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crobato

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  • in reply to: Potential export markets for J-10 #2531892
    crobato
    Participant

    Yet again, 8 targets attacked for planar array… doesnt matter which fancy generation it is – downright lie. And if you want to suggest what chinese somehow building AESA… well, thats another wishfull disinformation. COTS will not help here at all. Moreover, the proccesors what are used in russian radars are very comparable to western ones in power, lagging may be 4-5 years behind at MAX – and only in some products. For example, the US fighter radars of later 90x origin use 486x equivalent processors – same as 2001-2002 origin Baguet. In most cases COTS dont work as well as you might think due to various reasons. But whats more important, many key technolgies used in radars just isn’t available as COTS. For example, phase shifters for PESA. Or ESA elements for AESA. You must remember, processors itself are only like 10% of entire radar, and many other elements are just as impoprtant. In same of these areas Russians are world leaders, even ahead of USA. As such, its very unlikely what Chinese could develop something what surpass current Russian technology, or even match it. And the current state of russian fighter radars is pretty well known – its advanced PESA in production and AESA in later development/testing stage.

    And for that reason, why do you think China now has ESA scanning AWACs and fleet defense destroyers with data fusion. I say ESA because there are some reports these platforms are using AESA. On ground, the PLA has an AESA radar called the SLC-2 which is an artillery spotter, used to spot artillery shells (which are small enough), track their direction, and reveal where they are being fired from. Ferrite phase shifters are not cutting edge, and please note, Russia does not have the capabilities to manufacture a TTL module. You cannot build fabs and refineries alone just to build miltiary TTLs or the cost is extremely prohibitive because the cost of the TTLs will have to pay for the plant and its overhead. That’s why you need a civilian commercial infrastructure that already paid the cost of the fab manufacturing TTLs and MMICs for commercial use.

    And no, no matter what good your phase shifter or TTL emitter is, it does zilch on the recieving end. Processors, ala DSPs, become all important in order to analyze all the signals, tell them apart from the noise, compare the different signals, even jamming clouds, and come up with an answer—presence, bearing, velocity, etc,. The true complexity of a radar is not on the emitting side, but on the receiving side.

    Even with MESAs or mechanical radars, there is a big difference between what a radar can do in 1985, then in 1995, then in 2005. The ability to process signals, or the computational power is exponential. Many of the cheap processors you see now embedded in commercial devices are more powerful than the 486x stuff you see in military hardware back in the 1990s.

    Then there is the advantage of hindsight. Given what you know about the EW capabilities of your potential threats, there are things you can build into your radar and FCS, things that that are not obvious like array type (which is overrated by the Internet fanbois), tracking and engagement numbers (also vastly overrated). The truth is, the most important quality to any radar right now is EW resistance, and no matter how fancy your array or your numbers are, if its jammed, its jammed.

    This is from Tom Cooper of ACIG. He posted this.

    http://www.acig.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=4996&start=0

    I do recal having participated in some discussions – involving the then local Russian air attache here in Vienna – that touched this topic too, several years back. The attache in question used to work in the development of avionics for Su-24s, for example.

    Anyway, the matter was actually about the Russian aviation industry, especially Su-27s, and their development. And, eventually, we’ve touched also the philosophy and drive behind what the Russian designers do, how and why.

    Basically (and this came out only after I think the second bottle of vodka), the matter was such that all they wanted to see were manuals of various Western aircraft and equipment. That’s what – just for example – Sukhoi should be ready to pay small fortunes for. Their designers do not care about practical experiences of their pilots or ground crews in Chechnya, or in various African conflicts the least. They also don’t care about possible requirements of their potential customers (foremost the Chinese and Indians). All they wanted to see were manuals – especially those of US aircraft – or related reports about future developments. They wanted the most basic, as raw as possible, data about technical capabilities, so they could analyse them.

    And, once they’d get these into their hands, they’d sit down and read them carefully, trying to find out what are the Americans fielding. Then they’d do their best to develop things that is either a) better (in sence of being larger/faster/reaching further), b) more powerfull (in sence of having longer range, more power output etc.), or c) could successfully counter US or European systems in their fields.

    That should be the main driving power behind their development.

    Interestingly, the Russians were also working very little on tactics or finding out best ways how to deploy these systems in (potential) combat. This was what the Chinese were doing. The attache explained how once they’ve got two highly-qualified Chinese Su-27-pilots as guests (for a month or so at least), to work with them on some system he wouldn’t go into any details about, and how these supposedly were true experts in US equipment, tactics and operational thinking. So much so, the Russians were completely surprised by sheer amount of knowledge and what kind of things these two Chinese did know (but the Russians didn’t know).

    So, interestingly, one does not get to hear much about Russians teaching anybody on EW/ECM-deployment, but others – especially the Chinese and the Ukrainians (or their Israeli counterparts) – doing this.

    in reply to: TU-16's very odd refuelling technique #2531905
    crobato
    Participant

    None.. All long gone..

    Once used by Egypt, China, Indonesia, Iraq, Libya, Ukraine and Russia. Ukraine never used those, they only inherited several airframes.

    Today, only Chinese still (pretty extensively) use their local licensed version called H-6.

    And yuh, there is even a new version, one said to be using D-30 engines, a solid nose for a big radar, and cruise missiles for armament, as many as seven to eight.

    in reply to: Servicelife vs Performance #2531924
    crobato
    Participant

    Let me translate what I meant. It could be a “pure marketing bullsh!t” to quote a classic-in-life of US planes bashing. I can’t say because I don’t know for sure. However what I red about the E is that because it was beefed-up to carry 11 tons of goodies and 15 tons of fuel in the same frame of the F 15D, the structure was strengthened. Titanium was more extensively used (compared with the D). So, it could be that the mentioned 16,000 hours represents a by-product of this strengthening process. However, I red this figure in many sources

    The amount of titanium does not really count, otherwise based on that, then the Soviet planes should indeed live the longest of all planes, especially the Flankers..

    Clue, the strength of the airframe is not on the strongest part, but on its weakest link.

    in reply to: Chinese News, Photos, and Speculation #10 #2531939
    crobato
    Participant

    No surprise, do remember the J11B prototype also served as testbed for WS-10A turbofan engine. It was reported a stall incident during WS-10A’s fly test in 2004, so at least we can see the J11B prototypes existed as early as in 2004.

    It was documented in the PLAAF official journal magazine, that the first flight of a new fighter took place in December 2003. J-11 prototype with WS-10A first took flight in June of 2002. But of course the earlier plane is a vanilla J-11 with one engine changed to WS-10A.

    in reply to: Chinese News, Photos, and Speculation #10 #2532757
    crobato
    Participant

    Close up of the HUD

    http://www.wforum.com/specials/upload/11_1084_0de28b1166eabce.jpg

    in reply to: Chinese News, Photos, and Speculation #10 #2532814
    crobato
    Participant

    J11B ‘s new HUD.this time we have clear photos. Other photos also confirm J11B has WS10A installed.

    Wonder if the FC-1 and the J-10 will get it later.

    in reply to: Compare GE F110 to AL-31 #2533359
    crobato
    Participant

    Unless your engines really really suck, I think thats good enough.

    in reply to: Servicelife vs Performance #2533371
    crobato
    Participant

    I don’t know. It’s a myth to think that Russian equipment as well as their Chinese counterparts have a short life, when in fact, they are not. The J-6s that were supplied to Pakistan for example in the sixties to seventies, only retired this decade. That’s decades of life and service, that included a few tangles with the Soviets.

    We are seeing many MiG-21s still go on and on like an energizer bunny. Once the fuel pump problem on the -bis has been found out, even the IAF’s MiG-21bis have dropped their accident rate dramatically. These are planes made in the eighties for the most part, and well over 20 years old. Likewise, in China, J-7Bs and J-8Is still made in the late seventies are still in service today and so are trainer jets called JJ-5s and JJ-6s based on the MiG-17 and MiG-19.

    So mass manufacture planes can be tough, and long lasting. However, as plane performance envelope goes up, so does its manufacturing costs. Simply said, east or west, there only appears to be one direction where next generations of fighters will go, and that is become more and more complex and expensive. And when you are investing in something more expensive, you have to make it last longer and longer.

    If you’re trying to “Microsoft” fighters by making them live short, deliberately cut their performance through a policy of “obsolete the moment they’re done”, then dangle the bait for the next cycle of upgrades, I suspect that will backfire in a most serious way.

    The PLA appeared to have settled in a purchasing and development cycle that can be illustrated like:

    A. Don’t ask for the moon. (Don’t get too ambitious in your specs). Set reasonable requirements that can easily be achieved in the short run.

    B. Build a small to moderate number of platforms based on such design.

    C. Refine and incrementally improve the performance for the next version.

    D. Loop to B.

    in reply to: F-105/F-106 vs MiG-23/27 #2533388
    crobato
    Participant

    That too. MiG-17s to 21s have pretty short fuel. Does not matter how maneuverable you are if your fuel bingoed.

    in reply to: Compare GE F110 to AL-31 #2533390
    crobato
    Participant

    Please keep this in mind.

    http://mdb.cast.ru/mdb/6-2001/at/maaesrae/

    Market of AL-31F Aircraft Engine and Stability of Russian Arms Exports

    Konstantin MAKIENKO

    Market segmentation of AL-31F/FP engines

    The market of aircraft engines depends primarily on the exports of aircraft proper. The financial flows generated on the engine market are marked by high stability and inertia. Disre*garding the price of maintenance services, re*pairs and upgrading, the estimation of which is too complicated, we may assume the following about the market segmentation of AL-31F and AL-31FP engines:

    Firstly, AL-31F engines are delivered to China, India and Vietnam together with big consign*ments of Su-27SK/UBK, Su-30K, Su-30MKK and Su-30MKI modifications.

    Secondly, as a rule a certain number of reserve engines is delivered together with big consign*ments or shortly after.
    Then throughout the ser*vice life of aircraft there remains the market of maintenance and repairs and after a certain stage – engine replacement. Up to three sets of engines are usually changed during the service life of a warplane.

    Thirdly, a separate and ample market emerges with the beginning of licensed production of Su-27SK in China and Su-30MKI in India.

    Fourthly, apart from the above there is also demand for engines in China related to its pro*gram of developing the national F-10 light fighter of the fourth generation.

    in reply to: Compare GE F110 to AL-31 #2533404
    crobato
    Participant

    Its 13.2kn apparently.

    Some excerpts from the Jan 11, 2006 JDW article on the matter.

    “Super J-10 Fighter”

    Will feature- Passive PAR, TVC, Strengthened Airframe, Russian help.

    The J-10 was originally designed to use the Zhemchug, a mechanically scanned slotted array by Phazotron, but some critical components were made impossible to copy.

    The other Bureau, Tikhomirov, recently resumed a working relationship with the PLAAF, after having submitted an early prototype of their Pero in the late 90s but with no followup by the Chinese. They are now submitting a derivative of the Pero (is this the Panda?). The Pero was originally designed for use on the Su-30KN.

    Recall the recent large order for engines in late 2005. Most observers assumed it was for more of the AL-31FN, but this is not so. It was for a new engine, the AL-31FN-M1. The M1 features an enlarged fan with inlet diameter of 924 mm instead of 902 mm, which improved thrust from 122.6kN to 132.4 kN. Also features a swivel nozzle developed by Salyut in conjunction with Zavod imeni Klimova. Similar to the KliVT used on the RD-33OVT of the Mig-29OVT- it’s improved over the IAF’s Su-30MKI in that it deflects in BOTH pitch and yaw, rather than pitch only.

    Expected to have a MTBF of 1000 hours, the requirement set by the PLAAF (which perhaps will also be the MTB of the WS-10A, if and when it enters service), and a lifetime of 2000 hours. Future upgrades include the M2 and M3, with the M3 having a new cooling system, combustor, and LP compressor that boost thrust to 142.2 kN, and give it a longer lifetime.

    Why are you asking for the engines of the 1990’s Flanker? We already mentioned that the 180 engines should be spares for the most part.

    Article in 1999 showing China has negotiated with UMPO

    Ufa records 21.7% improvement in production in 1999
    Business growing for Urals aero engine maker
    Published: 2/21/2000
    Production volume for Urals-based Ufa Engine-Building Production Organization (UMPO) rose by 21.7% in 1999, giving the company sales of 2.5 bn rubles ($89.2m). It is reported that, since April 1999, the company has eliminated ten months of wage arrears and, surprisingly, has reduced its costs by 126m rubles. UMPO was therefore in profit for 1999, under Russian accounting, with only two of its divisions making small losses, according to General Director, Valery Lesunov. Lesunov added that, in 2000, he expects all divisions to make a profit and plans to boost production by 23%. The primary product for the plant is the production of the Salyut Al-31F engine for the Su-27 and the Su-30. The engine has been further modified, as the AL-31 ST, as a gas-pumping unit. Both products are also the subject of agreements being negotiated with China, according to reports in November 1999, including a deal with Shenyang Aviation Corporation for the Al-31 for China”s licenced Su-27, the J-11 and talk of 70 pumping stations, worth $3 billion. In cooperation with Motor-SICh of the Ukraine, the factory has also been involved in the development of the An-70 power plant, the D-27 as a member of the consortium building the aircraft. Other aero engine products include the ZMBK Progress D-436T, used on the new Tu-334 and the Be-200 amphibian. The company, along with its competitor, Rybinsk, has also developed another line of business through the production of snowmobiles, under the brand name Rys, with three models. The company is looking to increase its production substantially in 2000, given growing demand in Kemerovo, Novosibirsk, and Omsk regions, where UMPO has its own dealer distribution network. Rys machines have also been exported to India, Slovakia, China, and Slovakia. Associated articles: http://www.concise.org 16th September 199;24th November 1999

    in reply to: F-105/F-106 vs MiG-23/27 #2533411
    crobato
    Participant

    When did the F-106 have a bad climbnig rate? It is the USAF’s primary interceptor, the equivalent to the PVO interceptor for the Soviet Union. The F-106 held records in speed and climb which only the F-15 broke.

    I agree on the turn rates. A large delta like the F-106 should have a very fast instantanous turn rate but slows to a crawl in sustained turn rates.

    To levsha

    If the Phantom (and F-105) can win a dogfight with a MiG-17, it should have no problems defeating the FLOGGER, and if the Phantom can defeat the FLOGGER I can’t see the ’Six’ having too many problems either (the F-105 should be in there with a shout too).

    You’re not going to win a turn fight with a MiG-17, and Duke’s victory over a top notch MiG-17 pilot comes partly from using the superior power of the F-4 in vertical maneuvers.

    If anything, when you are facing with fighters that turn better, F-4 pilots are thought to use their speed and vertical maneuver offset the turning advantage of their opponents. That may work against the MiG-17, but not entirely against the later model MiG-21 which has gobs more power, and certainly not against the MiG-23 which has the power and speed advantage. At this point, you need tactics and team coordination, and hopefully, as it often turns out, a lousier pilot on the other plane.

    One thing I have always puzzled about the F-4 Phantom, what possess them to use dihedral wings, when every fighter design, and I mean every single fighter design since the fifties, use flat and anhedral wing designs to get faster roll rates. Dihedral wings only increase stability, which does not really improve maneuverbility.

    in reply to: Compare GE F110 to AL-31 #2533417
    crobato
    Participant

    from where this 13.2ton figures come from. and u made a contract with Salut (which is now a design bureau) which in turn gave to umpo. and any way those in 1992/1996 planes need alteast 100 engines and there is no evidence anything is supplied for them untill this point.

    The 13,2t figure comes from the AL-31FMN-1 being sold to China for the J-10. Same engine core, just different gearbox location plus Klimov nozzle.

    Oh and yet these 1992/1996 planes are still flying and operational, so they must have been receiving engines.

    Lol. Salut is not just a design bureau, it manufactures its own engines. Engines for the J-10s are all manufactured by Salut in a special facility south of Moscow, and not in the Urals like UMPO. YOu must be referring to Saturn as the design bureau, and Saturn-Lyulka and Salut are not the same entity, pretty much have feuded with each other over the J-10/AL-31FN and the FM engine core issues. And that’s why Salut and Saturn/UFA/UMPO has a major tiff, each in fact proposing competing upgrades for the PLAAF engines. Because UMPO has no access to the FM core design, and has designed and proposed something called 1147 for the Indians to upgrade their AL-31FP cores.

    in reply to: Compare GE F110 to AL-31 #2533419
    crobato
    Participant

    [QUOTE=star49;1068482]I only believe on logic not on believe.

    Your posts suggest zero logic. That’s why you are the laughing stock of the forum.

    so show me where PLAAF ordered replacement engines for Su-27SK/UBK untill this point. and it is already near 10 to 15 year service. each FM series has 3000 hr life thats why they say 30% decrease in life cycle cost due to differential between MTBO and replacement.
    IAF $286m Saturn license is based on 3 sets of engines for 140 aircraft. approximately 2000 hr life for engine and 6000 for aircraft.

    Have you ever considered that this 180 engines may include spares? Many of the engines for the SK and UBK are Series 2 and would have long needed replacements by now. China got SKs and UBKs in 1992 and 1996, and MKKs and J-11s started arriving in 2000 to 2001. This is 2007 and its been more than five years since then. At 200 flight hours Sukhoi recommended time per year, these engines would have long accumulated 1000 flight hours.

    in reply to: Compare GE F110 to AL-31 #2533421
    crobato
    Participant

    http://www.salut.ru/news_.html
    FM1-1 is 13.5 ton. and in 2006 only 20 some thing of 180 engines are supplied.

    That’s funny because they said the FM1 core for the J-10 engine is 13.2kg. We like to make sure there is no article typographical errors. Salut does not speak for UMPO’s side of the contract, and I take it only 20 of the 100 engines contracted to them are supplied. That means just how many of the 80 engines that were contracted to UMPO has been delivered.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,426 through 1,440 (of 3,939 total)