The SH is most likely the cheapest of the “big” a/c in this competition. So even excluding political considerations it stands a good chance of winning.
However the NG should also be in a very good position, for the same reasons; it will be cheaper than both Rafale and Typhoon. It also helps that India has already decided to build the F414 assembly line…
There is also the carrier capability that seems to be an advantage (but we don’t know how important it is considered).
Lokes hotlist (assuming politics and carrier capability play minor roles):
1. Gripen NG
2. SH
3. Rafale
4. Typhoon.
On verra.
Who’s more committed? Germany, with no other type planned, or the USN, with a new type already on order? Ditto Spain, with no plans for anything else small numbers of F-35B for naval use only, & the other two are committed to the EF as their primary air-air platform for the foreseeable future.
“American weapons cheaper” is an assumption, not a fact. Compare, for example, JASSM with Storm Shadow. Looking at actual procurement costs, rather than the hopelessly optimistic projections, one finds that JASSM has cost a few times as much to develop, & unit production cost is slightly higher, making per unit programme cost significantly greater.
Also, unit cost isn’t what matters. Cost/effectiveness is.
It seems to me that all three Eurocanards are still behind the SH in terms of maturity. Unfortunately. And getting things in place takes some time. If there had not been a push from the export market to get an AESA, I am sure the Typhoon AESA would have taken even longer.
Saying that “American weapons cheaper” is a generalization — however it is more often correct than incorrect. Of course one can find examples where European weapons are cheaper however in most cases the US weapons are indeed cheaper than the European weapons.
Loke – why would the UK now be thinking of phasing out an aircraft which is still in production, & which will, under any imaginable scenario, make up its main combat strength for at least the next 15 years – & probably longer?
I don’t think the UK will be phasing it out now — what I said was that I think the UK will phase out Typhoon before the USN phase out the SH. Most likely it will take 15-20 years before they do that IMHO.
The reason why I believe the UK will phase out Typhoon a bit early is of course related to the economical situation. Most of Europe is struggling economically and I think it is only going to get worse….unfortunately.
Meteor was quite impressive when it was designed… 10 years ago.
Actually Meteor is still quite impressive. The US has IMHO still not yet produced it’s like although they are certainly in the process of doing so.
And Meteor is now ready and is being ordered! One just needs to finalize the integration and that is being worked on, for all the Eurocanards I believe. 🙂
Notice I was referring specifically to USN and the UK…
Just like the UK is now phasing out tornadoes and Harriers, so will they most likely phase out the Typhoons in the not-to-distant future, mainly due to costs of course.
Germany however will probably stick to their Typhoons for quite some time. Not so sure about Italy and Spain.
When was the last T1 produced for the UK? And when will it be phased out?
Food for thought…
Hopefully the T2s and T3s will have a significantly better growth potential than the T1 did…
“Bang for the buck”, now, hmmm possibly, “bang for the buck” for the next 40 years? Don’t hold your breath. The US types are just about passed their sell by date and theres at least two other aircraft in the competition that have a lot more to offer for the future.
I think the USN will fly the SH for quite some time — perhaps longer than what the UK will operate their Typhoon… :diablo:
A lot of people says that the F-16 has limited growth potential left.
Few seem to say the same about the SH.
Loke posted the link and only the title here…
That’s mainly because it’s not easy to copy-and-paste from flightglobal.com.
Not impossible but rather cumbersome. Also, we should not copy too much in any case, due to copyright restrictions. Knowing the readers of this forum I did expect people to click the link and read the story — who could resist with such a title 😉
With all due respect,you do not understand Indian politics…there is absolutely no chance the American jets will win. This is not the same as buying transport aircrafts..combat jets are high profile items and there is no way Antony will ever agree to buy anything under American pressure. The guy has been involved in anti-American socialist politics his entire life.
If there was no chance why US jets would win, why would Antony reject the meeting? If he attended the meeting and then announced a Eurocanard to win would he then look bad in Indian media?
I did not say that he would agree to buy anything under American pressure. The fact that he rejected the meeting seems to indicate that he wants to be perceived as unbiased and “pure”. However the same fact could also indicate that US fighters may win (if you follow the logic of what I wrote above).
Make no mistake: the US fighters are very capable and quite cost-effective. So they could potentially win without too much meddling from the US. But if they do win mainly on merit and price then some people may still claim it was due to “Politics” and pressure from the US etc. etc. Perhaps that’s why he cannot meet Gates now.
As for the rumor on Rafale and Gripen; it’s just a rumor…
US friendship faces ‘St Antony’ test
US secretary of state Hillary Clinton was all set to travel to India with a power-packed delegation in just over three weeks, but that high-profile visit has now been cancelled because of Antony’s insistence that he will not be pushed around by the Americans on the biggest military aviation deal in history.
…
The postponement became inevitable after Antony firmly refused to meet US defence secretary Robert Gates who wanted to travel with Clinton to India for the dialogue and lobby on behalf of American bidders for the MMRCA deal.
Interesting… So it seems that nothing has been decided yet but that the US contenders are (as expected) in a position to win.
Although there is also this rumor:
Signals from the defence ministry in recent weeks are that Sweden’s Saab JAS 39 Gripen and France’s Dassault Rafale have an edge in the Indian selection process at this stage of the MMRCA deal.
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1110314/jsp/nation/story_13711279.jsp
Starting during the early 1990s, Sweden’s National Defence Research Establishment and the national contractor Ericsson Microwave began flight testing the 20 to 90 MHz ultra-wideband CARABAS I Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) technology demonstrator aboard the Svenska Flygvapnet’s (SF – Swedish Air Force) Rockwell Tp 86 Sabreliner testbed aircraft 86001. According to Jane’s sources, CARABAS I made use of fast Fourier transform post-collection processing and an antenna array that comprised a pair of aft-facing units mounted in 5.5 m long by 0.3 m diameter inflatable sleeve fairings. Functionally, each of the system’s multi-element antennas acted as a transceiver dipole, with each `arm’ of the array transmitting and receiving alternately. During the cited trials, the radar is reported as having demonstrated 3 × 3 m resolution at a range of 10 km.Subsequent to the CARABAS I programme, the same development team launched a second effort centred on the CARABAS II equipment. CARABAS II (which was mounted aboard SF TP 86 Sabreliner aircraft 86002) differed from its predecessor in making use of a pair of forward-facing, ultra-light, omni-directional, 8.2 m long probe antennas. As with the earlier equipment, the new system made use of post-collection processing (time domain) and maintained track accuracy via the use of a ground and air phase-differential application of the Global Positioning System. Flight trials with CARABAS II are reported to have begun during November 1996 and to have demonstrated a minimum resolution of 2 × 1 m.
More info here:
http://www.crcnetbase.com/doi/abs/10.1201/9781420037296.ch12
Interesting.
Well, I’m not sure to appreciate how Mr Trimble implies that those women were there because of Dassault… :rolleyes:
Very strange to put “Rafale” “bribe” and “prostitution” in the same title, unless he has an agenda…
No agenda, apart from generating more hits on his blog!