dark light

Spitfire9

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 15 posts - 346 through 360 (of 2,413 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2165880
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    Scoring of effectiveness for the different missions (5.0 as the highest grade):
    * F-35A: NTISR 4.3,SCAR 3.3,CAS 3.6,DCA 3.6,AI 5.0,SEAD/DEAD 5.0; Average: 4.2
    * EF-2K: NTISR 2.7,SCAR 2.3,CAS 2.7,DCA 3.0,AI 2.0,SEAD/DEAD 2.0; Average: 2.4
    * F-18F: NTISR 3.3,SCAR 3.0,CAS 3.3,DCA 2.0,AI 2.0,SEAD/DEAD 2.0; Average: 2.6
    * F-16C: NTISR 2.3,SCAR 2.7,CAS 2.3,DCA 1.0,AI 1.0,SEAD/DEAD 1.0; Average: 1.7

    I am very surprised by the EF AI rating. I thought it was widely agreed to be bettered only by F-22.

    in reply to: What will be the next country to order the F-35? #2166953
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    Next for F-35? If not Denmark, Belgium to me. Mind you, knowing Belgium a little, 1/2 squadron of whatever France has and 1/2 squadron of whatever the Netherlands has would not surprise me. 😉

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167126
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    If you can’t make an argument without lying about someone else’s position then you don’t have an argument.

    Sorry if I got it wrong. Perhaps I have a bad memory but I cannot think of any instances in the hundreds of posts of yours I read where you did not try to downplay any reported shortfalls or failures where the F-35 was concerned. That’s why I found it extremely surprising that you described the F-35 program as a fiasco.

    I would describe the management of the Eurofighter as a fiasco, too:

    The UK’s Committee of Public Accounts reported that the mismanagement of the project had helped increase the cost of each aircraft by 75 percent.

    Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurofighter_Typhoon

    Section: Procurement, production and costs

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167274
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    The F-35 program has been a fiasco without a doubt,

    What? How can you be so misguided? You should read through the bucketfuls of posts by someone called hopsalot in which he explained that all development programs encounter problems and the JSF program is no different. Fiasco? hopsalot went to great lengths to assure readers that was not the case IIRC. 🙂

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167398
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    BTW, brilliant strategy on the part of the Eurofighter consortium. Running four redundant final assembly lines within the confines of Europe was obviously an excellent plan.

    Agreed. Dumb. Time to shut one or two or three down IMO.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167504
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    looking forward to the defense aerospace article on this

    Yes, will be fun reading more pre-determined opinion about the F-35.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2167668
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    It seems Botswana has initiated talks with Sweden regarding around 8 Gripen C/D:

    http://www.affarsvarlden.se/hem/nyheter/article3973548.ece

    Why bother to pay for phone calls to a country on a different continent when they could call the next door country which has a bunch of unused Gripens for far less a minute?

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167763
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    That danish document showing the expected pricetags is basically proof of how politics are king in sales like this. First the key people are courted or perhaps bought. They are made to believe pricetags as shown in the document are true. Then those people “decide” which is better – based on false numbers.

    I mean, seriously? 82 million dollars per procured f35a? By 2020? Very, very unilikey, given the current price drop curve which is pointing more towards the 90-95 million range. As we also know – those are prices US is paying for the flyaway plane. Without anything else.

    Can Denmark really be expected to pay the same pricetag as US?
    Furthermore, the report in the very same comparison graph says procurement per superhornet costs 122 million. Huh?? Even though US pays something like 60-ish million per their flyaway superhornet? Lets remember the f35a price was clearly flyaway too, so these prices must be apples to apples comparison. Either that or F35a flyaway price for denmark is in reality 40 million, half of what us will be paying. Right.

    If these figures have been presented to danish key people as fact then it’s no wonder they selected f35a. they’ve been fooled like no other. Who knows what else has been fabricated for those people. And god knows how much power lockheed martin really has within us government when it clearly managed to shut up another powerful US firm, Boeing, from making a fuss about this.

    Just a point to make: 16 x F/A-18 are in the 2017 US budget @ $1.35 billion, about $80 million each but that may include more than just the flyaway airframes.

    I am mystified why both Boeing and LM have been asked/advised by US authorities not to attend the presentation to the Danish parliament. All I can think is that US govt would rather not have LM questioned about the data in the evaluation report or for any concealed pressure (political) to push the US OEM’s to be revealed. Can you think of any reason why Boeing or LM have been steered away from scrutiny by the Danish parliament?

    Addition:

    From australiandefence.com:
    link: http://www.australiandefence.com.au/news/royal-danish-air-force-wants-the-f-35

    There has been intense public debate over the cost of modernising the Royal Danish Air Force, currently equipped with the F-16 as its tfighter.

    Despite assurances from Lockheed Martin and the F-35 Joint Program Office that the cost per plane would fall from about $US100 million to $US85 million by 2019, the JSF is still the most expensive option of the three presented.

    Is it perhaps that the US does not want LM going to the Danish parliament for fear of the credibility of cost estimates crumbling under questioning?

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167776
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    First of Japan’s F-35s Will Be Airborne By Year’s End

    http://www.stripes.com/news/first-of-japan-s-f-35s-will-be-airborne-by-year-s-end-1.409180

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167827
    Spitfire9
    Participant
    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2167865
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    So the estimated lifetime costs in Norway are estimated to 4 billion DKK per plane (over 30 years), but in Denmark they estimate 2 billion DKK per plane (over 30 years). That’s quite a significant difference, in particular since one would expect the cost per plane to be lower when you operate a larger number of planes…

    Perhaps the estimated lifetime costs in Norway were estimated to 2 billion DKK per plane (over 30 years) for the purposes of showing it was the cheapest option and once chosen they realised that it would be 4 billion DKK per plane. 😉 Perhaps the Norwegians didn’t need to do that, given that they upped the attrition rate of Gripen E to something ridiculous in order for it to come out as more expensive than F-35.

    All’s fair in love and F-35 selection! 😉

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2168104
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    Interestingly Boeing hasn’t come out claiming they have been mis-represented on price. What does that tell us?

    Possibly that the USA has told them (and LM) to keep quiet. Why have Boeing and LM been asked/advised not to turn up for the presentation to the Danish parliament? Why is the USA worried about Boeing and/or LM talking to the Danish parliament? Seems strange to me.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2168136
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    If an evaluation scores the Rafale well, well then that is basically gospel in the Eurofanboy community.

    What’s the gospel about F/A-18 price? Is it $125 million as stated in the Danish assessment? Have Boeing duped the US Congress by quoting a little over $80 million?

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2168167
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    They do not. Public opposition to any new fighter purchase does not help Boeing or EF’s case. At worst it’ll defer the F-35 purchase, until their F-16s’ age begins to take (publicly) visible toll (with the EF & SH going out of production). If the purchase is deferred, its only Saab that may have an outside shot at a contract (‘outside’ because it’ll have to contend with a hostile RDAF).

    I agree that public opposition to new fighter procurement does not help Boeing or EF. If it becomes obvious to parliament that the figures have been falsified, who knows, parliament might do what happened in Canada – ask for another assessment that is not falsified and excludes F-35*.

    Government is proposing F-35. Might not get enough representatives to support an F-35 purchase. Or might duck the issue by postponing a decision (like UK governments do with Heathrow reaching saturation).

    * Denmark was rated as the least corrupt country in the world on a table I saw in connection with the anti-corruption forum taking place in London. Could just be that their parliamentarians will react against the F-35 due to its supporters trying to dupe them with misleading, dishonest figures.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2168187
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    I think you mean Saab. EF and Boeing still felt they had an (outside) chance at the contract.

    They do. The fat lady has a few hurdles to get over before she can start singing:

    “In a poll published by Altinget on Thursday, 59 percent of Danes were opposed to the government’s decision to buy new fighter jets,” it reported.
    On May 11, a Reuters report noted that the “selection by Denmark’s minority Liberal government…. can still be blocked by parliament, where opposition politicians are urging budget restraint.”
    It added that “The recommendation will be followed by a public comment period of 30 days [during which] the final number of jets could shift.”

    http://www.defense-aerospace.com/article-view/release/173781/danish-government-to-recommend-f_35.html

    Minority government… 59% of people polled opposed to any new fighter purchase… opposition politicians are urging budget restraint… and (my addition) some parliamentarians may dislike the figures on which parliament needs to decide being fraudulent.

Viewing 15 posts - 346 through 360 (of 2,413 total)