Wrong Defense Spending is increasing in ASIA and it’s because of China vastly increased Defense Spending and it’s aggressive tone and actions with several of it’s neighbors.
China is spending more cause it’s richer.
Or should they have continued building T-54, MiG-19 and MiG-21 knockoffs to pacify their neighbours?
As for aggressive tone, it’s nothing new.
Most of China’s Neighbors totally disagree!
And they also disagree with each other. Japanese also have disputes with Russians.
As for two additional AEGIS, it does overtly specify to counter North Korea (though they would be useful against China of course).
JMSDF does have quite a few ships that need replacing too – 2 Hatakaze destroyers and 5 Hatsuyuki destroyers, whilst 6 Asagiri destroyers are also starting to approach the third decade of service.
Hence one assumes that at least the two Hatakaze’s will be replaced by AEGIS destroyers as last 4 large destroyers were all AEGIS.
Correct phrase is “Beggars can’t be choosers.”
It’s an old English saying that basically says you should accept what you can afford/are given:
http://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/british/beggars-can-t-be-choosers
http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20090405163158AAqbHxd
And the context is, Romania is a poor country and can’t really afford much more than old F-16AM/BM. This is still better than a lot of the other countries e.g. Croatia who is planning to fly MiG-21 to at least 2023 or Bosnia and Albania who have no fighter force at all.
All of Europe is just about pooched economically. And in such an environment, a poor country like Romania will fill the pain the most.
If the Brits got over the fact they’re no longer a super power and scrapped the SLBM capability, there would be money and resources for more frigates and more destroyers.
Mind you most navies seem to think it’s a great idea to replace larger numbers of small ships with a few big ones and then ignore such basic concepts as mine countermeasures.
Except:
1. In peacetime, larger numbers of ships are more useful for:
a. Anti-piracy patrol
b. General sea control duties
c. Maintaining a presence
d. Maintaining operational capability – it’s easier to maintain an operational capability with 6 ships than 3 ships.
e. Sanction enforcement
f. Naval Gunfire Support in some instances.
2. In wartime, larger number of ships are also more useful for:
a. Convoy duties
b. Mine counter measures
c. Anti-submarine warfare
d. Covering larger area of ocean/sea.
Other than carriers in the Pacific, arguably the most useful ships in WWII were usually corvettes, sloops etc performing above duties. It would be fair to say that in WWIII, a Kilo class sub or a minefield are going to cause more headaches than the odd H-6K or Tu-22.
The cruisers and battleships were generally a waste of time other than NGFS (and for the most part have disappeared following WWII).
In 2013 every man and his dog is building very small numbers of large air warfare destroyers or large frigates.
The emphasis on air defence in an era where you’re average opponent has no air force, let alone capability to strike ships at sea seems ridiculous.
I think big destroyers/frigates have become the new dreadnoughts of our time.
Only problem is they’re built at the expense of smaller more useful ships.
I’m going to put all of this in a newthread.
I think we are yet again getting off the subject. We were discussing Chinese Defense Spending and it’s Aggressive Tone over several disputed territories (Islands) with several of it’s neighbors. Which, is leading to an Arms Race in Asia.
The aggressive tone over these islands is nothing new. The Chinese started getting aggressive in the Spratleys since 1945 when they first landed troops there. In 1988 they even fought a minor naval clash against Vietnamese ships. But then the Vietnamese and Filipinos have been aggressive as well for decades.
As for arms race, there does not seem to be any proof of it, except the Philippines who have realised that having virtually no air force and a Navy consisting mainly of non-operational WWII minesweepers (which they hilariously call corvettes) is not exactly the best way of guaranteeing one’s sovereignty (especially over some islands your only claim to is that you want them).
The big difference is now that China is US enemy No 1 (not USSR) and we have the internet and a media who more than ever, thrive on fear mongering. As such all of this is blown out of proportion by the media and various internet sites.
The truth is that no-one knows what the next war is going to look like.
There’s less and less appetite for mindless mass-scale interventionism in third world countries. The new paradigm seems to be to let the locals fight it out, supported by money, equipment and probably limited spec ops and drone assasination missions as the teeth. This is what is happening in Yemen and Somalia.
I suspect most conventional forces will become like they were in the Cold War – mainly a reserve in case something happens but generally not used much.
But the MOD and the servives have to determine where they’ll be fighting next or even if they’ll be fighting somewhere.
On an interesting note, the lack of appetite for interventionism is somewhat evidenced by US Army disposing of a lot of COIN equipment such as MRAPS and toning down production of UAVs.
Also other countries such as Belgium don’t even intend to replace UAV capability when existing resources are used up.
Anyone that doesn’t acknowledge massively improved living standards in China or other Asian countries is either in completely uninformed or a racist in denial.
Chinese living standards up to 1970s were dreadful and in many instances at the same level of poor Latin American countries or even sub Saharan African countries (idiotic policies ala Cultural Revolution or Great Leap Forward had catastrophic impacts.).
China has since then developed immensely and most Chinese don’t live in poverty. China and the other Asian countries are actually a shining light for rest of the world.
As for inequality it exists everywhere. For example Australia is very rich and most people have a good standard of living, yet many Aboriginals live like this:




Yet, does anybody worry that the countries you listed are going to attack them. Hell, do you think Canada and Mexico are worried about a US Invasion or Greek from Italy or Spain! Now on the otherhand you think that countries like Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, and the Philippines. Aren’t worried that China may take some disputed territories (i.e. Islands) by force…………..
You were talking abpout spending money on bettering citizens lives instead of weapons and military.
Given USA views PRC as enemy number 1, Chinese aircraft carriers make more sense than Italian or Spanish ones.
Apples and Oranges…………We are talking about what is in the interest of China. Plus, how it’s current direction is threating it’s Neighbors.
Your point was China can’t afford arms race. My point yes it can and it’s arms build up is nowhere near Soviet Union.
The big change for China is adoption of a less subtle approach towards some disputed territory.
As a matter of fact you here more and more about an Asian Alliance very similar to NATO.
Could you provide some references?
I’ve not read anything other than very odd editorial/journal article.
It’s also a mistake to lump all of the US’s allies in westpac into a unified group, like NATO because such an alliance is some ways off yet.
And it probably won’t happen.
Asia is more about just China v the rest. There is a lot of old yet still simmering tensions. E.g. South Korea is distrustful of Japan – in fact most Asian nations are opposed to Japanese rearmament.
There’s also a number of unresolved issues in SE Asia.
Thanks 19kilo10.
From Wiki, Reforger 1988 was largest exercise in Europe since WWII with 125,000 troops participating. REFORGER was cancelled in 1993.
Really, I see this vast increase in defense spending as having little value for China. As it just pushes many Regional Nations back into the US Camp. Instead China could continue to focus on improving the day to day lives of the Chinese People sending its resources on things like Infrastructure, Education, etc. etc. etc. Which, is not to say China shouldn’t upgrade its Military. Yet, she could have spent it on more Defensive Weapons. For example Aircraft Carriers and Amphibious Assault Ships are going to be considered very offensive and China’s Neighbors. Especially, considering China has very few territories (islands) far from the Mainland.
Same could be said about Spain (27% unemployment), Italy, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia etc etc all of whom try to play the power game and whose resources would probably be spent bettering the lives of the populace. And I’m still not entirely sure as to what near defenceless Canberra class LHD’s are meant to be doing either, other than act as glorified humanitarian relief vessels.
Even the US’ military expenditure levels is unrealistic and a lot of that money could’ve been spent bettering the lives of 16% of Americans who live in poverty (according to U.S. Census Bureau and a percentage which is growing).
And China still doesn’t spend anywhere close to the level Uncle Sam does.
Plus, it’s and Arms Race even China can’t win……….The USSR found that out the hard way!
Different economies. China can afford current levels. USSR spent a much, much larger percentage of GDP on military than what China does. And after Khruschev was deposed USSR entered complete economic stagnation with virutally no reform, whilst China has spent the last 30+ years creating a market economy.
China is slowing down now but the outcome of that slow down is yet to be seen.
For what it’s worth, China’s economic slowdown is a disaster for Australia whose primary source of income is selling resources to China.
Also China has shrunk it’s military considerably since 1980s in terms of manpower (shrunk by 1 million service men since 1980s). So even if 1 new unit costs as much as 4 old ones, the number of new units is low.
I suspect you’re right. I didn’t want to appear to pessimistic.
The French with a mere 225-ish combat jets partially flown by poorly trained pilots will be a European superpower.
It’ll be interesting to see fleet sizes in southern Europe (Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal) once 4th generation aircraft reach the end of their lifespans.
Still very impressive given that most Western exercises seldom seem to have more than a division’s worth of troops (i.e. up to 20,000) and that’s spread across land, air and naval forces.
E.g. largest European exercise in 2013 (Exercise Joint Warrior) – 13,000 troops, 40 aircraft:
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/uk-to-host-europes-largest-military-exercise-8568380.html
Or largest ever US-Israeli exercise – 3,500 troops (http://www.jta.org/2012/11/14/news-opinion/israel-middle-east/u-s-israel-finish-largest-ever-joint-military-exercise)
Pacific Rim is about 25,000 but again covers naval, land and air.
Does the US do any similar level exercises?
In early 1940s US conducted Louisiana Maneouvres which involved 400,000 troops.
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One thing I wonder about is if WWIII ever did break out, would the West have sufficient expertise to practice manouevre warfare using divisions or corps.
Most modern emphasis is on brigades (many armies no longer have divisions) and exercises often involve batallion size units.
Many NATO states (especially Eastern partners) struggle even to maintain full combined arms brigades and are often lacking in armour, artillery and other specialist units.
The same applies to aerial warfare – bombing Iraq or Libya requires a lot less effort than fighting a high intensity multi-front conventional war against peer or near peer level opponents.
As the old saying goes; “the more you sweat in peace, the less you bleed in war.”
My take on RAF/FAA fighter numbers in 2020s:
100 Typhoon + 80-100 F-35 = 180 – 200 airframes.
Remember current airframe numbers are 220-ish.
As the old saying goes, beggars aren’t choosers,