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GoldenDragon

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  • in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2605062
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Disagreed. The YF-17 Cobra could have been a failed project, but the USN resurrected it as the F/A-18 Hornet series. The American RAH-66 Comanche, British P.1154, Canadian CF-105 Arrow, FSU MiG 1.42/MiG 1.44 MFI and S-37/Su-47 Berkut might not be failed projects, if their governments didn’t cancel them. For instance, if the Brits or Canadians continue to develop and manufacture the YF-23 or X-32 Joint Strike Flounder, then IMO they wouldn’t be failed projects.

    The YF-17 was built by a company with its own technology who lost the competition. The project was a success when it was selected by the Navy. All the others you mentioned were failed projects. Projects can fail because of vast variety of reasons: cost overruns, lack of need, political opposition – obsolesence is only one of them (and usually the least important reason.)

    Don’t confused the technical specs with success. You have the greatest technical specs like Chinese J-9 in the 1970s and it was still a failure because it was too expensive for China to build. The Y-10 flew and it was still a failure because the political situation wasn’t right.

    The Lavi failed because it depended on American money and American technology. When the US pulled the plug, the project went down the toilet. It could ONLY be built with American technology and support. It would have failed in China as it did in Israel because there is no way the Chinese is gonna get American support.

    Also, the FC-1 and JH-7 can be considered failed, or at the most obsolescent, projects by 2000s Western standards, but they are mass-produced and equipping the PLAAF and PLAN anyway.

    Again, you are confusing obsolesence (by western standards) with failure. The FC-1 and JH-7 might be obsolete by American standards but one is successfully flying in numbers and the other one will be. The J-10 if it were the Lavi would have failed just as miserably. But it’s not and it doesn’t depend on the American technology that made the Lavi a failure.

    Now, do you want to say that the Y-10 was a success? The thing flew and flew well with hundreds of passenger and frieght flights (not just test flights) but it never went into product.

    When a plane can’t be built there is a reason it can’t be built. Why would China be expected to build the Lavi without American help when the Israelis couldn’t build it without American help either?

    in reply to: PAF news and speculation #2605072
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    This story is getting very widespread play. Carried by lots of papers.

    According to PAC chief, Air Marshal Aurangzeb Khan, the FC-1 will have better BVR capability than its rival, the prototypes performances exceeded expectations, and there are already interested countries.

    http://in.rediff.com/news/2005/may/10pak.htm

    Pak, China to make fighter planes

    May 10, 2005 11:28 IST

    Pakistan hopes to start the joint production of multi-role fighter jets with China from March 2007.

    The first batch of JF-17 Thunder fighter aircraft were expected to be introduced into the Pakistan air force in 2006, and the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) will begin serial production of the aircraft from March 2007, reports said.

    The Thunder, which was first test-flown in September 2003, is a medium-technology aircraft which matches the Mirage in performance but has better avionics and weapons, and it would replace the aging fleet of Mirage 3 and 5, A-5 and F-7 aircraft, Air Vice Marshal Shahid Latif, the project director for JF-17 planes, was quoted as saying.

    The JF-17 could achieve a speed of 1.6 Mach, altitude of 55,000 feet (16,760 metres) and carry a weapons payload of 3600 kg, he said.

    “The project is not only of strategic importance to the air force but it has far-reaching implications both for the national defence and economic prosperity of Pakistan,” he said.

    According to the PAC chief, Air Marshal Aurangzeb Khan the aircraft will will be far cheaper than the jets being flown by air forces of European countries.

    “Most European jets are available with a price tag of more or less $50 million,” he said. “One can buy at least three JF-17s in this price.”

    The plane’s Beyond Visual Range (BVR) capability would be superior to that of Indian Air Force jets, he added

    The performance of JF-17 prototypes had exceeded expectations, and China wanted 250 aircraft to be added to its fleet while Pakistan was looking to acquire 150, said Latif.

    Khan said several countries have shown interest in buying the jet, and Pakistan and China would jointly decide on who the aircraft would be sold to.

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2605080
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Give me a quote where he says some IAI Lavi (aircraft) technology was not transfered to China and where no Israeli company is not guilty of wrong doings and selling sensitive technology to China.

    This is hilarious. Lari never mentioned Lavi in the article where he was quoted in that one line.

    You are citing a quote where Lari never even said “Lavi” as proof that an Israeli said the Lavi went to China.

    And now because he never said “Lavi didn’t go to China” you are claimimg that as proof? How could he said Lavi technology never went to China when he never said “Lavi” at all 😀

    Are you okay? Because your logic is extremely bizarre.

    Look at the one single sentence that Lari was mentioned:

    David Lari, director general of Israel’s Ministry of Defense, acknowledged in an Associated Press interview that “some technology on aircraft” had been sold to China and that some Israeli companies may not have “clean hands”.

    Flogger, do you understand what “quotes” mean? They denote words spoken by that person. According to the article YOU posted to support your conspiracy theory, the only “quotes” attributed to Lari are these: “some technology on aircraft” and “clean hands.”

    It is incumbent upon you to present us with quotes where Lari ever mentioned the Lavi going to China.

    Against the list I presented to you of

    1) official Israeli denial,
    2) the lack of substantial gain from China on the deal,
    3) the obvious failure of the Lavi
    and 4) the Lavi’s American technology that can’t be sold without severe repercussions for the Israeli state,

    you can only quote one line where the person, David Lari, couldn’t even be quoted as explicitly saying the word “Lavi” or “J-10” :rolleyes:

    in reply to: PAF news and speculation #2605086
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    An analysis article on the JF-17 announcement from the Washington Times. A rather long one.

    Some interesting excerpts:

    http://www.washtimes.com/upi-breaking/20050510-071006-6404r.htm

    Analysis: Pakistan, China work on fighters

    By Anwar Iqbal
    UPI South Asian Affairs Analyst

    Washington, DC, May. 10 (UPI) — The multirole JF-17 aircraft Pakistan is building jointly with China is a mid-tech plane that fills in the gap between lower and upper technology, Brig. Shafqaat Ahmad, Pakistan’s defense attaché in Washington, said.

    Pakistan also is buying 24 F-16 jet fighters from the United States for its air force, leading to traditional rival India saying Islamabad has started an arms race in the region. Pakistan denies the charge.

    “While we are acquiring the F-16s to meet our immediate defense requirements, the JF-17 Thunder aircraft that Pakistan is producing jointly with China has nothing to do with any arms race,” Ahmad said.

    . . .

    Reports in the Indian media, quoting defense experts, say the JF-17s can be used to deliver nuclear weapons.

    . . .

    Traditionally, Pakistan had depended on the United States for its weapon requirements, but when in 1990 the United States stopped all arms sales to Pakistan following a dispute over its nuclear program, Islamabad began to look at other options.

    The sanctions grounded the F-16 aircraft Pakistan had purchased from Washington in the 1980s. Other mid-tech aircraft, such as F-6s, F-7s, A-5s and Mirages that Pakistan bought from other sources were aging and needed to be replaced. So in February 1992, Pakistan negotiated a deal with the China Aero-Technology Import and Export Corp., which had invited the Pakistan Air Force to invest in the Super-7 program in return for full participation in design and development, with exclusive co-production rights of up to 59 percent of the Super-7 airframe. The air force received Islamabad’s approval in October 1994.

    . . .

    The JF-17 is designed to be fitted with a vast array of weaponry. Weapon load includes short- and medium-range anti-air missiles like AIM-9P/PL-9/Magic 2 and PL-11/Aspide/AIM-7E. In addition it includes new fly-by-wire flight control system and a true beyond visual range attack capability.

    More important for Pakistan is that it will train the nation’s engineers and mechanics in the art of aircraft making.

    The first flight of the aircraft took place Sept. 04, 2003, and after flight testing, the Pakistan Air Force decided to start serial production. PAF plans to buy about 150 aircraft. China plans to acquire 250 aircraft.

    Pakistani officials said they also intend to sell the JF-17 to other countries interested in mid-tech aircraft.

    While briefing journalists at Kamra Monday, Air Vice Marshal Shahid Latif, the chief project director for the JF-17, denied media reports Russia had cancelled an agreement with China to provide engines for the aircraft. He said China continued to receive the engines and the supply will continue in the near future.
    . . .

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2605092
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    :rolleyes:

    Your article only mentioned Lari once and this is the sentence where Lari was mentioned.
    http://users.cyberone.com.au/myers/lavi.html

    David Lari, director general of Israel’s Ministry of Defense, acknowledged in an Associated Press interview that “some technology on aircraft” had been sold to China and that some Israeli companies may not have “clean hands”.

    He said nothing about the Lavi and the J-10. Get me a quote where he explicitly said “J-10 and Lavi.” Everything that you give me is “it was inferred” or “assumed.”

    We know that Lari never said anything concerning the Lavi/J-10 because otherwise the Israelis would be forced to eat its lies in front of US Congressmen and admit that Lavi was passed to China. And we wouldn’t even need to debate. The Israeli would be forced to admit it.

    Flogger, you can’t even point to a solid quote in support of your conspiracy theory.

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2605108
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Official denial? what about David Lari? prove that interview never happened or he has been misquoted the only denial i see is Golden Drangon`s official denial to make his J-10 indigenous theory valid.

    I already quoted YOUR article where Lari NEVER explicitly said “J-10” and “Lavi.”

    Lari could not have contradicted the Israeli government or else the Israelis would be groveling in front of the US and the US would be force feeding Israel its lies. And we would not even be having this discussion.

    The IAI Lavi a failure?

    The Lavi was most certainly a failure. Otherwise we would see it in the Israeli Air Force today. The IAF, incidently. doesn’t have a single homegrown jet designed from the ground up at all.

    Flogger, you offer nothing but a conspiracy theory. A conspiracy of suicidal stupidity where the Israelis lie to and betray the US which is the guarantor of Israel’s survival.

    Now, I will list out all the reasons again why your silly conspiracy doesn’t add up:

    1. Israel denies it. You need proof of conspiracy to prove that country had lied to its protector,

    2. Israel can’t gain anything from a Lavi deal with China except some minor monetary benefits. This is obvious unless you can convince me China can replace the billions in aid that the US gives Israel and China can provide a guarantee of Israel continued existence in the Mideast,

    3. The Lavi is a failed project. We know this because we don’t see the production units of this thing flying,

    4. Even if the Lavi was successful, it was dependent on American technology and funded by US money that can’t be sold to a third party or it would be a crime and betrayal.

    Every one of the above are not opinions but facts we could see and hear. Israel said outright the Lavi was not transferred to China. Israel is still protected by the US, not China. We can’t see the failed Lavi flying in any air force. And lastly, the Lavi was dependent, “utterly” dependent, on American technology so it could not be sold without committing the crime of theft and treacherous betrayal.

    All I get from you is some mumble-jumble conspiracy theory on how the Israelis lied to and backstab their own benefactors and how the Lavi “looks” like the J-10.

    in reply to: Mig-31 versus F-22 #2605152
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Oh dear, talk about egg on my face 😮 I followed the link. Its not the article I thought. However it is from Defence Today and Dr Kopp is a regular contribuor to that publication and the editorial staff seem reather enamoured of his opinions.

    Well it’s “BY: Unattributed, Defence Today” so it could still be Carlos or one of his disciples 😀

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2605154
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Lari says some technolgy sold to China perhaps it was technolgy related how to make hummus or Falafels hehehehehehe.
    Or how to cook shish kebaps hehehehehehehehe.

    😀 They might as well be. Unlike the Lavi, humus and falafel are not failures and are actually usable (edible.)

    politics are politics the US still is a Israeli ally but of course has disagreements and allies always have disagreements and even US companies have violated restrctions to export certain technologies to US rivals

    So even betrayal is just politics? I don’t think a lot of Americans appreciate that. Maybe if the US switches its alliance from Israel to Palestine . . .

    Hey, it’s just politics :rolleyes:

    Actually, that would be good for the US because a lot of Americans can’t figure out what Israel actually gains for the US. If the United States backs the Palestinians, the US would have more friends in the critical Middle East. Yes, more friends for the US and the complete annihilation of an old “friend” who was, according to you, backstabbing it.

    Now why would Israel risk hurting this friend and, more importantly, protector? Are Israelis greedy to the point of being stupid and suicidal?

    Israel has already denied selling the Lavi to China and unless you can prove an Israeli conspiracy of extreme stupidity and suicidal treachery, that official denial is real.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 7 #2605157
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Those are proven designs without nasty surprises any longer, when it comes to shortcomings and costs related to that. (J-7,Q-5,J-8II)

    I still have no idea what you are getting at. The J-7, Q-5 and J8II are obviously the most primitive of the Chinese fighters and yet they are the most commonly televised and published planes around. Pictures of J-11s and Su-27s were extremely hard to get for a long time.

    Why should the J-7’s and J-8II’s shortcomings matter if they are surprises or not? If they are concerned about revealing shortcomings, they would hide the J-7, Q5 and J-8II and reveal the J-10.

    China almost never publicize its newest development unles it is for export. The JH-7 was hidden. The J-8II was hidden until the mid-1980s when it made its first and only trip to Europe. The J-10 is hidden now. This is nothing new.

    The K-8 was not hidden because it was to be exported. The FC-1 it is not hidden because it is also for export and so is the L-15.

    in reply to: Mig-31 versus F-22 #2605164
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    😀 That article is suggesting that Australia buy the $100m raptor to deal with the Chinese “threat.”

    I would rate Australia somewhere behind Kuwait (more oil) as country China would invade. Be serious.

    BTW, Kuwait has a good military relationship with China (the first buyer of the PLZ-45) and Australia runs a huge trade surplus with China.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 7 #2605167
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    When it comes to conventional forces, secrets were kept mostly not to show own shortcomings to the own public.

    Then why not hide the J-7 and Q-5 instead of JH-7 and J-10? 😀 The J-7, J-8II and Q5 are all over government television and mainland Chinese magazines. How is that hiding shortcomings? If China operates according to your principal (which actually shows your complete lack understanding of China) then it would HIDE the J-7s and the J-8IIs and PUBLICIZE the J-10.

    BTW, if you study communist Chinese propaganda, China actually revels in its comparative military weakness by calling itself a “developing nation” and disputes any mention of it as a “military power.”

    The term that China’s propaganda bureau officially uses for growing Chinese power is “Peaceful Rise.”

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 7 #2605175
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Already widely posted in the PAF threads but it is still important to this one. We’ll look at things from the Chinese angle.

    According to this Asia Tribune article:
    1) China will be getting 250 FC-1s,
    2) Kamra (Pakistan) will be making 20 a year, perhaps two more lines at Chengdu?
    3) heavy interest from third party nations already.

    http://www.asiantribune.com/show_news.php?id=14389

    To begin production of light jet fighters from 2007
    By Iqbal Hussain Khan Yousafzai – Reporting from Islamabad

    Islamabad, 10 May (Asiantribune.com): Chairman Pakistan Aeronautical Complex, Air Marshal Aurangzeb and Chief Project Director of JF-17 Air Vice Marshal Shahid Latif have said that Pakistan will begin serial production of JF-17 fighter aircraft from 2007.

    Briefing newsmen about the fighter jet at Kamra on Monday, they said the light weight, all weather and multi-role aircraft was jointly being developed by Pakistan and China.

    The small batch production of JF-17 would begin in the second half of this year and first four aircraft would be delivered to PAC Kamra in December next year. Another batch of four aircraft would be ready by March 2007, they added.

    Initially, they said, Pakistan has committed 150 and China 250 aircraft and production capacity of PAC Kamra would be over 20 aircraft per annum.
    . . .
    The Chairman PAC said the JF-17 project would ensure availability of a contemporary, affordable and sustainable weapon system for the PAF capable of meeting its operation requirements. There is also possibility of payback of the financial investment and profitability through aircraft sales to foreign countries as already a number of countries are showing keen interest in the aircraft.

    The fairly large number for the PLAAF as well as the PAF means that this aircraft will go through a guaranteed production run from the very start. Twenty at Kamra and maybe two other lines at Chengdu (which had reportedly moved J-7 lines to Guizhou) to put output at peak to over 60 a year.

    Even if Chengdu has only one line (if assemby space is taken up by the J-10) there would be 40 a year with the bulk probably going to Pakistan and fulfulling the PAF’s need in about 5 years before long term production and evolution as the PLAAF’s next workhorse replacing the J-7.

    The foreign interest is very intriguing. Malaysia was mentioned over the last few weeks. Egypt, Bangladesh, Iran and Zimbabwe were mentioned before. The previous joint China/Pakistan venture, the K-8, resulted in a production line in Egypt too. This could happen for FC-1 too as countries like Egypt and Iran would almost certainly go for puduction than just straight buts.

    That 1000 FC-1s number predicted by a Chengdu official in a Chinese article posted very early in this here thread could well come true with multiple lines spread over 3 or 4 countries.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 7 #2605177
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    You mean from the own public at first.

    Ludicrous. You keep it from your own public because you are afraid it would become available to foreign governments. If secrets could be kept inside countries, they would publicize it at home for propaganda value. But there is no way to keep secret within borders.

    All weapons, unless for sale, are better off kept secret. Just as all troop formations. Why the hell would you want foreign powers to know your strengths and then be able to counteract them?

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2605384
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Golden Dragon Just prove the Interview to David Lari never happened or he has been misquoted from Associated Press press realeses or articles, does not matter if you have a problem or not, a Historical Interview with an Israeli Director of the Israeli Defence Ministry says more than what i do think or what you think

    This is what I wrote:

    Lari did not mention the J-10 at all in the AP article. The original article said:

    Quote:
    “David Lari, director general of Israel’s Ministry of Defense, acknowledged in an Associated Press interview that “some technology on aircraft” had been sold to China and that some Israeli companies may not have “clean hands.”

    He made no statement saying “J-10.”

    if he said that IAI transfered Lavi Technology to China, that already is a proof of Israeli involvement you can not deny.

    He made no statement mentioning the Lavi either. Pull me quotes where Lari said “J-10” and “Lavi.”

    Everything is “inferred” but not explicitly stated except for the official Israeli denial that the Lavi was ever involved in the J-10.

    An we have more proof of that by the fact of the recent US limitations imposed to Israel in the F-35 program and the Fact Israel offerd the EL/M-2035 and Python technology for the J-10 program

    The Python went to the J-8II and the J-7 and Israel never denied it. The recent limitations made no official mention of the J-10. It actually came after the Harpy situation.

    The Lavi as your article say is American technology and to sell it would be betrayal. Now why would the Israelis risk their survival with this act of treachery? They didn’t which is why they are able to deny the Lavi and the J-10 but did not deny the Harpy and Python.

    Flogger, why are you so insistent that the Israelis are liars and backstabbers? Why are you so insistent that the J-10 was created because Israelis have stole American technology and sold it to America’s foes?

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 7 #2605404
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    At least when the real secrets are all inside. (Avionic-suit, Software, Radar-performances etc.) A picture from your PC, your head or a Formula 1 car will not reveal much about the specific capabilities inside a specific system.
    That some J-10 are flying around for several years is shown at numerous pics in the Internet. Every civilian can look at that for years, when the military intelligence services have much more sources of information and specialists to give a first evulation about possible capabilities.

    I have absolutely no idea what you’re trying to get at. Secret projects (of any nation) are kept classified for the purpose of keeping information from foreign intelligence agencies.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,126 through 1,140 (of 2,918 total)