So, if we can take a a moment’s pause from the 476/70 debate, just wanted to round up some available number for RuAF/Navy force number for 2020, from what we know today. Please contribute. Mostly want to focus on new/modernized equipment, but any details on legacy airframes in the period is also welcome.
PAK-FA: Not gonna speculate on numbers on this, too many variables.
Su-35S: 96 expected by 2020.
Su-34: ~120 intended by 2020, and should be achievable by industry.
MiG-29SMT/UB: 34 “new” airframes. No more planned.
Su-27SM/SM3/30M2: 66 today, no more expected IMO.
Su-24M2: 5 Gefest&T aiframes, and anywhere from 24 to 48 M2s. More to be modernized???
MiG-29K: 24 sometime this decade.
MiG-35: ???
Su-30SM: 40.
MiG-31BM: ~20 as of now, will the final figure be the ~100 or so 31s operated through 2020?
Su-25SM: ~50 today. Further modernization and new-build UBM purchase planned.
Yak-130: Deal for 60 to be signed soon, total ~130?
Mi-28N: 97 by 2015. Final plans have been announced as over 200, but that seems a lot given the other attack helo orders. Either way, production would have to be boosted from today’s ~15/year to meet this in a reasonable time frame. Modernization underway.
Ka-52: 30 by 2012, production will continue after. A number of 120 has been floated.
Mi-35M: 22 ordered, Russian Helicopters seemed to imply more might be bought; given the above two gathering pace, seems unlikely.
Mi-26: 20 new airframes by 2020.
Ka-226: 30 current order, 20 more for Navy?
Mi-8 (All Variants): Many. ~500?
Ka-62: Recent info indicates MOD interest in over 100 airframes…still vague at this time.
Ansat-U: Up to 70 through 2020.
Ka-27/29: ~70 ?
Ka-52K: ~30 ?
An-124: 20 new airframes.
An-140: First airframe delivered…I assume more will be acquired.
An-70: See previous pages for rage fest. First airframe to be acquired by 2013.
Il-476: See previous pages for rage fest. First airframe to be acquired before 2013.
Il-76MD-90: At least 6, possibly 12.
L-410: 3 delivered.
Tu-204/214: 8.
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