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Jonesy

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  • in reply to: US/UK SSBN news #2010437
    Jonesy
    Participant

    We have 13 frigates, 6 destroyers and 7 SSNs, no carriers and no MPAs. Yet the government proposes to spend tens of billions on three, or maybe four, SSBNs, the ultimate Cold War deterrent for a “war” which finished 20 years ago. The phrase “fur coats and no knickers” springs to mind.

    I’m no great fan of the idea of keeping on single-role bomber subs, but, any way we do the national nuclear deterrent it is going to cost a fair few billions. I’ve got to ask the question, John, which of the platforms you list above from frigates, destroyers, SSN’s, carriers or MPA’s can, going forward, provide the national deterrent for a ‘war’ which could, very easily, be back with us in 20yrs time?.

    in reply to: US/UK SSBN news #2010480
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Yep the idea is to keep the successor SSBN’s single-role as the high-density LACM and SF duties can be accomplished with deployment of the Virgina Payload Modules in the upcoming units of the US SSN fleet:

    http://www.public.navy.mil/subfor/underseawarfaremagazine/issues/archives/issue_47/Images/virginia_1.gif

    There was talk of a small conventional ballistic type weapon to be multiple deployable in VPM’s to give USN SSNs a short-latency strike capability as well. Seeing that the VPM’s dimensions are enough to load a weapon of Polaris A3 size already I think that this is where we should be looking for our next deterrent platform more than single-role SSBN’s to be honest.

    in reply to: US/UK SSBN news #2010484
    Jonesy
    Participant

    The common missile module for the successor bombers has completed the design phase and is a basic 4 missile unit to be installed in multiples – two or three for UK or four for US.

    in reply to: PLAN News Thread #4 #2010588
    Jonesy
    Participant

    “Question what’s all that water on the flight deck and pouring from it?Is it some sort of anti fire measure or the steep turn caused it?”

    Looks like an NBC washdown system

    in reply to: INS Vikramaditya: Steaming towards Induction #2010680
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Looks a damnsight better polished than any Sods Opera I ever saw!. 🙂

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -IV #2010737
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Not the RCS that I’d be most concerned about. ESSM is a good system but hinging ASMD on a single mechanically trained fire control director is all a bit 80’s. Granted the Sea RAM is there as an inner-layer, but, its still not a combat system thats looking like handling even a modest saturation attack well. If I didnt want to go to the expense of adding in something like AUSPAR I’d look at Sea Ceptor, VL-MICA or Umkhonto with a Meko style high deckhouse built for’d to accomodate.

    Then there is the slightly odd decision to delete the aft small boat ramp/handling deck. For a patrol frigate, a unit most likely tasked with high endurance littoral presence/MSO/MIOPS duties, increasing that capability to handle the new range of light, and incredibly useful, LCP’s in place of the coastie Long Range Interceptors would make greater sense than replacing it with a couple of Mk141’s for Harpoon!.

    I’d sacrifice the Sea RAM and shift the SSGW to the hangar roof to get the small boat capability back. Offset the loss of the Sea RAM by selecting the STRALES mount for MCG. Something like this:

    http://imageshack.us/a/img141/1807/ffg4921lineart.jpg

    Jonesy
    Participant

    The South African Navy deployed a Minister class strikecraft to search in the Indian Ocean for wreckage from the SAA Helderberg plane crash in November 1997.
    …through the Straits of Magellan to Valparaiso in February 1998.
    In May 1990…across the Indian Ocean to Keelung in Taiwan.
    In 1993…participate in the Atlasur excercise.
    2 more repeated the voyage and excercise in 1999.

    Granted, and a point well made, if anything its easy to see why they went for frigates come replacement time!.

    I’d say the above speaks more to the quality of the men crewing those boats than the suitability of the boats themselves though and, being uncharitable, the lack of a better suited boat to send in most cases?!. Hope thats fair comment!.

    I’ve crewed a 200ton ‘small ship’ on a navigation exercise that crossed the channel and then ‘did Biscay’ in both directions…in November. Of the several dozen trainees aboard that ship 2 were not seasick. I was not fortunate enough to number amongst those 2!!!. The ship physically made the transit in terms that it didnt actually sink on the way out or back, but, there is no way, had we been armed, that we could have undertaken a combat patrol following the transit in either direction.

    As to the wider issue brought up about the efficacy of aircraft over ships the answer is the obvious one….an aircrafts endurance will never compete with a ships…ever. The clear solution is to leverage the benefits of both by basing the aircraft on the ship.

    Distiller writes…

    You could do a lot of things with smaller vessels once you drop the (manned) aviation complex requirement and its sea state ops requirements

    I think the answer is the exact reverse of that. If you want to get value out of the smaller hull you optimise it precisely for the carriage of aircraft. It is entirely possible to build a SWATH or semi-SWATH/ModCAT hull in the 60-80m length bracket capable of deploying rotary air in conditions up to SS6 and survivable two states above that!. The larger end of that spectrum, still just 80m….10-20m less than ‘normal’ OCPV’s, we see things like the US FSF-1 able to offer concurrent two-spot flight ops.

    At 60m you look at something like the A&R ‘Weser’ design ordered by the German Ministry of Transport at Eur50mn a throw (half the price of a Greek Super Vita). Easy to adapt that to a design, with the cost differential, adding quite a bit more installed power than 3MW, capable of embarking an aviation department of an NH90 and half a dozen S-100 type or a smaller number of larger ‘MQ-8B type’ UAV’s and replacing the davit carried boats with Finnish Jurmo’s or similar ‘interceptor’ type units for MSO work. You then have a ‘small unit’ capable of creating a bubble of controlled seaspace dozens of miles across and quite able to do so in sea conditions that would send traditional smaller monohulls scurrying for safe anchorage.

    Small boats have a contribution to make certainly…but they must be designed to offer very specific capabilities to do so.

    in reply to: General Discussion #289021
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Isnt much of the foreign aid budget a thinly veiled sweetner to encourage trade from places like India and Brazil?.

    “See we help your poor out, arent we nice people, now how many shiny new frigates/fighters/tanks can we put you down for again?”

    That being the case I’m fine with it. I’ll go back to beating my drum about the Social Security budget if I want savings to be made anywhere. Last figures I saw were about £10bn in unclaimed direct benefits and about half as much on top from unclaimed tax credits.

    £15Bn in WASTAGE annually from the Social Security budget….money that is allocated and fenced off but not used….more than the entire foreign aid budget….just from the crumbs from the Welfare table. I know where I want the savings to happen and it wouldnt involve cutting the legs out from under some poor bast@rd, out in the back of beyond, who is getting a break from his misery and is appreciative of whatever genuine good is coming from the bit of help being pushed his way.

    in reply to: UK Overseas Aid Budget – Cat, Pigeons, GO! #1882905
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Isnt much of the foreign aid budget a thinly veiled sweetner to encourage trade from places like India and Brazil?.

    “See we help your poor out, arent we nice people, now how many shiny new frigates/fighters/tanks can we put you down for again?”

    That being the case I’m fine with it. I’ll go back to beating my drum about the Social Security budget if I want savings to be made anywhere. Last figures I saw were about £10bn in unclaimed direct benefits and about half as much on top from unclaimed tax credits.

    £15Bn in WASTAGE annually from the Social Security budget….money that is allocated and fenced off but not used….more than the entire foreign aid budget….just from the crumbs from the Welfare table. I know where I want the savings to happen and it wouldnt involve cutting the legs out from under some poor bast@rd, out in the back of beyond, who is getting a break from his misery and is appreciative of whatever genuine good is coming from the bit of help being pushed his way.

    in reply to: Carrier OR Refund? #2011461
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Agreed that Garibaldi represents the same potential for extending the IN’s Sea Harrier deployment option as PdeA.

    I suggested PdeA as the better option simply as, I’ve read, she’s in serious need of a refit before she puts out to sea on a full operational deployment again. Reading the stories coming out of Spain at the moment its hard to see where they are going to get the money to pay for an expensive refit for a vessel past her prime, so, I could have seen the Spanish govt being more than happy to have that particular burden taken off their hands.

    Garibaldi does of course make equal sense from the commonality standpoint and, potentially if the IN started talking about design assistance/contract involvement for IAC-2 that could go to Italian yards, its entirely possible that Garibaldi could be made available very reasonably. As you say she’s likely in far better nick than the Spanish ship and could possibly even go over as an active transfer.

    I have to state that I dont expect this to happen….I think the political momentum behind the Gorshkov will be irresistible and the simple ‘big grey boat’ dynamic will appeal to too many of the uninitiated. I just think its wrong to state that there is no other, or better, alternative?!.

    in reply to: Carrier OR Refund? #2011516
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Wan,

    PdA aside (which only apparently became an option in may 2012), which other Euro CVS’ would have been or are available at the time the Indian’s need to decide?

    Originally, in about 2003, it was HMS Invincible which was, even then, slated for a spell at extended readiness. History shows us she could have been in IN service at latest towards the end of ’06 and had been the recipient of a 10yr refit shortly before.

    Today PdA is the ideal option as it even shares its gas turbine type with the IAC. She is, apparently, sorely in need of a refit but, again, a decent refit is not going to cost a great deal compared to the Gorshkov spend.

    Italy,

    but its easy to say that in retrospect.

    Quite a few said it before the deal as well!

    in reply to: Carrier OR Refund? #2011666
    Jonesy
    Participant

    It is almost amusing that the ship itself appears to be trying to reprieve the Indian Navy from its seemingly inescapable burden!. The irony is also nearly unbelievable that the principle justification for carrying through with this deal is exactly the same as it was 10 years ago….that there is ‘no other option’.

    There are, of course, options to simply skip Gorshkov as a bad idea. They would involve dragging on the Sea Harrier with the current ship or picking up a discarded european CVS like Principe de Austrias for the cost of a refit. The current IN SHAR inventory is light but could be augmented from a couple of potential sources going forwards…not least the half a dozen complete FA2 airframes at Culdrose. Recompense from the Gorshkov deal would more than cover any costs for refitting a CVS and regenerating half a dozen airframes in the near term.

    IAC commissions, last I heard, 2017ish according to current scheduling…a schedule that seems generous enough to cope with a good few set backs. Running with whichever CVS until then presents no apparent issue I can see in terms of the IN’s strategic situation. IAC takes over after that with CVS covering refits, and modest deployments, until the Harriers expire around 2020. They then run on with IAC-1 and the small pool of Fulcrum-K’s until the first CATOBAR carrier is online middle of the next decade. Then, I’d imagine, pass the Fulcrums to the IAF and convert IAC to CATOBAR with a couple of EMCATs to buy some time until IAC-3 can be built.

    Thats the alternative. The only real reason for continuing with Gorshkov at this point is the momentum thats built up in the contract. The IN want better than STOBAR delivers already and Rafale is on the way regardless. STOBAR buys time for IAC-2 and Rafale-M but you have IAC-1 to deliver it…with a vessel that promises to be considerable cheaper than the Russian built unit to run.

    in reply to: General Discussion #289113
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Best possible outcome from the events in Libya

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2012/09/21/benghazi-anti-militia-protest-libyan-demonstrators_n_1905682.html?

    Harsh that it came at the price it did but moderate Islam taking to the fore to define the limits on what can be done in the name of the prophet is a hugely significant step forward for the future of the region.

    in reply to: Libya Eh??? #1883008
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Best possible outcome from the events in Libya

    http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2012/09/21/benghazi-anti-militia-protest-libyan-demonstrators_n_1905682.html?

    Harsh that it came at the price it did but moderate Islam taking to the fore to define the limits on what can be done in the name of the prophet is a hugely significant step forward for the future of the region.

    in reply to: General Discussion #289385
    Jonesy
    Participant

    “Who are we to question this choice?” We are the people who pay their wages and look to them for the best service and protection possible.

    We are also the people who pay the wages of firemen and NHS doctors….do you often tell them how to put out fires or, perhaps, critique the odd appendectomy down the local hospital???

    I’d suggest, as stated earlier, the police are aware of the pro’s and cons of being armed far better than the layman is. 82% against is pretty decisive that the threat outweighs the benefit. Tragic as this event is its noticeable for its savagery in a society that rarely produces such undiluted displays of malevolence.

    That we live in that kind of society, not just that our police can be unarmed, gives me a huge sense of pride generally. Some of the price for that pride has just been paid by two young women and they could have paid no higher amount. For them you can only offer a quiet thankyou for a job seen through to the end and hope that somehow their families and friends can find a way to cope with their stunning loss and pain.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,066 through 1,080 (of 4,319 total)