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Jonesy

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,996 through 2,010 (of 4,319 total)
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  • in reply to: Navies news from around the world -III #1999797
    Jonesy
    Participant

    All the same, even if we’re dealing with a sub, how does one know what went down?.

    There are certain objective, verifiable, facts. The location of the incident can be simply proven from the navigation logs of the salvage ships – seeings as it didnt look like they were being harrased in their operations by NK vessels we can safely assume they were not in NK territorial waters!.

    Any move on the ROKN part to censure those logs would be tantamount to an admission of deception. If the ROKN release a posit thats different from where the wreck was recovered it’ll only be a matter of time before someone speaks out of turn. It would be a stupid risk to run

    The visible damage is entirely consistent with a high capacity under-the-keel detonation. A large ground influence mine, in shallow water, can do something like this but the conditions would have to be very, very specific. On balance of probability, to get that damage, a HWT is more likely than any other weapon. Any way you cut it that puts a hostile submarine firing a warshot at another countries warship at a verifiable position – which is an act of war.

    The only outstanding questions are who’s submarine fired the torpedo and what was the South Korean doing immediately prior to taking the hit. Those answers can change the reality of the response massively and make precipitous statements regarding NK massively unwise.

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -III #1999825
    Jonesy
    Participant

    You’re assuming a torpedo equates a submarine equates a human decision to fire. However, if it’s a seamine (with encapsulated torpedo) and the SK navy ship ventured somewhere it isn’t supposed to venture and triggers the mine, who’s committed the act of war? You just can’t jump to conclusions like that in matters as serious as these.

    Seeings as that level of damage is the work of a heavyweight torpedo Wan its a fair assumption. I cant think of an encapsulated torpedo weapon, off the top of my head, that incorporates a HWT?.

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -III #1999912
    Jonesy
    Participant

    If the intent is for a reprisal attack the target set, to preserve ‘deniability’, is an obvious one.

    Anyone know the current operational status of the new 214’s in the ROKN?. Whether there are any unusual deployment patterns at Chinhae and how up to speed the Chang Bogo’s are on ASW?.

    in reply to: General Discussion #302331
    Jonesy
    Participant

    They use one for takeoffs and the other for landing so what are they going to do with a third?

    ….thats the one they are going to reserve for Greenpeace to block.:diablo:

    in reply to: Greenpeace Advert #1892486
    Jonesy
    Participant

    They use one for takeoffs and the other for landing so what are they going to do with a third?

    ….thats the one they are going to reserve for Greenpeace to block.:diablo:

    in reply to: BAE wins £127m contract to design Navy warship #2001807
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Good find – the block diagram is more a way of roughing out what is needed to fit into the hull, and how much hull you are likely to need to contain it, than any kind of finished-article design piece. Whats interesting in that is the elements that have been deemed ‘desireable’ to be fit into the hull. I wonder if this is the ‘downselected’ block diagram or one of a number of similar images with various possible loudout permutations.

    The thing thats jumped out on me here, and maybe I’m being clinically thick, but why are we looking at a mission-bay on C1?. It was my thinking that C1 was the ASW/GP warfighter and the patrol hull ‘stabilisation combattant’, that requires the mission bay, was the C2?.

    Seeing the vessel in these images has a towed array installation and the mission bay are we now looking at the merging of C1 and C2 requirements into a single hull?. Back to square one with FSC or what???.

    in reply to: Aircraft falling off ships flight decks #2002127
    Jonesy
    Participant

    In Corporate one of 801sqdns Sea Harriers was lost over the side of Invincible with Cdr Mike Broadwater aboard following an ‘ethusiastic’ turn to port.

    This prompting the legendary comment to Invincibles boss, Capt Black, ‘teach you to handle this ship like a f*cking speedboat, sir!!!’ from, iirc, CO 801!

    in reply to: Oman in talks to buy Eurofighter Typhoons #2391574
    Jonesy
    Participant

    True, but was not that the case for past conflicts, despite that Iran never even threatened Oman

    The key difference, of course, that future action in the region would likely see Iran being the targetted party!. The fact that a very real flashpoint potential exists for Oman is very clear.

    in reply to: Oman in talks to buy Eurofighter Typhoons #2391801
    Jonesy
    Participant

    What has changed?

    The fact that Oman controls one side of the access point to the Gulf and Iran may not appreciate Oman allowing certain parties to use that access?. The strong potential for a flashpoint over gulf access is hard to miss surely?.

    in reply to: US Aircraft Carrier Vulnerable #2002821
    Jonesy
    Participant

    A few initial thoughts….

    Response 1. Cats can be skinned in a number of ways!. There is no need to develop identical systems to every opposing weapon just for the sake of having them. In antiship terms the NATO services appreciated the difficulties of taking long range missile shots in terms of target acquisition, tracking and identification. The systems we bet on, SSN’s and naval tacair, reflected those difficulties.

    Response 2. Gun systems (small calibre), no matter how fearsome-looking, can only be shooting at a single target at any one time. They are easily saturated. 57mm weapons and up, firing smart ammunition, can redress this to some extent, but, aren’t in general service yet as close in missile defence weapons. SHORADS missiles with terminal passive or onboard active homing seekers do represent the current, operational, best solution to saturation antiship missile fire.

    Response 3. The Hoover was phased out when the Soviet submarines that they were arrayed against largely disappeared. Some commentators have suggested that the USN has let ASW drift, but, the US SSN fleet, backed by SURTASS and SOSUS was considered equal to the remaining blue-water submarine threat. This is differentiated from the littoral ASW threat as the two exercises are dramatically different. In blue water detection ranges are long and consequently weapons are long range to allow early engagement and minimisation of exposure in the opposition sensor envelope. In that framework S-3 works. In the littoral detection ranges are very, very much reduced for both sides. Persistence and sensor dwell is more important than range or speed. A chopper with a FLASH-type pinger is more useful than an S-3 in that regime.

    Response 4. VL Asroc is still an important weapons system aboard USN escorts I thought?. Subroc/Sealance were blue-water optimised systems. In the littorals detection ranges of 70k yards are extremely unlikely – especially against a discrete SSK. Offboard targetting, in tactical terms, doesnt really work for submarines for obvious reasons so the target set that needs a Sea Lance to service is very, very small.

    Response 5. The Russian Navy needs, probably, a generation to recapitalise its fleet. It has a handful of competetive submarines at deployment readiness and perhaps 20 surface escorts worthy of the name in a very unbalanced force mix. As an opponent to the USN it is not in the same league. Similarly the PLAN at its current state. They can build a ship in a year and a bit – but you dont build the ‘tradition’ by throwing money at it. They need the experienced operators to work up their ships as proper fighting units. That will come in time, of course, and the Chinese are nothing if not patient but, again, as opponents they do not score highly. The need to run about flapping about some latter day ‘bomber gap’ is decidely not here yet and not really all that close.

    Response 6. TLAM. Sending manned bombers on deep strike missions into ever more fiercely defended airspace is a game of diminishing return. Fair play if you have a couple of squadrons of A-12’s to do it, but, if TLAM, plus a few LO UCAVs, can do most of the job for cheaper costs in men and materiel why not let the robots do the suicide missions?. In new weapons like RATTLRS the USN’s deep strike could also be much faster reacting than a manned subsonic striker could achieve.

    in reply to: BAE wins £127m contract to design Navy warship #2003099
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Tinwing,

    The Type 45 will have been out of production for some years by the time the first Type 26 in under construction. I suspect that a number of systems will be obsolete. For instance, the WR-21 is already obsolete, with the RN being the only likely customer and RR having shifted its efforts to the promotion of the MT30 some years ago.

    It will have been out of production for about 7 years. Systems built into a T45 in 2011 will be ludicrously obsolescent in 2018-19?. What on earth makes you think WR21 is obsolete?. Haven’t you seen the performance figures its returning for the T45?. RR still offers both WR21 and MT30…the Trents scale economies may make it more attractive, but, that doesn’t mean WR21 is obsolete in any way shape or form!.

    It is also questionable whether current Type 45 is fully optimized as an ASW platform. Given the delays, downgrades and cost overruns, I wouldn’t be surprised if the basic Type 45 has a number of basic shortcoming that must be rectified for the Type 26.

    Delays, downgrades and cost overruns like those of the FREMM perhaps or even the LCS!. Come off it. T45 is an IEP vessel. IEP offers acoustic signature reductions over a conventional CODAG/COGAG hull for very obvious reasons. T45 isnt an optimised ASW hull, but, its inherent qualities lend themselves to the adaption.

    Of course, the larger issue is the support of an entirely uncompetitive domestic shipbuilding sector that is very nearly dead from a strictly commercial perspective.

    …and you would care to name the W.European nation that has a, non government subsidised, competetive shipbuilding industry?!.

    in reply to: BAE wins £127m contract to design Navy warship #2003438
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I’d factored all that lot in as “Labour”. What I meant is that there isn’t any capital product involved, or vast test beds. Still looks a good deal IMO, especially if it includes the integration. All these pre-designed systems have to work together in sync and harmony, as well you know no doubt. A big and difficult task.

    PeeDee you have to remember this is just the design costs. Looked at objectively why are we cutting a successful hull down?. High length to beam ratio is good for hull efficiency. Without the Sampson mast the hull wont need all that beam but a roomy hull is a good thing….you need more propulsive force to push a higher displacement hull…..but we have a good, economical, power plant available in T45’s IEP. So where is the problem in leaving the T45 hull as intact as possible and redesigning the stern module to incorporate this mission bay and an expanded hangar for a pair of Merlins or a Merlin and a couple of UAV’s?.

    Why do we need to sustain 300 people for 5 years to redesign a hull that seems pretty well designed in the first place?. Is it for operational reasons or is it to keep 300 people in employment for 5 years?. I have no problem with the latter, I like the idea of the skills being maintained in-country very much, but let that £127mn come from the Dept of Work and Pensions budget and not the Defence budget!.

    in reply to: BAE wins £127m contract to design Navy warship #2004164
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Peter,

    When HMAS Melbourne was commissioned we had to crawl around machinery spaces and validate systems – it was no fun at all, but you picked up heaps.

    Agreed on crawling around the noisy spaces. Fact remains though we aren’t talking of a small amount of money here. £127mn is a lot of man hours or I’m in the wrong trade now!.

    Likewise TA trials – I was aboard Schleswig-Hosltein when she was fitted for LFTAS array trials and they streamed over the stern from a temporary housing on the flight deck. BAE and the RN couldn’t come to some arrangement using Daring to trial a lashed-on 2087 set for a month?. It’d certainly be in both parties interest!.

    As to the systems you mentioned yes I accept that some design work, some certification/validation work will be necessary. £127mn worth though?. How much of that is paying for designers flights of fancy and how much is genuine work necessary to turn a T45 into a ‘T26’. The latter I have no problem with, but, the former we cant afford.

    in reply to: BAE wins £127m contract to design Navy warship #2004203
    Jonesy
    Participant

    127 million sonar conforms the hull noise/props so they don’t drown out everything when subhunting, lays out the wiring, sets out the blocks and build shedule, rf shielding, it pays for the in computer performance models , the tank test for the hull while towing, onboard system eval and selection, future growth space etc etc etc.

    frankly if we can get all design work done at that price and get the boats themselves close to cost at a fixed price I’ll call it a win.

    The whole superstructure is different for gods sake, tha means it has to be designed, not only with seakeeping in mind, but radar and comms issues too, that means material analysis taking into account expected conditions and expected lifespan.

    Oh, and they have to create the expected refit schedule and outline upgrade paths too.

    I’m probably forgetting some things, but it’s late

    Thats exactly what I’m talking about look at what you have listed. Tank trial serials for TA validation. RF propagation modelling etc are about the only real areas where there is no pull-through from T45. Acoustic discretion figures for the hullform will already be on record and the existing propulsion system already lends itself to ownship signature reduction.

    Onboard systems eval and selection?. Use the HVAC from T45!. If T45’s installed power gen is surplus for T26 who cares….its automatic future-proofing and would cost to change it for lesser powered systems – even if the machinery is a bit more expensive than absolutely necessary its more than made up by the single logistics train to support 26/45!.

    Materials analysis on what?. This is the entire point – whole sub-systems will be lifted as a block from the Dukes to be re-used here – the materials analysis will be done at a much earlier stage.

    So 127 million pounds, the price of a full-up T23, to tinker with the T45 superstructure – something that, realistically, needs little more than a reduction in the radar mast height, an increase in the hangar/flight deck module plus internal layout changes. Plus some towing analysis, plus some EM modelling. Use the same propulsion layout and you get the same lean-burn performance and streamlined support costs with the T45 fleet…something that will easily, whole-life, offset the costs of the plant in the first place. You also get to draw on the already-developed T45 service schedules!.

    Compared to the costs of a full, keel-up, design Mister I agree 127mn isnt a lot. You could easily look at 3 times that spend. The point I’m making is that, when so little NEEDS to be designed as new, 127mn represents a lot of spend for very little really necessary work.

    in reply to: General Discussion #314220
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Classic clip

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qdMNg8FrVYM

    soundtrack makes it!

Viewing 15 posts - 1,996 through 2,010 (of 4,319 total)