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thobbes

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  • in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302152
    thobbes
    Participant

    Alas I’ve got to g but I’ll answer this one:

    At least from the prospect of the JSF Members. Which, are the ones paying for it!

    Turkey and Australia have delayed purchases (Australia only brought 2 instead of 14).

    Denmark and Canada have not purchased any and are opening up competitions for new jets.

    Italy and Norway have not brought any.

    That leaves Netherlands and UK have only purchased two test articles.

    Hence the members are not embracing concurrency.

    Also cost for member states is already high – from memory Dutch F-35s were $120 million+ a piece.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302190
    thobbes
    Participant

    There have been debates as to the viability of the fleet carrier due to increasing range of AShMs. Even former Secretary Gates acknowledged this and stated carriers were threatened with obsolesence due to increased vulnerability. http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/05/gates-takes-aim-at-navy-questions-carrier-fleet/

    Hence F-35 doesn’t meet the requirements. To keep carriers out of harms way, you need long range aircraft.

    Of course the F-35 guys aren’t going to say this. Neither is the US leadership going to say “hey we spent billions on a jet that doesn’t solve the problem of our carriers’ vulnerability.”

    Not to mention that Chinese have apparently been working on anti-carrier Ballistic Missiles.

    Bear in mind the USN’s total requirement for F-35 is 260 a/c (+80 for Marines) and the Navy has recently come out stating that orders might be cut.

    If F-35 is a wunderwaffe one would think the Navy would be scrapping other programs to keep up F-35 numbers.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302206
    thobbes
    Participant

    Hopefully, the members will read the whole story…..

    Basically the US Navy is pooched.

    In reality neither the F/A-18E/F or the F-35C meet it’s requirements.

    Peace dividend killed off any chance of the Navy getting the type of aircraft it needs (no not an upgraded F-14, but something with long range capability).

    Even if Chinese and Russian AShMs prove useless, they are still a threat that deters usage of carriers close in to coastal areas in a potential war against these countries.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302224
    thobbes
    Participant


    Nobody said the F-35 was in operational service with combat squadrons. Yet, the article said 99 F-35 came off the production line and none were is service. Which, is hardly the truth. Which, is typical for the media. If, they don’t flat lie they tell only half of the story.

    The Marines will tell you the F-35 is operational with VMFA-121. :dev2:

    Other than basic familiarisation flights, those training units seem like a waste of time.

    You seem to want to disparage the F-35 somehow because it’s not in “full” service. While, no other country beside the US even has a 5th Generation Fighter near production.:rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:[/I]

    Not disparaging F-35.

    I am disparaging concurrency. Building hundreds of jets who require millions of dollars each of upgrade to even be flyable at levels more than a MiG-21F-13 seems ridiculous.

    F-35 will be fine in 2018-20.

    What they should’ve done is built a test fleet of about 30-40 aircraft and kept it at that until they could field an operational fleet.

    Would’ve been much cheaper I suspect than having to constantly upgrade lower spec aircraft.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302278
    thobbes
    Participant

    Wrong! The F-35 already has two F-35 Training Squadrons in service and two more in the process of standing up as we speak.. While they are not upgrade to the planned standard at this moment. They will be upgrade over the next few years. Regardless, even at todays standard the only thing flying more capable in the air is the F-22! So, what’s your point???

    Those “in service” F-35s are highly limited in terms of performance – weapons have not been integrated, there’s speed and maneouvring restrictions and they certainly are not deployable and won’t be until IOA is declared in 2018 and even then are limited.

    The only thing more capable in the air is not only the F-22 but also any other fully operational jet.

    After all those jets can actually fire ordnance and can be deployed to a warzone.

    . Why would the F-35’s be needed for in any conflict with Iran today?:rolleyes:.

    Ok you’re going to war with China AND Russia today – how many F-35s can you deploy now?

    0.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302321
    thobbes
    Participant

    The comparison is misleading, an F-18 probably has twice the availability & sortie rate as A-6/F-14, and therefore can generate as much with only half,
    (with exception of attrition)
    UCLASS will also take space no later than 2025, i see Navy wants it operational
    already by 2018

    There’s not only attrition but also more planes = more geograhpically dispersed targets covered.

    It all depends on the enemy.

    How about of 99 Aircraft produced “none” are in Service! WRONG not even close!

    Hey we’re off to war with Iran tomorrow. How many of those F-35s can you deploy? 0

    How about in 2014-18: 0

    How many of those 99 F-35s will you have retrofit to operational standard? 99.

    I think the problem is not the F-35 – it’s the concurrency model.

    Wrong even assuming they mean 130 MILLION which I assume they did. It won’t cost that much…..

    Some have already cost that much. Average cost is irrelevant if you brought your birds at $130m in the beginning.

    And those $130m birds will cost a lot more once retrofit to operational standard is included.

    And does the price tag include constant refitting of items to bring up to current standard?

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302381
    thobbes
    Participant

    Cause in real life, the other guys have ECM and use tactics to deter missiles.

    Recently on this forum, base model MiG-29s managed to suffer limited casualties from BVR AMRAAMS fired by F-16s by using correct tactics.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302435
    thobbes
    Participant

    they know it as well, but, as they try to sell it, as any vendor, they claim it’s the best thing out there since the sliced bread.. it’s called “publicity” 😉

    Remember how Mc Donnel claimed that cannon is a thing of the past and made the F-4 without it, as everything was going to be done with missiles…

    and guess what? once in real combat, they had to manage in a hurry to squeeze a canon inside it after all… but hey, if someone had said “it still is useful to have one” you’d probably have answered: “I guess you know better than Mc Donnel…”

    as for the CUDA:

    I

    Ruskis got burnt too with MiG-21PF/PFM – the Arabs and Indians quickly figured out gun was necessary in close turning work.

    Engagement ranges were sometimes less than 500 metres at which point missiles of the day were useless.

    in reply to: Danish Air Force fighter competition #2302438
    thobbes
    Participant

    I’m not seeing a shift to Eurocannards except for Thailand that brought 12 JAS-39s.

    The North Asian countries seem to be going with domestic fighters hence KFX and ATD-X.

    Japan is buying F-35s. South Korea and Singapore brought F-15s and Singapore is also signing up for F-35.

    Indonesia is getting in on KFX and is buying surplus F-16s. Phillipines is a non-player and has gone for Korean T/A-50 for LIFT/light fighter.

    Taiwan is screwed – they wanted more F-16s but are now apparently more interested in upgrades. Europe won’t sell to them in fear of offending the Chinese.

    That leaves Malaysia out of the “Western A/C user group” who might be a potential sale as an F-5/MiG-29 replacement.

    thobbes
    Participant

    Still all the ranting and raving is not resulting in PLAAF v JASDF/ROCAF/ROKAF combat unlike the 1950s when you had as many as 168 sorties a day flown by PLAAF against ROC, dog fights between F-84/-86 and MiG-15/-17 and USN recce aircraft being shot down.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302450
    thobbes
    Participant

    .

    As for the F-35, 100 delivered, here’s where we are;
    http://www.alternet.org/fail-400-billion-military-jet-cant-fly-cloudy-weather

    Reminds of me a story about India’s first MiG-21F-13s. Apparently the Soviet instructors did not allow Indian pilots to fly through clouds.

    How far we’ve come since early 1960s.

    thobbes
    Participant

    To a degree the question is how long can US maintain dominance?

    I don’t think China will ever reach US level military capability. However I think the US military capability will degrade to the point where it’s closer to China.

    The current US military is in essence unsustainable. It is further complicated by protectionism from Congress whereby unsustainable elements are protected due to economic benefits they provide as opposed to defence elements.

    Once US is no longer top dog, I can see potential for war but then in the old fashioned proxy fashion or for the creation of buffer zones.

    However I doubt any of this will happen anytime soon.

    US will probably be dominant for the next 50 years.

    After all the Roman Empire wasn’t destroyed in a day.

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302490
    thobbes
    Participant

    And another insight into value of F-35C (and carriers as a whole):

    http://navy-matters.blogspot.com.au/2012/05/carriers-its-air-wing-that-matters.html

    in reply to: F-35 debate thread. #2302503
    thobbes
    Participant

    Mainstream media article on F-35 in Asia:

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/20/us-asia-china-f-idUSBRE92J1BK20130320

    I think it highlights the true risks of F-35 in Asian region:

    1. F-35 as low number “silver bullet fleet” with rest of airforce made up of Generation 4 or even Generation 3 aircraft.

    2. F-35 range issues in context of China (and also Russia). E.g. it mentions issues of getting carriers into range.

    in reply to: Danish Air Force fighter competition #2302610
    thobbes
    Participant

    The Western alligned Asian countries have almost exclusively brought American since the 1950s.

    European countries have been a bit more open e.g. Denmark brought J-35s, Belgium Mirage 5’s.

    Now one could say those sales were in the 1970s but then the 4 original F-16 customers haven’t brought any combat jets since 1980s.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,576 through 1,590 (of 2,012 total)