Rafale is a bird in hand. PAK-FA is two birds in a bush.
In the big picture Rafale gains you access to western weapons systems. I’d want access to the high volume smaller number of choices than the mess of low volume choices out of Russia. The IAF has to counter the PLAAF and their recent upswing in high quality systems.
I don’t see what is high volume about Rafale. barely 30 or 40 more will be made for French and with super expensive weopons and upgrades. PAK-FA production is too last 40 years. so couple of thousands. Rafale is very risky deal. MIG-29 still in production but M2K line closed.
The ranging ability of IRST publicly given for Russian systems is in the range of 20km. While this was for the OLS-35 and the PakFa will likely have a better system, it won’t be better by much.
There is a reason why EM is the preferred system for BVR combat.
this 2nd or third time that brochure is presented. It is more export model advertisement and Russian manufacturers usually understate public figures.
There are NATO agreements on technology transfer for military usage.
Do not confuse civilian technology with military technology.
Civillian technology is much more advanced than military technology. Civilian firms have huge profits so they attract better international talent. Samsung one year profit may equal to 10 year Lockheed profits. Germany already selling Siemens Machines t and team center software to UAC. it is upto Russia how to use that technology effectively in military.
I don’t think defence of EU is so important to Germany when you look its economic policies that is destroying EU and make it more depended on China/Russia etc.
http://www.dutchdefencepress.com/?p=8875
For Rheinmetall Defence, one of Germany�s largest producers of military equipment and also one of the world’s leading suppliers and operators of simulation and training systems for ground, air and naval applications, the order is worth well over 100 million Euros, including further options. Especially when you consider that over the next decade even roughly well over 550 billion Euros more will be spend by the Defence Ministry of the Russian Federation to sharpens the �bears� teeth
Did you notice in the picture of the HEMT production lab, the production machinery was German? This means the best that Russia’s leading transistor manufacturer could possibly produce will only be on par with old generation German products (as I doubt any NATO member will be selling their latest production equipment to Russia). So I guess you can stop calling it Russian GaN and rename it “Russian GaN materials in n-3 generation German HEMT’s”
Germany really does not have choice but selling there best industrial machinery to Russia. infact Germanic control of EU has strip EU of any military ability.
http://www.dw.de/german-foreign-minister-seeks-improved-relations-with-russia/a-4911294
Without ifs, ands or buts: we want a strategic partnership with Russia,” Westerwelle said at his meeting with Lavrov.
Why is Iraq paying 4.8 billion USD for 24 AH-64E while India is paying ‘only’ 1.3 billion for 22 AH-64D? why the huge discrepancy? Why almost 3 times as much for each gunship?
we don’t even know how old is this $1.3b price incase of India. they haven’t sign it yet. it could be 5 year old figure and without a lot of support equipment.
Premature at this stage but if FR move the production line of Rafale to India, price will sink a lot for 350 or more planes. India alone might go for 200+ planes if price is right. But
1. that mean LCA mk2 numbers will suffer.
2. Do India want to take gloves off in relation to China? Arming Taiwan and forming an alliance with Japan.
3. Who is going to finance this Asian cold war as India can’t foot the bill alone? At the end 130b$ of Chinese Budget vs 40b$ of Indian budget. I highly doubt India will accept any direct money aid.
India budget is around $31b after recent currency devalued. China will be closer to $300b. this very wide gap.
I don’t think the cost to France is under dispute. From the article under discussion –
In January 2012, when Rafale was declared the winner, its price was quoted between $60-65 million (Rs373-Rs400 crore).
I’m fairly certain that’s the flyaway cost being referenced.
Rafale never had $60-65m fly away cost. more than a a billion Euro is sent to Dassualt each year to produce 8 to 10 Rafale. this much money is needed to get Rafale from production line. and i presume Indian production line figures will be way higher due to lack of productivity.
you guys are both right. nothing to argue here.
China went from one of the world’s technological centers to being a backyard boonies after being isolated for so long. The Japanese were the first to see such a policy didn’t work and westernized first. It took the Soviets to send hordes of scientists and engineers to teach China modern engineering which is why many of the weapons, infrastructure, political philosophy, etc are all borrowed from the Soviets. Its even more so since Mao demonized his own chinese culture and destroyed lots of it during the cultural revolution (its also why you can argue taiwan, hong kong and even Japan might be more chinese than china mainland).
that said, Soviet-China connection got cut, restarted, but now with Ukraine, lots of designs being influenced with Ukrainian engineering help. I don’t think China’s armored vehicle industry, ships, and some aviation would’ve gotten modernized with out Ukrainian assistance.
question is if this would bite Ukraine in the butt in the mid-term when China kicks them out of the market, selling type 99s against Ukraines Oplot.also, Ukraine is becoming increasingly anti-Russia (except for Crimea).. good chance Yanukovych will be murdered on the street by armed protestors and a shift against Russian alignment. This means no more cooperation with Ukraine and Russian arms industry which would really hurt Ukraine. Would this be a good opportunity for china to fill that void? could we see Ukraine switch to Chinese weapons?
you are over estimating Ukraine role. it simply cannot complete single project without Russia industry cooperation. and i believe all that cooperation with China has Russia permission. remember there were no large scale gas supply cutoff in response to cooperation with China.
http://www.euronews.com/2013/12/23/ukraine-donetsk-region-sees-future-with-russia-not-eu/
Did the article say that the MoD was ‘surprised’?
why did I include this quote in my first response?. they have cold feet now since price got double. wait until they know the price of Rafale primary armament like Meteor etc.
The defence ministry headed by AK Antony has developed cold feet after the cost doubled compared to the original estimate. With the general elections just months away, Antony is unsure about the fate of the deal, a defence ministry official said. “As the negotiations continue, the cost is spiralling out of hand. It is a major worry,” he said.
This isn’t 2002 and $4 billion was not the flyaway cost for SK. All commerce in the world is subject to inflation, in the absence of extraneous factors.
this give you ball park figure. if you do straight extrapolation minimum is $13b for 126 fighters based on 2002 price when Euro-Dollar was parity. now Euro is 35% more expensive. and add 12 years worth of inflation and capability enhancement. bare minium the deal should be $20b. and than add to that licensing cost. so why get surprised by $28 to $30b cost. these things are know facts.
just like 9b Euro 60 Rafale offer to UAE. India prices simply cant go below that.
cost did not double just India could not estimate the right price. In year 2002 40 Rafale cost approximately $4b in SK competition. so how 12 years later it can be cheaper.
The defence ministry headed by AK Antony has developed cold feet after the cost doubled compared to the original estimate. With the general elections just months away, Antony is unsure about the fate of the deal, a defence ministry official said. “As the negotiations continue, the cost is spiralling out of hand. It is a major worry,” he said.
F-35 is more expensive than the F-15SE. Fact.
The F-35 costs 1.5 times more than the F-15SE. Guesswork.
Other part here.
that’s good you admitted F-35 is expensive than advance 4G fighter like F-15SE. Now you should also admit that only 40 F-35 can be afforded in budget of 60 F-15SE at this point. and you should admit that FMS deals does not provide extensive offsets like commercial deals that pretty much reduced the cost of 4G fighter.
40 aircraft with options for another 20. Like I said, no figures available to support the 1:1.5 assertion.
they have to pay separate for that 20 aircraft option. they can only afford 40 with FMS and no offsets like Boeing/EADS can provide with 4G fighters. so you cannot compare the overall cost of deals even if they are similar.
http://www.defencereviewasia.com/articles/269/South-Korean-defence-chief-tries-to-dispel-worries-over-F-35
South Korea’s defence minister on Wednesday supported Seoul’s plan to buy Lockheed Martin’s F-35s through the U.S. foreign military sales program (FMS), vowing to get a good deal from the reduced number of stealth jets to be purchased. Kim Kwan-jin briefed ruling Saenuri Party lawmakers on the plan to buy 40 F-35s without an open bid, as they are only sold through the U.S. government’s sales conditions, which reduces Seoul’s negotiating leverage
Cost being paid for the 40 aircraft on order.
are those 40 delivered. so how you know there costs?. LCA can consistenly overrun its development cost and its low production rate and imported components will ensure it will overrun flyaway costs by wide margin.
One, the Tejas’ price was the actual cost paid by the MoD to HAL for the aircraft. Two, there are no figures available yet from the SK competition to support your 1:1.5 claim.
SK decrease buy of FXX by 1/3 and delayed signing by one year to find funds. and that is lot 10. and since F-35 will be FMS sell there will be no big obligation of offsets like in F-15/EF deals.
Tejas actual cost paid? from where those actual costs comes from?. It is hardly only 15 fighters built in last 15 years at a rate of one plane per year.
If you want to calculate the exact difference in cost, yes. Particularly, if you have two aircraft with similar profiles, such as the Rafale and Eurofighter. But, if the question is broader – does the F-35 cost vary greatly from advanced fourth generation aircraft, a rule of thumb estimate based on the flyaway cost is good enough.
Now you are going to estimate price of F-35 when you are so far off on LCA price. Take South Korea FXX competition. they have to postpone signing for 1 year as only 1 JSF can be acquired for the price of 1.5 F-15/EF etc. and that future higher production orders in lot 10.