Hopsalot provides a good example of the kind of counter-productive criticism of APA that I was referring to earlier. Nobody disputes the facts in question re: APA, F-111s, and vested interests, or any of the other ‘facts’ regarding APA that are often brought up, e.g. that they once said some nice things about Super Hornet. The difficulty is that APA’s critics seem to think that these facts constitute arguments of themselves — reasons to dismiss all that APA has to say on the subject of e.g. the F-35. And this just doesn’t follow.
There are several objectionable features of this line of reasoning. Beyond the fact that it is obviously ad hominem, one can’t help but notice that APA is implicitly being denied a right that each of us would surely reserve for ourselves — the right to have been in error, and to extend and revise our positions in light of new information and new developments. Sure, APA once advocated a rather bizarre course for the RAF re: F-16s and Typhoons: so what? Who among us would survive similar scrutiny?
More problematic I think is this apparent notion that ‘discovering’ that APA has (or had) a particular agenda somehow invalidates the arguments that they make. This is simply nonsense; each of us has a particular agenda, a series of pre-existing beliefs through which new information is interpreted and which are necessarily involved in the statements that we make. It is not agendas that are the problem, but hidden agendas — and APA’s is hardly hidden, and not even particularly relevant at the current stage of the game.
The Super Hornet provides a good example. Seen from a certain perspective the aircraft is a disaster, a retrograde development that is uncompetitive with all of its contemporaries. From another perspective it’s a superb aircraft, an excellent solution to the particular set of circumstances that obtained and one of the most successful programs of the modern era. What’s important when someone says that the Super Hornet is a wonderful aircraft or a terrible aircraft is knowing what they mean by this and why. In this example, the context usually makes it clear.
On a related note, it often seems to me that when there is a debate here on a particular topic, what is at issue is often not the technical characteristics of the platform in question, but rather these broader issues of context, vision, and ‘agenda’. For example, in the thread about Gripen vs. F-35 for Denmark, inflammatory statements aside (e.g. “Gripen couldn’t penetrate its way out of a paper bag”) there is comparatively little disagreement as to the merits and demerits of the respective platforms; rather what is at issue is precisely those broader issues of national vision which shape the weight — or lack thereof — that one gives to particular technical or quantitative factors. Some people might see my bringing up issues of NATO policy as off-topic or unnecessarily controversial, but in fact I think they strike at the very heart of the debate, and that without this broader context one is forever chasing ghosts.
So, I wound up rambling on a bit here, but to summarise my position: I think that APA is a valuable contributor to public discussion on these matters which are of interest to all of us, and I think this is true regardless of whether one agrees with the specific arguments they have made or not — and indeed in many cases I do not. I further think that those who apparently cannot let go of certain facts, e.g. that APA stood to gain from the souped-up F-111 project, and prefer this line of argument to actually engaging with the substantive issues raised, do not help their own cause, and that this is particularly true when that criticism is expressed in hyperbolic terms, e.g. as in hopsalot’s post.
But then I’m just an Arts major so what do I know. :p
In the Australian context the significance of the F-111 was in its range, not its specific modus operandi. It represented a class of aircraft that is no longer extant in the world today.
I agree with a lot of what you say there, but I personally believe it does not apply to APA as their opinion changes depending on their objective. This gives them very little credibility. I dont dismiss their facts, many are pretty spot on, but many are pretty dubious as well, but it is the manner they use these facts in misleading ways that harms their cred.
Example: They do all they can to rubbish the JSF program and the plane itself, now not a bad thing if it is rounded, rational debate, but these guys change their arguement to suit their objective. Their objective is to cause as much grief for the DOD, RAAF and Government as they can becuase the JSF decision crushed their dreams, but here is the cruncher 🙂
Peter and Carlo actually originaly supported the JSF and put it forward as a part of their proposal, the intention was to replace the F/A-18 with the F22, upgrade the F111 to operate out to the 2020’s+ to then be replaced with the JSF to supplement the F22 🙂
Cheers
Fedaykin – To be entirely fair, if someone believed that the F-111 airframe was good for another run around the block, that F110 engines (which were successfully backfitted into other TF30-powered airframes, you will recall) would make it run like a scalded-ass ape, and that a long-range bomber was a better investment than any fighter in the Pacific context (none of which is entirely illogical)…
Then they had to figure out how to do it domestically, because LMT was not interested at that point. Start a company to promote an idea? Is not that the sort of entrepreneurial spirit that we are supposed to admire?
Also, to reiterate my point to Mr Antipodean Littletrain, if they were simply motivated to kill the RAAF F-35 they’d have backed Boeing, or anyone except the F-22.
I have never really been a big fan of the arts 🙂 But well done, you are one of the few who has worked out where my name comes from 🙂 Choo Choo !
As for APA backing Boeing, you have completely missed the point 🙂 It was not the F35 that they were against, it was the JSF Program because it meant the end to the F22/F111 solution they had put forward, had the JSF gone with either the X32 or as we know now the X35, the outcome would have been the same. Their F111 upgrade and modernisation program was dead in the water the moment the Government chose the JSF.
Cheers
Rii – Leave Aussie/Gf/???, the Sybil of Antipodean JSF enthusiasts, alone. He’s obviously correct. Only people who are initiated into the dark necromancy that is Signals Management are qualified to judge these matters, and a foolish insistence on independent government review is detrimental to national, I might even say global security.
Still not sure who you think I am Bill ? You have made this mistake once before and embarrased yourself. I am sure your Google Fu is strong enough for you to figure I am not who you think I am ? I am more than happy to chat off line with you to go through who I am and what I have done to save you further embarrasment ?
Signals Management is a term that gets used, it was used during my time in the Defence Communications world, I have also seen it refered to in the Sub world as well, the correct terminology is Signature Management.
This reply just goes to show you for the belligerent troll you are. It must have been months ago I used that term in a post where I refered to “Stealth” as Signals Management, it was a error on my part quoting terminology that was used in my career.
I am not against independant review in Government, and particulary in Defence, but it has to be non biased, I am sure you would be aware of many other groups who have well rounded analysis on many subjects, The Kokoda Foundation comes to mind, but when it comes to APA……
And yet again you also make the mistake of thinking that I am a blind “Fanboi” of the JSF and the project, I am not and have many issues with the program and how it has been handled.
Cheers
I lol’d. God forbid anyone dare question the wisdom of a project awarded via questionable methods and which has since seen costs and delivery timeframes spiral out of sight. Clearly, the problem with Australia these days is that it simply has too much debate on issues of national security. :rolleyes:
It should be possible to criticise APA without coming across as if one is employed by Lockheed Martin, but for some reason that’s usually not how it works out.
I agree, the process for the F35 was very questionable indeed, not a lot has been put out there on it, have they made the right decision though ? Time will tell, but cost and timings are definately still a watch out.
Definately not employed by LM lol
“The APA wanted to ether do the F-111 work or get paid for “coming up with the idea”, hence their hatred of the F-35 (they don’t get any money).”
If you’re going to demean somebody’s motives from the cover of a pseudonym, at least try to be logical. If APA were in it for the money they’d be pushing Typhoon or Rafale – unless you think LockMart would cut them a fat check the day the first RAAF F-22 gets delivered.
Either you are trolling or you have no idea what you are talking about ? I am inclined to go with both.
You know very well, at least you should with your portrayed knowledge, that Peter and Carlo stood to make their money from the F111 upgrade and maint proposal and the company they set up to do it.
As most then know, they did not get their option taken up and the Aus Gov went with the F35. They have had a vendetta against the program ever since, their analysis is one sided, segmented and created in a vacuum in order to rubbish the JSF. The rules they apply to do this never apply to the opposing forces, most of their statements are deliberately misleading and I take offence to the amount of time and money they have wasted in their continual harrasment of the Senate in Australia
But please continue to defend them, I find it entertaining 🙂
“I wait with baited breath”
Then stop eating minnows… Of course you have no grounds for declaring that anyone’s view is “crap” except your own (unproven) access to the classified “truth”. So in the real world, all you are doing is throwing insults.
And what is this about the J-20 proving APA wrong? It actually lacks the large-radius compound curves that the APA study points out on the F-35, and is more F-22-like in its LO shaping, saving the rear aspect.
The argument that no realistic RCS analysis can be conducted on the basis of shape is unfounded. After all, that was the reason for the extraordinary security surrounding LO aircraft in the 1980s. And the dictum that the four most important elements of stealth are “shape, shape, shape and materials” is direct from the notorious amateur Denys Overholser.
Maxwell’s and Ufimtsev’s work is in the open literature and one of the main stumbling blocks up to the 1970s – the complexity of the calculations and interdependencies involved – is no longer a big deal thanks to cheap computing. So if you want to rubbish APA’s work, you have to get beyond the “it’s all classified” approach and the name-calling. But then some people around here would have nothing to say.
So you dont find the disclaimer a cop out ? fair enough, I believe it is.
Of course you can do RCS analysis using pics, rulers and whatever computer you would like, how accurate it will be ? well we could go on about that forever in a day. There are some pretty obvious reasons why it would not be, but you should be aware of them
You are obviously still in denial about Signature Management, and your line on “it’s all classified” is getting rather boring, don’t really care whether you believe what I have done or not. But if you would like to go paragraph for paragraph in the updated report ? No problems
Cheers
Er, just so that I understand, when people “quote” an external article, they are in fact giving their own “professional expertise opinion on the subject”… but when you state that “it is crap like this” and “based on crap”, you are asserting a universal truth?:confused:
For the record, I stopped reading the APA years ago and I’m no fan of their agenda driven publications. I’m only having a go at you because you linked to a 2009 article and then start rebutting people who had the courtesy of even taking notice.
Fair call 🙂 It is a 2009 article but recently updated, but point taken
Cheers
Thank you for being so open and honest about it!
1. I am not really knowledgable about this. I have spent (too much!) time on this and a few other forums, and I read the online versions of Flight Global and AviationWeek. But I would not describe myself as “knowledgable”; there are plenty of people on this and other forums that has a much better understanding and more insight than I do.
2. I certainly do not defend their “analysis”, I believe it is highly biased and probably crap — I will not waste my time on reading it.
I happen to think that the F-35 will be a “game changer” in many ways, and one important part of this will be the VLO aspects of the a/c.
The main issues that I see right now are related to costs and timelines. Hopefully those issues will be resolved.
And I agree, there are still major issues with the program in costings, timelines etc, which they are working towards, hopefully they will be sorted, but still a way to go yet. But it is kicking some good goals in recent times.
It just really irks me when these guy’s put up such nonsense that people take as gospel, and I found it rather funny that they are now even admitting this in the disclaimer, I just wanted to highlight the lengths some will go to
Cheers
aussienscale,
If you think the APA “analysis” is garbage, why on Earth do you link to it?
Don’t you have anything better to contribute?
I don’t think ! I know it is garbage, the reason to link it is to point out that in Peter and Karlo’s desperation to carry on with their rhetoric about how the F35 is crap in their eyes anything else other than the F22, apart from their upgrade of the F111 which of course will make a 50yo aircraft compete with
5th gen airframes.
So you are so knowlegable, you defend their analysis ? It is crap like this that so many quote as their professional expertise opinion on the subject ! and yet now their experts have now admitted in their analysis that it is based on crap !
So if you want to argue the point go ahead, lets pick it apart and go point to point on every paragraph in the report and watch it fall apart ?
I wait with baited breath 🙂
Well here is an interesting assesment from APA on the F35’s “Stealth”, anyone that has even the slightest understanding of Signature Management knows that the disclaimer at the start of the “Assesment” put’s this into the waste basket. The continuing issue I have with these people is that even at their own admission they have no access to any of the data or classified information and still think that taking measurements and angles from a picture is enough to do detailed signature management analysis of an object in a non operational environment, without radars, without any real data whatsoever.
And how the very systems that they claim are going to be the downfall of the F35 don’t ever seem to apply to the very aircraft that are going to blow the F35 out of the sky, not sure how the SU’s are imune to blue force systems but obviously they are ?
“Disclaimer: No classified materials needed to be used, nor were classified materials used in the preparation of this analysis”
Perhaps, but most navies that have retained the FFG-7 have upgraded them into ships that are far more capable than when delivered.
http://www.thalesgroup.com/Countries/Australia/Documents/FFG_Upgrade/
(SM-2 has since been acquired.)
And the RAN is keeping the FFG’s for how much longer though ? It was always a short term gap fill
Looks like the program is hitting a few goals and actually ahead of schedule in some instances, the more interesting thing is the pricing, as economy of scale starts to kick in, but also speed and experience on the line being a major contributor to lower cost
“He said labor costs were coming down faster on the F-35 program than any previous fighter jet program in over 40 years. Lockheed is on track to hit its target unit “flyaway” cost, excluding development, of $67 million in fiscal 2012 dollars by 2018, he added”
Cheers
This is a silly arguement, you can shoot off reply after reply after reply and make an arguement on anything, especially when you isolate your point of a simple X Vs Y arguement, as has been pointed out this is not how it works, not a single thing is this whole thread works in isolation, so trying to put forward that it does is a moot point because in real life it does not happen
A lot of claims being made here, would love to know your sources for the RCS of all these aircraft ?
well, the problem was that the wire was smacked down against the deck by the wheels passing over it and it didn’t have the time to rise back up for the hook to catch it. They modified the damper, but it can’t rise the wire back up, they modified the hook design, it may help catching the wire lower, but only trials with real conditions will show how efficient that fix was
That was part of the problem, it was a combination of several factors all of which we have mentioned over the last few posts.
Plus if needed they can modify the leaf springs and heights on the deck as well 🙂 One again, I believe, very simple tweeking to get it right
Cheers