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Spitfire9

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,111 through 1,125 (of 2,413 total)
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  • in reply to: Dassault Rafale, News & Discussion (XV) #2230003
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    If we count exports Rafale is still sitting at zero.

    Sure they have been declared the low bidder in India, but two years later there is still no actual contract. (let alone any planes exported)

    True, 2 years is a long time by North American and European standards… but not so long by Indian standards. It must be a nightmare for Dassault to have to negotiate hundreds of contracts which (I imagine) require approval by this govt agency, then that govt agency, then another govt agency, and another, and another…

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2230090
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    But if low-observable characteristics are not essential, a developed variant of an existing fighter would be the obvious solution. I wonder, for example, how many orders Eurofighter or Dassault would need in order to develop a vectored-thrust version of their current fighter as a private venture?

    Vectored thrust version of Typhoon Eurojet engine has been demonstrated. In Spain IIRC. One advantage claimed is that it could be used to better trim the aircraft resulting in reduced consumption. Without a customer asking for it and further funding being provided I guess it will go no further .

    in reply to: Dassault Rafale, News & Discussion (XV) #2230289
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    Discounting the Eurofighter altogether, cause it’s obviously a lemon, the UK would have an interest in killing the Rafale because everywhere the Rafale doesn’t sell, it makes for a potential JSF customer which would lower the price of the UK’s JSFs.

    Nic

    An increase in F-35 production from say 2,500 to 2,550 or 2.600 units would make very little difference to the production cost IMO. Producing 2%-4% more frames would not reduce the unit production cost by 2%-4%. The reduction in unit production cost would be very small, so small as to have almost no effect on F-35 price.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2230505
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    So what you’re saying is that for small air forces the F-16 is a more cost effective option than the F-35. We’ve had this debate before albeit with the Gripen in lieu of the F-16.

    What it comes down to is the air force’s responsibility. When you say ‘enough to provide capability’, you’re unfortunately using a vague description.

    If the air force is just required to carry out air policing it could go much cheaper than the F-16/Gripen. The KAI FA-50 is more than sufficient. However if fighting a war under the NATO aegis is called for, then you must keep in mind that this will involve the pooled resources of European airforces (including upto 500 F-35s) and with the US with all its supporting assets (again including a huge F-35 fleet) at the core of it.

    I have some comments:

    1. NATO air forces do not and have never all operated the same fighter types. Has that prevented countries operating types that are not operated by the US from contributing in a useful manner?

    2. The primary responsibility of the government of an independent state is to assure the sovereignty of that state. F-35 should be unrivalled as a strike aircraft where enemy air defences are a serious threat but it is debatable as to whether it is as good as other fighters at taking on enemy fighters. I trust you recommend that countries consider buying Rafale or Typhoon if their primary need is defence of their airspace with the best aircraft available in that role.

    3. F-35 will be far more expensive to operate than the (mostly) F-16 aircraft that many countries need to replace. Where countries need to replace F-16 with an affordable successor I trust you recommend that they should consider buying F-16 or Gripen.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2230605
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    Piece of counter-propaganda to balance LM propaganda…


    (Source: Defense-Aerospace.com; published Nov. 27, 2013)

    (By Giovanni de Briganti)

    PARIS — Twelve years into the program, the F-35 fighter’s cost overruns are so spectacular that, even before South Korea has officially confirmed that it will buy the aircraft, Lockheed Martin’s P.R. machine is already in gear, explaining just how much the Korean order will reduce costs for the Pentagon, the main F-35 buyer.

    And such is the urgency to provide some good news about the program, which is facing new order cuts because of sequestration, that the claims about the F-35’s benefits are becoming increasingly nonsensical.

    A Nov. 26 Reuters news story claims, for example, that “The South Korean order could create 10,000 jobs at Lockheed and its suppliers as they build the components to make the 40 jets.” This is not even remotely plausible.

    If it were, and thus if each F-35 ordered did indeed create 250 jobs, the F-35 program’s planned 2,995 aircraft would generate fully 748,000 jobs at “Lockheed and its suppliers.” This figure should have given even the most enthusiastic program backer reason for pause, given that the entire US aerospace industry employs only 624,800 people…

    http://www.defense-aerospace.com/articles-view/feature/5/149795/more-creative-f_35-bookkeeping.html

    Does this article have any more credence than many of LM’s announcements? It is a shame that supporters and opponents of a particular aircraft so often endeavour to twist facts to fit their agenda.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2230648
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    This is opinion of the press (where there are a lot of “paid” articles…), there is no official statement supporting any contender is out of Brazilian FX-2.

    I don’t know how reliable a Folha de Sao Paulo is but I don’t see how Dilma telling Hollande that Brazil was not going to order Rafale is an opinion. Either she said it or she did not. However it is possible that she said Brazil was not going to order Rafale now.

    If the Folha report is accurate, I’m not sure that there would be an official statement to say Rafale was not going to be ordered. Nor would the exclusion of Rafale from further consideration mean that either Gripen or F/A-18 was going to be ordered. Like most observers I do not think that an order will be placed before the elections.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2231408
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    With Rafale now out of contention in Brazil, the investment in designing Sea Gripen looks like a good move.

    in reply to: Brazil closer to Boeing on jets deal after Biden visit #2231420
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    I remember reading that the Rafale was out in India as well . . .

    If you mean that there were various rumours, alleged leaks etc that Rafale was out of the MMRCA competition, I think this is a bit different. It is reported that this week the head of state of Brazil told the head of state of France that Brazil would not be buying Rafale. Unless Folha has misreported, Rafale is out of contention. Of course if another president were to be elected that decision could change but what is the likelihood of Brazil buying a fighter twice as costly as the alternatives? Not much, to me.

    If I were in President Hollande’s shoes my reaction would be to accept the bad news but to try to salvage something – I would be asking Dassault to give a good price to support the supply of a couple of squadrons of ex-Armee de l’Air M2K aircraft in the hope that the current competition would be scrapped. In a few years Brazil might have the funds to buy Rafale in a new competition.

    in reply to: Brazil closer to Boeing on jets deal after Biden visit #2231441
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    According to Folha, the obstacle to acquiring Rafale is the price. It would cost twice as much as F/A-18 and Gripen.

    “O entrave para a aquisição do Rafale, fabricado por um consórico liderado pela francesa Dassault, é o preço: ele custaria o dobro dos concorrentes”

    http://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/painel/2013/12/1385578-dilma-diz-a-francois-hollande-que-o-brasil-nao-comprara-cacas-da-franca.shtml

    in reply to: Military Aviation News-2013 #2231474
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    ‘France loses out on Brazil jets deal’

    Bit of a silly headline when you see what the first sentence says:

    “(AFP) – 12 hours ago

    Sao Paulo — France will lose out in its bid to win a multibillion-dollar fighter jet contract with Brazil, the Folha de Sao Paulo daily reported Saturday.”

    ie It’s not a fact that France has lost out. It’s a prediction. Thats different, just as saying “Brazil orders Rafale” is different to saying “Brazil will order Rafale”.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon Discussion and News 2013 and beyond #2232796
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    And still it does not include the cost of all the sitting Typhoon MkI that are of no use.

    News to me that RAF Tranche 1 Typhoons are of no use and are sitting around. Does that mean the UK is effectively without air defence until F-35B arrives?

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2232824
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    Yes and Rome, Sparta, Alexander the great, the Saladin, the Crusaders, Napoleon, Wellington, Rommel, Zhukov and Paton himself, were all advocating the dismiss of swords, power guns and riffles for an exclusive use of spears, arrows, Katyusha and artillery shells.

    There is a raison, why you need to get close and fight… Otherwise be ready to step backward. Well, I guess you can write this last sentence in small lines on your own copy of a Gripen marketing brochure.

    Please, think before typing. People have died stupidly in great numbers the time forgotten rules of thumbs resurfaced!

    So the message is…? You should not use arrows, but swords? You should not use long range precision munitions but short range precision munitions?

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2233019
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    F-35 came almost on top of that installation and destroyed it with a LGB.

    Gripen used a different approach. The decided to use 3 planes.
    The planes launched their long-rang weapons at a much greater distance.
    They too destroyed the installation.
    But they also took out the ministry of defence…
    Lol.

    A little bit about Taurus from http://defense-update.com/products/k/KEPD350.htm

    Fusion of sensor data from three sensors provides reliable autonomous navigation. The sensors package include IBN (Image Based Navigation), TRN (Terrain Reference Navigation) and MIL-GPS (Global Positioning System) subsystems.

    More from MBDA http://www.mbda-systems.com/products/air-dominance/taurus-kepd-350/31/

    The only stand-off missile capable of being programmed for effect at a specific pre-selected floor inside a target (using layer-counting and void sensing technology)

    The world’s only system that can achieve high precision over large distances without GPS

    As for Gripen not being able to get close enough to the target to be precise, it does not need to get close to the target if armed with Taurus, does it?

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon Discussion and News 2013 and beyond #2233173
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    So, what do you think is the T3A unit price? Do you think it’s a flyaway price?

    I don’t know how much of the T3A cost is for the flyaway frames. However on checking a 2011 National Audit Office report, I read the following:

    Analysis by our consultants shows that the current unit production costs (excluding the costs of the collaborative development phase) for the aircraft are similar to comparable tyes of aircraft.

    Source: http://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/1011755.pdf (item 10, page 7)

    I find that encouraging. I still, however, think that Typhoon costs are too high to secure any customers outside of the Arabian peninsular.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon Discussion and News 2013 and beyond #2233441
    Spitfire9
    Participant

    But why continue with the charade? On one level Eurofighter have said that Typhoon is a “Lightning killer”, but now they are (more justifiably) highlighting the level to which Italy and the UK plan to integrate operations of the Typhoon and F35.

    Most buyers look to acquire 1 type. Over the last ten years how many countries have run a selection competition to select 2 complementary types?

    This strategy highlights that Typhoon will be around and supported well into the 2030/40s and consequently strengthens their pitch in the export market.

    Based on the Tranche3a contract cost I no longer see any prospect of further export sales of Typhoon except to the Gulf and SA.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,111 through 1,125 (of 2,413 total)