dark light

Jonesy

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 15 posts - 3,046 through 3,060 (of 4,319 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • Jonesy
    Participant

    Yeah that starts to look a bit more sensible! 🙂

    LEGEND-3 coming in at $337mn including the redesign costs for the hull strengthening. By the end of the run they should have that down to $280-300mn for a hull that is considerably more bells n’ whistles than C3 would ever be.

    Essentially a figure of circa $150mn for construction with the remainder in systems and ‘stuff from the extra’s list’ establishes the ‘top end’ for this type of true Oceanic Patrol Vessel. The comparison being with the new Dutch 3750ton OPVs of which 4 are contracted for 500mn Euro’s or circa Eu125mn a copy. Applying the general rule of thumb it can be reasonably argued that, with a long production run, a vessel with lesser sensor/comms fit than either Dutch or American vessel, but, with a more competent machinery fit than the Dutch design should be closer to the £75-90mn bracket than the £95-140mn of the other two designs.

    Since then we have also had Northrop Grumman offering a NSC based “patrol frigate” with minimal changes for just under $400m to fill the gap left by LCS troubles.

    There’s quite an irony in that, for me, in that it seems that they are considering an upgunned version of an ‘austere’ (in US terms) oceanic patrol vessel as a littoral warfighter. Quite the concept of C3 and C2 as I had it mapped out!. 🙂

    Jonesy
    Participant

    Sorry to burst your bubble there… the initial construction contract may have been US$140 million, however that did not include a few things from the extras list, and the cost for CGC Bertholf (first of class) is now in the region of US$640 million. With series production in full swing and lessons learnt applied we are looking at US$500 million for the other ships in the class.
    Now compare that to the latest official figures for LCS 1&2 which are now coming in at US$631 and 640 million or so, up from a target cost of US$220 – 270 million.

    I recall reading a summary of what we would know as a budget appropriations commitee where the head coastie reported that $144mn had been allocated for the build of Legend-class hull 2 and that extra funding was being allocated to address stiffness and cracking issues anticipated in the first two units and to improve the design for hull 3.

    Hard to believe that the man would request an allocation roughly one third that of the cost of the unit or that committee would swallow a 200% increase at a time when there is already serious whinging about the new MPA’s the Coasties have taken on strength?!.

    No insult intended Pred but are you sure on those figures?. They sound extremely high for a relatively modest hull when compared to other, international, large OPV projects and especially when you compare to current Arleigh Burke builds!.

    Super N,

    As an aside, the attached mentioned in todays newspapers regarding future issues of energy security in relation to the North & South Pole may well influence the C1/2/3 debate at the RN. Ice capable C3 anyone ?

    I think it very safe to put the terms C3, Energy security and South Atlantic together. I’d not anticipate any significant desire to go much farther south than South Georgia so real ice strengthening is probably going to be a bit excessive! 🙂

    in reply to: Iranian Navy pics and Questions #2086117
    Jonesy
    Participant

    The model that illustration was based on turns out to differ from the real ship in some details. Recently a video of the ship was released showing that the arment forward of the bridge consisted of two manned 20mm light AAA, one each side – um, hardly high tech lol. In the video the 76mm main gun has yet to be fitted and we don’t get o see the rear of the ship.

    The video does show what looks like a fire-control set mounted atop the bridge though. The type looks very similar to that mounted on the Thondor class boats which, if I recall it right, is a Chinese Type 341 set. That is a set commonly used for gun direction…the Thondor using it to direct the AK-230 mount.

    A fire control set like a 341 obviously is not there to serve a pair of manually laid light guns so it does lend credibility to the fact that something heavier is still to be fitted!.

    Jonesy
    Participant

    As if ballistic missiles are the only way to deliver a nuclear warhead to ConUS… there are far cheaper methods. Fun thing about those is that those aren’t covered by any sort of ABM fundwaster.

    I really dont like that argument to be honest!. Its always struck me as analagous to not paying your car insurance on the basis it wont help you if you get struck by lightning!. 🙂

    Sure having an ABM system operational will do nothing to mitigate the less conventional delivery methods for nuclear ordnance, but, they will discourage people from aiming nuclear-tipped ballistic weapons at you….perhaps even building them in the first place. Call me old fashioned but I think there is merit in the idea of reducing a threat to ones citizenry by that one dimension if technically feasible and affordable.

    Obviously there is some issues on the ‘technically feasible’ part and, not being an American citizen, I couldnt comment on whether its money well spent because its not my money being spent!. Those are hideously complicated issues that I’ll leave floating for now though!.

    Jonesy
    Participant

    Harry,

    Just to make it clear I think that the NSC is the ‘type’ of vessel needed for C3, and as basis for an ‘upgunned’ C2 variant, rather than the actual vessel we need!.

    The changes would be considerable. US ships are always overmanned and this vessel appears no different! :). A design crew complement of 148 souls is excessive…especially when you consider that the Singaporean Formidable class mentioned earlier in the thread gets by with less than half that number despite being a design requiring a much greater Warfare Dept. The NSC’s complement, it would be anticipated, would cover the aviation dept and some form of constabulary/boarding detail but its still just 26 short of the crew requirement of a Type 23 frigate!.

    The CODAG propulsion fit for 29knts is going to be a bit of a luxury solution and diesel-only machinery for closer 26knts performance is going to be cheaper in aquisition and year on year terms and probably quite adequate. Personally I like IEP for all the C-series boats as I think the ease of maintenance will more than pay for the added expense over the life of the vessels but I may be in a minority on that one!.

    The comms fit of the vessel seems inordinately complicated, so much so that apparently tieing the systems to all necessary C3I nodes is proving difficult, legacy of the need for the vessel to establish itself as the netcentric master node at the scene of an incident probably. Needless to say that such complicated systems would be extra and over the RN’s requirement and a nice simple Link16 fit would probably do C3/C2 quite adequately.

    Weapons and sensors we have covered before but, to reiterate, I cant see the RN inducting the Bofors 57 or, in fact, any new gun system in the immediate future. If there is a 4000ton hull to fit a gun to you’d put money on the RN refurbishing old Mk8’s into mod1’s and bolting one for’d!. Nothing else really makes that much sense for an austere hull of that size – the 57mm actually looks a bit dinky on the NSC for that matter but is obviously a highly efficient and effective mount.

    Jonesy
    Participant

    Super Nimrod,

    Simple answer is yes. First of class is on her manufacturers sea trials right now and, apart from some systems integration work that still needs resolving to get her netted in properly, the ship is apparently performing extremely well.

    Details at: http://www.uscg.mil/acquisition/newsroom/updates/nsc021208.asp

    Jonesy
    Participant

    Just an idea but seeing the recent posts for deep water and having seen the national security cutter for the first time it looks very a very suitable ship for C1/C2 I got a source which says the contracts were for $140 million http://www.globalsecurity.org/milita…s/ship/nsc.htm

    Would I be right thinking that you meant C2/C3 there Frosty not C1/C2? 🙂

    Essentially you are quite right NSC is precisely the kind of capability set we need to be looking at for C3. I’d have deep and meaningful doubts about actually aquiring the vessel for C3 as there are a few issues, not least in machinery fit and systems integration, that would oblige us to get into more weighty support costs than perhaps we are really looking for.

    What is certainly interesting is that NSC proves that a 4000ton, comprehensively kitted out, hull is deliverable for circa £75mn!.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2499417
    Jonesy
    Participant

    And who is to say that the A-50 can’t direct a few dozen Mig-31s to knock down those E-2 and any Hornets those E-2s might direct towards that A-50? Hornets are not invisible after all.

    …and now you are clutching at another mans straws!. Dionis has a need to believe Garry, you can see he is a young lad who really, really wants there to be an answer to US naval hegemony and he’s convinced himself that that is the Tom Clancy fantasy. You know better!. You know full well, after all the discussions we’ve had, of the problems of shooting radar guided antiship missiles in cluttered sea-space – we’ve debated it often enough over the past 8 years or so!. I was using the ‘lone A-50/Bear scenario’ to show him how thin his fantasy really was.

    Having the wrong sized AShM is hardly going to interfere with the patrol performance of an Oscar.

    So what are you sending a 500ft 18000ton SSGN with a crew of 118 out to patrol for when you have 9000ton SSNs with less than 2/3rds the crew requirement with every bit as advanced sensors and much better shallows performance for patrol?. Bit stupid sending out the SSGN when its not required isnt it?.

    There is no point rushing now to build a modern stealthy vessel with all the bits and bobs only for it to become the next generation white elephant. There is no hurry and the in service Sovremmenys and Udaloys etc etc are perfectly adequate for the current roles.

    Why would they possibly want to build a uniform fleet of, economical, multirole hulls capable of ASW, Land Attack and antiship work dependent on the loadout of the Klub VLS. They should very definitely continue to deploy their Kirovs and Slava’s. The steam-plant Soveremenny’s are just great to be pressed on with as well!. Forward to the past eh Garry cos, god knows, we’d not want to see them build a white elephant would we!!!.

    For better or worse, the Russian Navy has what it has…Who knows… I doubt even they are 100% sure of what they are going to do, it depends on funding and open mindedness.

    Unless you are suggesting the the Russian Navy is completely unlike any other navy in the world its requirements are obvious and the solutions to those equally obvious. They are just like everyone else….nothing special….they have a LARGE run of coastline to patrol, they have a large and valuable EEZ to patrol and a geopolitical environment that dictates the desireability of a comprehensive and capable naval force.

    They need, pretty much from the ground up, to rebuild their fleet to meet all those challenges without the blank cheque they had under the Soviet system. Retention of some systems is a given, but, (and this is the relevent part) heavy missile ships/submarines have no role that anyone…at all has been able to define in the new framework. Its not open mindedness thats required here it is plain common sense and fleet rationalisation.

    Doesn’t sound right… PESA has one emitter, while the AESA has over 1,000 transmit receive modules. The latter generate a lot more heat than PESA, which suggests lots more wasted energy in the form of heat for AESA.

    You’re not understanding the technology quite right Garry. PESA is basically a fancy front end on a legacy TWT backend. You need a lot of energy output to drive the PESA as a proportion of that budget is lost through the waveguide and in the antenna. AESA modules modest individual power outputs act in focussed cumulative fashion to beamform and you dont get the same loss so the input power can be correspondingly lower. One of the few advantages the US boast about the SPY-1 over AESA’s like APAR and SAMSON is the sheer power they can push out to burn through jamming.

    And what changed between 82 and 84?

    What do you mean?. Between 82-84 every Navy on the planet had just learned about the level of threat posed by subsonic skimmers and those who could afford it went out and bought Phalanx!.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2499440
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Dionis

    Yeah, just like there probably aren’t more than a few of the latest SM missiles on each Tico or Burke, and they don’t practice anticipating an attack from hundreds of supersonic missiles.

    What do you mean by ‘latest SM missiles’ IIRC SM-2blk IIIB has been the series production model for years and is the issue round. There is no ‘latest’ version unless you are talking about SM-3 which is an ABM or SM-6 which isnt deployed yet?.

    They probably do not practise attacks againt ‘hundreds of supersonic missiles’ because no-one could practically mount an attack using such resources….Russia very much included unless she managed to get every single launching asset she possessed in a position to launch simultaneously. A situation that doesnt just require a lack of military comprehension to suggest but probably a recent dabbling with recreational pharmaceuticals as well.

    What the US, along with many other developed navies, DO practice against is streaming missile attacks where a number of inbounds are plotted simultaneously…close enough to the attack that you fantasize your Russian platforms could make as makes no odds.

    And we’ve discussed how they launch these things. In terms of being at a real war over the Middle East, there’s really nowhere to look, so a few satellites and recon Bear variants or A-50s can easily track a carrier group, which in turn could guide the Backfires, or in terms of Oscar IIs, you have inertial + SAT update guidance.

    Once again…your few satellites DO NOT EXIST!. You are placing the group in the middle east to try and solve the area targetting problem, but, how is a Bear or A-50 at extended range from home air cover going to detect a battlegroup when the battlegroup E-2’s will detect the Bear or A-50 and direct fighters to intercept?. Quite where the Middle East comes in to this I dont know anyway…but are you proposing that an Oscar SSGN sails into the Persian Gulf???. Have you any concept of what you are saying?.

    in reply to: UVX Stealth Destroyer/Carrier? #2093762
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Looks like a 2008 version of the old ‘Harrier destroyer’ concept. It has all the same problems that made the earlier concept a non-starter unfortunately. Too few aircraft in the airgroup for meaningful operations being the most important of those..

    Realistically all this vessel would be capable of is a few dozen UCAV strike ops until the embarked stores ran low….same can be achieved with a conventional design with a reasonable sized VLS farm and TACTOM!.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2499602
    Jonesy
    Participant

    So currently the Russians should withdraw all their ICBMs and SLBMs and use them for profit launching satellites because NATO is Russias friend…

    Dont know about ALL of them but I understand they are doing that with some….which is IMO to their credit!. Then again though Garry you know the difference between a strategic weapon and a tactical one, such as an antiship missile, and you are just trying your usual obfuscation tactics aren’t you?! 😉

    There is not much threat at the moment then having half a capability is not really much different from having a full capability but still without the need for that capability.

    Wooo say that three times really quick!. Of course there is a difference – how can you have ‘half a capability’. You either have a capability or you dont. Without Legenda its stretching credibility to say the Russian Navy HAS a long-range antiship missile capability. They are paying for the upkeep of missiles that impress nobody who has to deal with antiship missiles in a professional capacity.

    I doubt replacing all those large antiship missiles with Kh-35 would make much difference at all… when was the last time the Russians fired any sort of anti ship missile in anger in peacetime? When has any navy actually solved a shipping dispute with an antiship missile in peacetime that wasn’t intended to and didn’t start a war.

    The difference would be the cost savings from not sending out legacy platforms, like Oscars, and using those savings towards the deployment of patrol assets that actually do important work.

    I’m not sure I completely understand your parameters there but Op Praying Mantis saw the use of antiship missiles that didnt end in a war IIRC?.

    Can’t see these newer smaller ships being any cheaper than the older models. New electronics and stealth features and new weapons that need to be tested and introduced… and of course at the end of the day you have all these small ships and when you finally need a few vessels to take on carrier groups (from any nation not just US) you find your little missiles have short range and lack the explosive power to really effect a carrier sized vessel.

    Garry whole-life costs can dwarf the initial acquisition cost of any vessel. As I’ve written elsewhere on this site the annual running costs of a competent FFG can supercede the sticker price in as little as seven or eight years. Running a modified Slava class just to mount 64 Yakhonts, with a quad tube arrangement in place of every P-500 launcher, means deploying a single 12000ton hull with a crew of 400+.

    You are telling me that Russian warship designers would not be able to come up with a 6-7k ton hull with a 32 cell Klub VLS and 32 round S-300 VLS on an economical CODAG hull with half the crew requirement of a Slava?. That is the kind of flexible and economical DDG hull that the Russian Navy needs to get on a long-production run to rebuild its fleets and ensure that it can crew and deploy useable fleet assets in the future…a couple of these honking great Rakenty Kreysers draw funds away from that goal for very, very little purpose.

    Think you got that around the wrong way. PESA uses rather less power and generates rather less heat than an AESA.

    Nope. Power budget required by a Passive ESA is far higher than for an equivalent AESA.

    Was SUNBURN the only sea skimmer (MOSKIT is the airlaunched model) in the Soviet Inventory? The Sovremmeny was fitted with Sunburns in 1981, the fact that the boats had a protracted fitting out period and did not enter operational service till 84 does not diminish the fact that the Soviets had sea skimming missiles.

    OK. I’m fairly certain Sovremmeny didnt get her P-270’s til after that…have a Janes with an image of her without the SSM tubes that I’ll have to check the date on when I get home. Anyway we can agree that the Soviet Union did not have an operational sea skimmer til at least 1984 – using your dates.

    The SS-N-12 could fly down to 30m, and by 1986 of course there was the Kh-35.

    the P-500 in this regard having low altitude capability similar to that of Styx/Termit and the Malachit series….not exactly sea skimming but a low altitude cruise profile.

    in reply to: PLAN News, Photos and Speculation #3 #2093765
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Going by the description and images there it looks like a low-end passive low-frequency frigate tail.

    25-45km is roughly out to the 2nd CZ….you’d expect 3CZ’s from a relatively long line as appears to be on the drum in the images. I’d imagine that that is the advertising pitching low rather than any limitation of the equipment.

    4 degrees angular resolution and 5 simultaneous target tracks seems to be consistent with the end of the market this tail is aimed at. Essentially its a mainly blue-water passive capability, probably aimed at frigate navies with relatively modest ASW currently, available were such kit hasnt really been before.

    in reply to: Royal Navy FSC two tier thing or whatever it is called now #2093822
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Ed,

    Another stupid though occurs, though (forgive me, I’ve been away from the board for a few days, staying in the hotel NHS…), that we could do what I proposed, but with the C-1/2. The C-1 would have the VDS etc, and the C-2 would have slightly more austere fitout, but overall very similar fit. The C-3 is then much smaller and cheaper, but could at least carry one 8-cell VLS, which, with quad-packing would allow 32 missiles.

    Wouldnt say ‘stupid’ too loudly there Ed – the joint C1/C2 with small C3 was where Turbinia came in on this!. 😀

    I say this over and again, but, I feel its so important that it cant be overlooked. The requirement out of the C1-3 structure is to provide Fleet ASW and, some version of, ASuW/NGFS and to cover all our patrol taskings more economically than we can currently achieve with Type22B3, 23 and 42.

    C1 has to be our principle ASW warfighter and, despite the orientation shift to the littoral and SSK’s, ASW is still every bit as vital to RN ops as it ever was when we chased Victors across the Atlantic. The core issue, stemming from what you (and Turbinia) postulate, of whether should C2 share the same hull as C1, depends largely on how you view what an ASW escort should be today. IF, as I think Turbinia believes, a FREMM-sized hull is sufficient creating, simply, a direct like-for-like replacement of Type 23 then room certainly exists for matching C1 and C2 and ending up with a quite powerful C2 in to the bargain.

    I think that approach moves us no further forward with the problems faced today though. Right now we have patrol slots being gapped and escorts tied alongside that could fill them, however, the budget just isnt there to send them out. If C2 is the same as C1, just a little more austere, then we are still, basically, paying for a frigate deployment to cover the patrol tasking….something we cant do now!. Plus we get rather a modest hull for C1 that, personally, I feel is a long way short of what C1 needs to be.

    Its my opinion only but I think the greater commonality, to minimise operational costs whilst delivering maximum capability, is for C2 and C3 to have the crossover.

    in reply to: Ability of RuAF and Russian Navy to destroy US CBG #2499981
    Jonesy
    Participant

    No its not Coolie….thats the famous slip up shot….its an Iowa class BB that was ‘imaged’ before being mothballed!. 25m resolution is in no way detailed enough for a reliable target analysis!.

    The other image in that photo…at closer to 10m resolution is the level you need to identify targets as I think that page shows very clearly!

    in reply to: Royal Navy FSC two tier thing or whatever it is called now #2093838
    Jonesy
    Participant

    The problem still comes down to what on Earth C-2 is actually going to be though. There seem to be a couple of very different concepts as to what C-2 is meant to be – a standing ‘presence’ ship, an ‘armed patrol’ ship, or an intervention ship. If it is for standing presence or patrol, then moderate armament may suffice; if it needs to be capable of leading a small scale ‘hot’ operation, then something more is needed.

    I guess one question is going to be how capable CAMM ends up – I have heard that the IRIS-T-SL has something like a 20km range, which might be enough for our purposes. On the other hand, if it has less than 10km range, then I have real concerns about the defensive capabilities of the ships. A small ‘sort of VLS’ (i.e. something similar to the IRIS-T’s ground launcher) might work. It should be possible to put in a sufficient number of launch tubes (which may, of course, be reloadable). Thirty-two of these would be sufficient, and could represent a good basic armament.

    If we then assume that C-2 and C-3 are to be ‘presence ships’, C-3 for low-intensity and C-2 for higher intensity, then they can be the same hull. If we wanted, we could actually make C-2 and C-3 the same basic ship, just with mission modules (a mission bay aft, under the flight deck, allowing either MCM or maritime interdiction crews). There would be the same radar, hull sonar, SAMs, space for anti-ship missiles, and CIWS, and a flight deck and hangar. It should be possible to keep regular manning down to under 80, with space for as many as 80 more staff (flight crew, MCM crew, boarding parties etc..). The main gun would be the same as on the C-1 and T-45, preferably the 127mm – overkill for some taskings, but gives a lot of capability, and commonality.

    -4,500 tons displacement
    – Common mission bay aft, for VDS, MCM, RHIBs etc…
    – Large flight deck and hangar, allowing UAVs and/or helos
    – 127mm main gun
    – 32+ CAMM (20km+ range preferably…)
    – 2 CIWS (maybe our 40mm CTA, with a very high burst rate)
    – 80 man crew

    I’m still of the opinion you had this right a few dozen posts ago Ed – C3 low/med threat environment and C2 med/high. Simple as that.

    I disagree that we could have C2 and C3 being exactly the same ship but fitted with differing modules. Thats the capability-creep we need to be very careful of.

    As I’ve stated I think that commonality in hull and machinery is plenty with C3 being the version with the mission deck, crane, transient crew/passenger berths etc, etc. C2 being of a modified ‘batch 2’ design with VLS (CAMM intended to be quad-packable in Sylver A50 – according to rumour) perhaps 2 Aster50/70 modules, BAE 155 (if we go down that route) and with expanded aviation and weapons departments.

    Putting in as much commonality as possible whilst maintaining the seperation in costs and capability would be the critical factor in pursuing this joint C2/C3 approach. Otherwise its too easy for the government to take the numbers down to 10-12 modular hulls. 8 of each type means 3-4 simultaneous deployments out of both types which, if you look at what we’re needing to cover, is about adequate. Less than that and we’re still going to be gapping slots!.

Viewing 15 posts - 3,046 through 3,060 (of 4,319 total)