Thanks MSphere. So strange to see the Maple leaf on a Russian helicopter.
To serve as a distraction a military crisis either has to be calmed down without any real disruption, or result in a quick, cheap & victorious war.
Also since 1991, US military hegemony has largely prevented conventional war between states. In the Cold War, the powers used proxy wars (e.g. Vietnam or Arab-Israeli or Angola or Ogaden) for influence. They gladly provided competing states with military equipment including fighter planes and generally let them use it.
For conventional wars to be possible, it’s necessary to have a multipolar world where there’s not a single power that has the overwhelming military advantage.
You are right – we don’t know the real aircrafts performance in current Air combat. The only indications is evaluation tests – like MMRCA, Swiss evaluation, and international exercises like Red Flag, ATLC, Tiger meet etc.
From 1/2013 EUROFIGHTER WORLD :Results from Red Flag Alaska 2012 :
http://lotniczapolska.pl/Europejska-koalicja-na-Alasce,25065
results 9:4 ( Blue vs Red forces ) in 8 blue vs 10 red engagement. Blue use AR, RED only SAR missile, so results seems realistic in above scenario. There was also the engagement, where RED forces simulated R-77, and PL-12 AR missiles, but our pilots didn’t go into detail ( probably much bigger losess ).
Of course old F-16C blk 30 can’t simulate a real Su-30MK2 (at least radar range deficiency, no IRST, no HMD+9X combo, ECM, performance), thus results go on Blues forces favor in almost every occasion.
There’s other factors that exercises can never hope to accomplish:
1. Strategic initiative
2. Logistics
3. Full enemy electronic warfare spectrum
4. Morale
5. Impact of other military actions in a warzone.
6. The threat of death or injury.
7. Availability of supporting assets (e.g. your E-3 has been assigned to another more important task).
8. Murphy’s Law – malfunctions, mistakes etc.
When it comes down to it, exercises are excellent training but they are sterile and lack real world factors.
Today’s fighters don’t actually do anything in terms of real air combat. They perform exercises based on hypothetical scenarios.
Once real combat operations commence, the theory goes out the door as the US found out in Vietnam or against the Japanese in WWII.
Once a real war is on and the gloves come off in terms of electronic warfare, tactics, etc etc, then we’ll know how good Fighter X or Y is.
Again probably not. They didn’t have full scale warfare in 1950s – 1970s now did they?
Taiwan would have to declare independence for that to happen.
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Also these wars are purely hypothetical.
Wars in Cold War were not.
Hnece we have no real indicators of whether a Rafale is better than a Eurofighter or whether a Flanker could go toe-to-toe with an F-15.
Also remember the jet’s performance influences tactics e.g. Israeli Mirage III pilots used the delta wing to slow down in ACM and execute tight turns.
Without real life experience, we can’t really judge this.
And none of those are going to happen.
Remember despite all the threats and all the tension, USSR and USA never went to war.
The Chinese aren’t stupid either.
They will agitate but then they agitated in the Cold War – hence slugfests between PLAAF MiG-15s and ROCAF F-86s!
Full scale war between two nuclear armed opponents seems impossible.
Guess SAC was correct with their motto “Peace is our motto.”
Actual current stage of air combat is that Blue force will pound the crud out of Red Force whose AAA is limited to the odd MANPADS, DshK, RPG and AK-47 trash fire.
The only exception seems to be civil wars ala Libya and Syria where lack of PGMs means that obsolete government jets have to fly low and thus get shot down by equally obsolete MANPADS (mainly SA-7).
Oh and pretty much every Blue Force aircraft will be effectively a stealth aircraft. If the opponent doesn’t have a radar system or at best has an easily jammed 1960s radar, then even a Super Guppy is a stealth aircraft.
Not really. We have seen MiG-21s with AIM-9s or Magic IIs or BAe Hawks with R-60MKs before.
Isn’t an R27R radar guided?
I suspect it’d be more difficult to integrate a radar guided missile than a heat seeking one.
The Serbs did kill an F-117 and an F-16 with an S-125 (SA-3) in 1999. O’Grady’s F-16 was shot down using a KUB over Bosnia, whilst Mirage 2000 and Sea Harrier were shot down by MANPADS.
So kills by SA-3s in 1991 are possible.
As for B-52G 59-2593, it crashed a few miles off Diego Garcia when 5 out of 8 engines flamed out – 3 out of 6 crew survived. Loss was technically due to electrical failure.
Several other B-52s were damaged by missiles/AAA and in one instance an AGM-88 friendly fire incident. Only one was noted as being hit by an unknown missile – in any case it retured to base.
From ACIG:
http://www.acig.info/CMS/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=37&Itemid=47
Extensive investigation of Iraqi interceptor operations during the IIPGW by the ACIG.org team, mainly conducted with the help of former IrAF interceptor-pilots, initially proved that no Iraqi pilot claimed even a single confirmed kill against any Coallition aircraft. Interviewed pilots stressed that they never fully recovered from the fact that they failed to shot down even one enemy, despite their sternous efforts to mount at least a single successful interception, and a number of air combats in which they fired missiles. On the basis of this as well as on the basis of additional evidence supplied from official USAF, USN, RAF and AMI documents, conclusion was that there is no basis for any of the known claims for downing of Coallition aircraft by IrAF interceptors in 1991. These entries will be kept in the list nevertheless as a designation of our position in regards to them, but they remain marked white. Additional Iraqi sources, however, are currently providing new – previously unpublished – information and details about various interceptions of US and Coallition aircraft. These are still under examination.
Only confirmed kill is the F/A-18C by a MiG-25.
They are all there Thobbes, among the 45 or so (maybe 50?) “coalition” aircraft shot down. But they are usually listed as SAM or “accidents”, and never admitted as being shot down air-to-air. Also, the process of actually crediting iraqi pilots with air-to-air kills was long and tortuous in many cases.
That is no proof.
The only other Iraqi claim I was aware of was that of a Tornado but it turned out that the particular airframe claimed by Iraq was shot down in a later attack.
This smells of the same stuff that was infused in the supposed Serbian shoot downs – including a B-2 Spirit.
actually Iraqis also got several more air to air kills…
Could you provide listing and evidence of these supposed air to air kills?
There would’ve been some evidence – dead/captured pilots, missing serial numbers, photos of wreckage.
The US is usually good with record keeping and as shown by several revisions to Gulf War statistics, the truth eventually comes out.
I understand there are problems with JSF. But nobody is pointing out a viable alternative! rafale, typhoon, gripen all share the problems of JSF. Only Gripen is assured to be lower cost than JSF.
If JSF can be produced at a flyaway cost of ~90 Mn USD, it is quite good value for money. There are no other 4.5 gen fighters other than Su-35 and Gripen NG which can be produced cheaper than that.
I think that 4 and 4.5 generation jets are fine for vast majority of operators.
However I think the US is in a different position than say Israel or Denmark or Australia.
I think the F-35 is inadequate for US needs into the mid-21st century.
The type of combat conditions that the US will need to take into account are highly polarizing.
On one hand you have defenceless third world/insurgent types against whom even current fast jets are overkill and on the other hand you have China and Russia rearming against whom you need total overkill as well as extreme long range.
The F-35 seems to be in the middle – it’s too costly and its LO/MO is pointless against insurgents/third world types. However it’s range is limited in a Pacific or Russian scenario.
1. I suspect the Rafale is lacking in standard NATO weapons integration? Could be wrong.
2. I think it comes down to costs – I remember hearing something that Denmark could only afford 22 F-35s.
3. They’ve paid up for development though. I didn’t think procurement and industrial participation were linked.
As for NATO/Coalition warfare, it comes down to what sort of level Denmark wants to participate in.
I think given F-35 costs, it won’t be a paper exercise. Where things might fall down is US diplomatic pressure.
Also Denmark operated J-35s in another life time so there are connections to SAAB.
Spain: Juan Carlos LHD is no less capable than PdA.
Except last I heard the Spanish Navy is spending most of it’s time in port due to lack of cash.
A ship (or plane) may be uber capable with all the latest whiz bang gizmos, but it’s only as good as the people who crew them.
And if the crew spends more time in port than at sea, then their capability declines.