The percentages do indeed speak for themselves: two thirds of Russian exports are fossil fuels. Without them, Russia would be bankrupt. The economic growth you boast of has been fuelled, in every sense, by oil & gas exports.
And? Oil and gas exports contribute about 4% of the GDP. Bankrupt? lol.
The economy is not only smaller than China’s, but also India’s (at PPP), Japan’s, & Germany’s. If you prefer the IMF estimate to the World Bank one, it’s about the same size as the economy of the UK or France.
Ok? This is news to someone? Doesn’t change the defense budgets of all the nations you mentioned, and Russia’s third largest in the world. When considering the far advanced starting point that Russian defense industry operates at compared to say the Chinese or Indian ones, every dollar goes a farther way.
…………………………………………..
Anyways I am done with this OT.
We will see. Anything else is speculative at best.
Yes but then what about the F 35 ? Having a few more PAK FA than F 22 will not make Russian Air Force challenge the USAF. And Russia is still dependent on its fossil fuels and is not going to have the financial resources of China in the near or distant future. With the world moving towards non-fossil fuel Chinese have the advantage with their 90+% of worlds rare earths.
Who said it’s going to challenge the USAF? The point is using the world cripple to describe the Russian military is laughable.At current trends neither are the Chinese, nonsense alarmist rhetoric aside.
Whats wrong with fossil fuels? First of all Russia is not as dependent on fossil fuel export as people make out (percentages speak for themselves) Speaking of financial resources, you should check out Russia’s economic growth rate. The economy as a whole is certainly smaller than China’s, but not the level that it is incapable of producing impressive defense output (which it is, at a much higher quality level than China for the most part). The relevant figures here are defense spending, and Russia’s is huge on the global scale (US exempt). World going away from fossil fuels? News to me, and nonsense for the next however many decades.
China is the most overstated bogeyman I have ever seen. Their military growth is impressive enough that embellishing it with speculative nonsense is just unnecessary.
That looks very decent, as does the PAK FA. Will the Americans regret cutting back the F 22 production in future. I think they will, because a crippled Russia is no match for America and the PAK FA won’t be there in enough numbers, but an emerging China, well thats a totally different matter altogether. 1000 J-XX vs 200 odd Raptors :).
lol what? Crippled Russia? Russia is more likely to have as many PAK-FAs as F-22s exist by 2025 then China is likely to have 1000 J-XX ever.
Those pics btw, are laughably inconclusive. Some wind tunnel models show nothing, many nations can and do make such for research. Same thing with that silly cockpit.
WS-15 performance is completely speculative, come on, lets get WS-13 completely working before making grandiose claims with little basis.
Until I see something even remotely definitive, I have no reason to believe this J-20 or whatever is anywhere close to even pre-serial production. And that’s ok, plenty of other interesting things to look at from China.
You people are comparing this non-existant (and if it does exist, and I am sure certain studies are underway, nothing has been released) to an F-22 before we have seen any confirmation from which we can draw its approximate performance and role.
Some Mi-28N info I have found:
Это, кстати, косвенно подтверждает и небезызвестный boyan оттудова на форумавиа.ру – он грит, что у них сейчас в работе машина зав. 05-03. По моим подсчетам, 05-03 – это 15-й Ми-28Н в этом году и 40-й в целом (с учетом обеих прототипов ОП).
А всего общие уже имеющиеся контракты с МО РФ (с учетом уже сделанных) – на 97 штук к 2015 г. То есть в 2011-2014 гг. “Роствертол” тоже должен по 15 штук в год клепать.
15 Mi-28Ns constructed this year, 40 in total (counting 2 prototypes). Total orders are for 97 by 2015. Another 15 per year from 2011-2014.
Also somewhere around 34 Mi-8s of different types were procured this year, no further info on that.
Finally, useful numbers of a new airframe. Good stuff.
Cheers, TR1
MiG-1.44 is almost PAK-FA level of technology? I must say I completely disagree.
Oh and :
http://www.rian.ru/economy/20100930/280816632.html
Contracts have yet to be signed, but Russia and Ukraine has compiled around 60 orders for the An-124, which is enough to start production.
So 20 new An-124s for RuAF.
-Cheers,
TR1
Some good news related to the recent discussion:
http://armstass.su/?page=article&aid=88555&cid=25
1st modernized An-124 delivered, 2 more before the end of the year to the Russian AF. Contract is signed to continue modernization through 2015. 2 will be modernized every year until the whole fleet is done.
Also, some info from an article about An-124 new production:
“Уже создана усовершенствованная модификация Д-18Т серии 4 с увеличенной тягой с 23430 кг до примерно 25800 кг”, – сказал В.Богуслаев. Он отметил, что “уже просматривается возможность увеличения тяги двигателя не до 27 тонн, а более, примерно до 29 тонн”.
Modernized D-18T series 4 already created, with thrust increased from 23430 KGs, to about 25,800 KGS. They are looking at increasing the thrust past 27 tons, up to 29 tons.
So, engine will be Ukrainain, rest of plane is aimed to be 80% Russia apparently.
Did they learn nothing from the last time they did this?
They made a lot of money last time they did it, and China has not actually exported any Flanker rip-offs, unfortunately for the legions cackling over how Russia got screwed over. The technology gain would have been done domestically anyways, no reason to miss potential big profits that actually saved the domestic industry.
Exactly the reason why India should buy the MRCA and may be more from the West.
You mean the same West that routinely sells weapons to India’s rivals?
Anyways, until it happens, empty air.
200 $ million procurement budget? Dear lord that’s small.
I was under the impression that Russia was footing most of the AN-70 bill as it is. I would like to see the project completed, I think it could have real export potential, its too bad they stagnated for so long, it was ahead of everything else in the 90s, even today its arguably a better aircraft (and a far better value likely) than the A400M, while Hercules is not getting any younger.
Well I put it in quotation marks precisely because I wasn’t sure if that counted as completion. How old is that picture?
Not sure how recent tbh, but apparently the state hasn’t changed. They apparently hope to still finish the Novuk and Tuman hulls.
Calm down Trident, it looks like An-124 will again be making an appearance int he form of new airframes in the RuAF.:D
How modernized it will be, can only be speculated on now.
You can have two answers.
Brazil has high ambitious -> the country must have an army with high technologies.
Brazil has some nice oil fields -> perhaps in 20 years, USA or China would be tempted to take them by force if Brazil has no navy or AF (you can never know).
I have difficulty thinking of a few less plausible scenarios.
US isn’t going to be taking anything from Brazil by brute force in the next 20 or however many years. China doesn’t, and won’t, have the capability to do in the next 20 years, if ever.
Didn’t the Russians ultimately pick the Mi-28 over the Ka-50/52 because it was cheaper?
No. It had much more to do with performance, layout, other factors.
And this is coming from a Ka-50 fanboy.