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thobbes

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Viewing 15 posts - 841 through 855 (of 2,012 total)
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  • in reply to: Northrop F-5EM/FM Tiger II #2270926
    thobbes
    Participant

    Any news on M2000’s?

    thobbes
    Participant

    Difference there is between the words ‘dont’ and ‘cant’. Following your OPV logic dont becomes cant….so you actually arrive at the situation you appear so contemptuous of in inescapable fashion. Surely then, by your own logic, the Euro navies are buying the objective ‘right’ vessels as it preserves the capability to take action….even if they can never actually agree to use it. The only tangible obstacle to the deployment of those assets, in a meaningful strategic manner, is a lack of political will.

    The small number of assets and units means they can’t for anything other than extremely short periods of time and then still require US augmentation for critical capabilities.

    Libya was a great example with one partner (Denmark?) pulling out prematurely (sounds bad in more ways than one :eagerness: ) and other partners ran out of munitions.

    Also there was an obvious deficiency in ISTAR, UAVs, tankers, and other critical assets.

    Even in Mali, Uncle Sam had to come to party for things such as UAVs, tankers and transport.

    European military capability is poor – they struggle with small ops ala Mali or Libya, and have no capability of tackling something more serious ala Syria or Iran on their own. The US can do these types of ops by themselves, though prefers Coalitions for political reasons.

    Remember the point about it only needing one player not to get the ‘COIN only’ memo?.

    And the Flankers and Kilos had no real impact on defence procurement elsewhere. Brazil is busy spending money to get ready for FIFA World Cup and Olympics whilst FX program continuously gets delayed and M2000s run out of hours.

    Colombia’s response to Su-30MKK was to buy Kfirs to replace ancient Mirage 5s (or where they 50s?) whilst pumping money into anti-narcotics operations.

    And even with Chile buying nearly 50 F-16s and KC-135s as well as Type 23s and M class frigates did not make either Peru or Argentina go on a spending splurge. Argentina’s military continues to decline whilst Peru’s main focus is keeping existing assets afloat with new investment in COIN/counter narcotics (Mi-35 and Mi-17 as well as Mi-25 upgrade).

    in reply to: Almost new Gripens for sale!! <3 #2270945
    thobbes
    Participant

    Whole of SAAF has been gutted – apparently whole A109 fleet has been allocated a grand total of 71 hours for flying this year and budget for spares has been scrapped. BK117 future is also uncertain. Rooivalk availability is about 2 airframes a day (out of 11 in service).

    SAAF is well on it’s way to being just another typical African airforce – no level of operational capability and largely grounded, with occassional government splurge on gear whose main purpose is to fly at presidential parades for a couple of years before the hours expire.

    in reply to: USMC sqns on USN strike carriers. #1997857
    thobbes
    Participant

    Thanks guys.

    in reply to: Northrop F-5EM/FM Tiger II #2271222
    thobbes
    Participant

    I don’t think Brazil will get rid of fast jet capability altogether. Like other countries, they might retain a token capability.

    I think countries ala Ecuador, Argentina, Colombia, Honduras, Mexico and Cuba will lose fast jet capability after current assets have expired. In the future, there’ll be less second hand fighters available and lot of the reasons why current fighters were procured (e.g. Sandinistas) are gone and new threats are paramilitaries and narco-terrorists.

    in reply to: Romania's fighter indecesion 2013!! #2271234
    thobbes
    Participant

    better than used f16 duh!

    F-16AM/BM modified to MLU standard would still be a better bet – and that’s what Romania’s jets will be.

    thobbes
    Participant

    I can only imagine how our American co-forumers might react to that! And the Pentagon will be thrilled to know that is allies are going into “auxiliary services”!

    They already do. How many Euro states provide stealth bombers, cruise missiles, proper carrier capability (i.e. not a couple of Harriers on part time basis).

    Many provide only limited light infantry capability and auxiliary services (engineers, military police, logistics etc).

    Something along “Thank god for the Japanese, the Koreans and the Aussies”?

    Australian focus is on providing “niche capabilities” to coalition forces (special operations, training, huimanitarian, some air combat etc). We’re not intending to deploy large fighting forces, heavy armour (we only have about 30 tanks operational out of 59).

    Japanese aren’t allowed to deploy combat forces – again they deploy auxilliary units ala engineers.

    South Korea – again no massive support of US operations and again provision of mainly auxiliary services.

    No they have not, the main South American armed forces, Brasil, Chile, Venezuela (Argentina went broke) are firmly sticking their guns to conventional warfare.
    Hell, the entire Brasilian Defence white book is a study in South Atlantic control, if they have the money and the technology to actually build their nuclear strike subs is an open question, but will, and an active program, they have.

    Even Brazil has spent billions on COIN – e.g. EMB-314, Hind and even the R.99s were purchased as part of counter narcotics fighting.

    As stated Venezuela was run by Chavez. Chile is stable and has been for years.

    And you forgot Peru who is also pumping more money into COIN.

    What?!
    Massive western air armadas have pounded conventional equiped forces in Iraq, Jugoslavia and Libia.

    You mean massive mainly American armadas supported by American tankers, American inteligence networks, etc etc.

    Just a few months ago, every British citizen in this for�m was crying out loud for the lack of aircraft carriers in Libia (a bit of envy of the “vieux Charles” might have something to do with it :D).

    Brits like to think they’re a player still.

    thobbes
    Participant

    Mali does, Sierra Leone didnt if you want to use specific examples…secure offshore basing was very handy for Palliser. Outside of those specific cases logistics for any large mechanised force will come by sea or via a sea-land bridge. That means, if the opponent has an airforce or even a few radar sites and shore missiles, you need to screen big grey boats. You arent doing that with OPV’s are you?.

    If the opponent has a few radar sites, an air force and shore AShMs the Europeans don’t get involved without Uncle Sam’s overkill capability.

    Even for Sierra Leonne, an AWD wasn’t required.

    I will apologise that I missed that somewhere…what is ‘auxilliary’ let alone cheap about ASW???.

    It’s cheap and auxilliary compared to the massive offensive firepower maintained by the US in form of carriers, ampphibious assault ships, ship/sub launched cruise missiles and larger combat vessels.

    Hmmm yes the Venezuelans choosing Flankers and Kilo class SSK’s….clearly they planned on facing much trickier insurgents than most!.

    So you picked the one country that was being run by a tin pot dictator with money.

    What about the countries who brought Super Tucanos, Hinds, light utility, observation and other aircraft primarily for counter-narco-terrorist work. Brazil, Peru, Colombia etc etc have all spent considerable amounts on fighting internal threats and only limited amounts on foreign threat protection – it’s why the average fighter plane or ship in that part of the world is considered young if it’s 1980s vintage.

    Apart from the initial phases of both Iraq and Afghanistan where TLAM, DDG’s, SSN’s, Aircraft Carriers, amphibious forces, air superiority fighters, stealth, heavy bombers, heavy armour, mechanised infantry, heavy artillery and basically every component of the all-arms battle was employed. Without those initial phases of course there being no COIN phase following on?.

    Hey all that was done by USA and it was all offensive and typical of US overkill.

    Wonder what purpose Spanish or Dutch destroyers had there?

    in reply to: USMC sqns on USN strike carriers. #1997872
    thobbes
    Participant

    Do VMFA(AW) squadrons equipped with F/A-18D deploy on carriers?

    in reply to: More UK MPA ideas frome EADS #2271538
    thobbes
    Participant

    I
    What are they gonna do with 295 in a blue water scenario? Put them back in storage claiming that war is an unfair competition?

    I seriously doubt there’s going to be any blue water scenarios in the service life of any MPA Britain may acquire in the next few years.

    Also given that the current MPA is non-existent, a C295 would be a massive capability increase. 😀

    in reply to: Northrop F-5EM/FM Tiger II #2271593
    thobbes
    Participant

    And the Brazillians are in process of finishing up an F-5 upgrade.

    Maybe someone else would include an AESA radar into an F-5, though it’s unlikely. But Defence Departments are notorious for silly decisions and sometimes politics dictate certain decisions.

    thobbes
    Participant

    Eilat is also name of a Sa’ar 5 corvette (pennant number 501).

    Though it was Hanit that got hit by an AShM in 2006.

    in reply to: Romania's fighter indecesion 2013!! #2271658
    thobbes
    Participant

    My opinion too. I’d describe it as pedestrian compared to most Western and Russian types as well as Chinese J-10.

    However I’m happy to hear evidence to the contrary.

    thobbes
    Participant

    As for the small number of airforces… How many of those nations that don’t have air forces, do have submarine arms? Exactly…

    None.

    As stated Son of Desert Storm is a piece of theory, stepchild of Somalia is a reality.

    Nice example of Belgian AF, they weren’t going to beat the Germans, but do you think that with some crappy cheaper plane, in higher numbers they would have held back the luftwaffe? Nope, they would just have lost more planes and lives without any chance at all. The Hurricanes gave them at least a chance to get a dent in the Luftwaffe.

    They couldn’t dent the Luftwaffe in any meangingful way.

    Navies are by definition a waste of money if you look at it. They have been for a long while, but some day it might prove its worth. How many navies have ships that are just tied up alongside with an availability of maybe 30% at sea, that is to me a very low use of resources as well. There are also too many people onboard these ships, but that’s how it is.

    In an era of shrinking Western defence budgets (and this started in some countries in 1970s), navies need to be more cost effective and useful.

    As for that Hezbollah attack on an Eilat class, there you had your light frigate in harm’s way. Do you think the same would have happened if it was a Daring?

    The Daring also would’ve suffered a hit as apparently the Israeli ship’s self defence systems were switched off.

    thobbes
    Participant

    and if the US doesnt want to/is unable to…play out this time and its a modest scaled operation….i.e Sierra Leone or Mali….

    Without American involvement, Europeans won’t do anything heavier.

    Juist on this point – you don’t need Air Warfare Destroyers or even fast jets for these kind of ops (Mali is landlocked).

    It in fact favours these kind of forces:

    light infantry, airmobile artillery, medium armour, CAS/Light strike and air transport

    Some countries are focusing on this – e.g. Netherlands has adopted an expeditionary posturing for it’s ground forces and got rid of heavy armour.

    Did NATO exist in 39???. You’ll have to jog my mind on that one thobbes!.

    It was you who raised conventional warfighting capability. I actually did state that the non-US partners provide auxiliary services (e.g. ASW, escort etc).

    A military force is not designed for its peacetime commitments…the more technically demanding sea and air services especially so.

    A military force should be designed for it’s main threat levels – it’s why Latin American forces have gone from emphasis on external defence to COIN with only limited investment in external.

    We’ve just had 12 years of Coalition based warfare and not one of these conflicts generally required large conventional forces including naval ones.

Viewing 15 posts - 841 through 855 (of 2,012 total)