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eagle1

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  • in reply to: MMRCA news XI #2336382
    eagle1
    Participant

    Well the french source (secret defense blog from Jean-Dominique Merchet) stated a price difference of around 15% to 20% quoting french sources and the Indian article is saying between 22% and 25% price difference.

    Jean Dominique Merchet made a new article when those latest “indian” figures were released stating that the difference was even more important than he was told :

    corrected article after indian figures 22% to 25% :
    http://www.marianne2.fr/blogsecretdefense/Le-Rafale-est-bien-moins-cher-que-le-Typhoon–assurent-les-Indiens_a521.html
    first article with 15% to 20% difference :
    http://www.marianne2.fr/blogsecretdefense/Inde-le-Rafale-etait-15-a-20-moins-cher-que-l-Eurofighter_a514.html

    in reply to: MMRCA news XI #2336386
    eagle1
    Participant

    As far as I am concerned I don’t remember something like this but I may have missed something.

    in reply to: MMRCA news XI #2336938
    eagle1
    Participant

    Jackoniko,

    Price is certainly an important factor in the process but don’t you think that there is more in this ?

    Look if you think about it for a second awarding the mirage 2000 upgrade and mica deal was certainly not neutral and a rather strange allocation of money without a rafale choice…I am puzzled that no “international” aviation journalist have not look more closely about the link of the mirage upgrade package and the rafale deal. As some indian reports suggested it could have bean a way to undercut the typhoon bidding by a significant margin.

    If this is true it means that the IAF simply preferred the rafale and ensured that it was the certain winner. Given the timing this explanation is realistic.

    As far as I am concerned I firmly believe that the IAF felt more comfortable with the rafale from the beginning. I will not debate the performance aspect of things as both were deemed compliant but the political aspect of the deal.

    It seems that France was regarded as a safer partner than a consortium both for ToT and the absence of control as shown in the Kargil war. It is interesting to note that the letter sent by european government specifically addressed spare part availability in case of conflicts….

    In my opinion this article is the most relevant account of the true reason of the rafale choice.

    The Real Reasons for Rafale’s Indian Victory
    Defense Aerospace, Feb 1

    PARIS — While many observers cite technology transfer, prices and performance as being major factors in India’s selection of the Rafale as its next-generation fighter, reality is very different even if these factors obviously did play a significant role.

    In the same way that it is true that Rafale lost several competitions through no fault of its own, it must be recognized that its victory in India was also won, to a great extent, through no fault of its own. The real reason for its victory is political, and the long memory of Indian politicians was a major contributing factor.

    This is not to say, however, that Rafale’s own impressive qualities had nothing to do with its selection. The Indian Air Force, which was extensively briefed by the French air force in the autumn, was particularly impressed by its operational performance during the Libyan bombing campaign and in Afghanistan. Rafale also has a naval variant which could be of future interest to India, given its plans to buy and build aircraft carriers, while the recent decision to upgrade India’s Mirage 2000H fighters will simplify the air force’s logistics chain, as these will share with Rafale many weapons and other equipment.

    The Indian Air Force also is a satisfied user of long standing of French fighters, going back to the Dassault Ouragan in the 1950s. It was also particularly appreciative of the performance of its Mirages during the 1999 Kargil campaign against Pakistan, and of the support it then obtained from France. During that campaign, India obtained French clearance – and possibly more – to urgently adapt Israeli and Russian-supplied laser-guided bombs to the Mirages, which thus able to successfully engage high-altitude targets that Indian MiG-23s and MiG-27s had been unable to reach.

    Rafale was preferred because of lower costs, and the Indian air force’s familiarity with French warplanes such as the Mirage, Bloomberg reported Feb. 1 quoting an Indian source who asked not be named. “Unit-wise, the French plane is much cheaper than the Eurofighter. Moreover, the Indian air force, which is well equipped with French fighters, is favouring the French,” the source said.

    To Indian officials, France’s steadfastness as a military ally contrasted strongly with that of the United States, which stopped F-16 deliveries to Pakistan (but kept the money) when it found it expedient to do so, and slowed or vetoed delivery of components for Light Combat Aircraft that India was developing. And, of course, the 1998 arms embargo, decreed by the US after India’s nuclear test in May of that year, left a very bad taste in Indian mouths. France, on the contrary, was the only Western nation not to impose sanctions.

    That, Indian sources say, was New Delhi’s real reason for eliminating Boeing and Lockheed Martin from the fighter competition; India has resolved, these sources say, to buy only second-line equipment from the U.S., such as transport (C-17, C-130J) or maritime patrol aircraft (P-8I). Vital weapons such as missiles and fighters, when they cannot be locally produced, will remain the preserve of France and Russia.

    Political considerations were also a significant factor playing against Rafale’s final competitor, the Eurofighter Typhoon. As this aircraft is produced by a consortium of four nations, each with different foreign policies and different attitudes and tolerances to arms exports, Indian officials were a bit nervous about their ultimate reliability as a single supplier.

    Germany is a long-standing Indian aviation partner, and a respected role model for Indian politicians, many of whom were educated there. German companies – essentially the former Messerschmitt-Boelkow-Blohm, now part of EADS – helped Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. develop both the LCA and the Advanced Light Helicopter, now called Dhruv. These links were the reason the Eurofighter bid was led by Germany’s Cassidian, and not BAE Systems, the former colonial power. But Germany had dithered over technology transfer for LCA, soft-pedaled on ALH tech transfer when German pacifists raised their eyebrows, and coughed when India almost went to war with Pakistan over Kargil and Kashmir, so in the final analysis it could not be considered a reliable supplier of major weapons.

    Italy has never sold a major weapon to India, and so could bring neither influence nor reputation to support Eurofighter, while the third partner, Spain, is totally absent from the Indian military landscape.

    This left BAE Systems as the best-known Eurofighter partner in India, and so by default as its ultimate public face. BAE in 2003 sold £1.5 billion’s worth of Hawk jet trainers to India, with a follow-on, £500 million order in 2010. However, its previous major sale to India was the Jaguar light attack aircraft in the 1970s. In fact, this aircraft was jointly developed by Britain and France on a 50/50 basis, and while it was license-produced by HAL it was never really successful as a fighter. Furthermore, France could claim as much benefit from its Indian career as BAE.

    Taken together, the Eurofighter partner nations posed an even thornier problem: in case of war, German law prohibits deliveries of weapons and spares, Italian law and public opinions would demand an embargo, which Spanish legislation is murky. What would happen, Indian politicians must have wondered, if after buying the Eurofighter they went to war? Would spares and weapons be forthcoming, or would they be embargoed? The political risk was obviously too big to take.

    Weapons also played a significant role in persuading India to opt for Rafale: not only is its weapons range mostly French-made, and thus not subject to a third-party embargo, but so are all of its sensors. Eurofighter, whose air-to-air missiles include the US-made AIM-120 Amraam and the German-led IRIS-T, and whose primary air-to-ground weapon is the US-made Paveway, was obviously at a competitive disadvantage in this respect.

    Furthermore, the Rafale is nuclear-capable and will replace the Mirage 2000N in French service as the carrier of the newly-upgraded ASMP/A nuclear stand-off missile; it is also capable of firing the AM-39 Exocet missile, giving it an anti-ship capability that its competitors do not have. India is also interested in fitting its BrahMos supersonic missile to a wide range of its combat aircraft, and Rafale could apparently carry it.

    Given that India had sworn to buy the cheapest compliant competitor, it would have been unable to justify picking the Rafale had this not been offered at the lower price. While official figures have not been released, and indeed may never be, initial reports from New Delhi claim that Rafale was offered at a unit price of $4-$5 million less than Eurofighter, which is a surprisingly large advantage given the French aircraft’s reputation of being high-priced.
    […]

    Just to say that I think you are looking too closely the precise term of the bidding process but forgetting a more “political” analysis of the indian choice despite their claim of being neutral in that regard. This part is lacking in your article of the telegraph, just like english official seem completely blind about the ties between france and india.

    in reply to: F35 Less expensive than Typhoon : Italy #2337416
    eagle1
    Participant

    The F35 is probably the true killer of the Typhoon prgram with billions of € that are going to fund a US lead design with only minor offset&ToT. With Italy clearly wanting to put an end to the Typhoon and other country unwilling to pay necessary upgrades it does not look good.

    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2337463
    eagle1
    Participant

    Depends on the funding but SAMTEL (Franco-indian) JV could make a new IR channel.

    From what I’ve heard at lattest Paris air show from pilots is that the Mica-IR works decently as an IRST. Not as good as a proper IRST channel but good enough.

    Also from DSI the new IR channel is linked to the next breakthrough in IR technology due to land latter this decade…Then it will be a matter of priority and funding….I would be pesimistic if france was alone but with India and perhaps UAE and Brazil it is another matter.

    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2337976
    eagle1
    Participant

    Not really,

    On industry matter different parties are all pushing behind. (except the green but they are weak). Brazil has a socialist government and most probably they don’t want to give a win to Sarkozy. Dilma Roussef already met with french socialist for the record.

    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2338013
    eagle1
    Participant

    Rafale for Brazil after rafale for India ? (And perhaps soon for UAE).

    “C’est ça”
    Fohla de Sao Paulo/ Eliane Cantanhede

    BRASILIA – After so many comings and goings, the government is finally hitting the hammer in favor of the Rafale, from the French Dassault, to renew the FAB fleet. The announcement must be in the first half but only after May 6, after the second round of presidential elections in France.

    The final push was India’s decision to buy 126 Rafale, removing Dassault’s breathing difficulties. It is the first international order of the jet, until now restricted itself to the French Air Force. With production scale, the price of the planes also tends to fall in business with Brazil, removing one of the major constraints to them: the cost of the product and especially maintenance.

    Following the announcement of the deal with the French Indians, Celso Amorim (Defense) was coincidentally in India, in a statement citing the victory of Dassault and noting that 108 of 126 fighters “will be built in the country [India], with technology transfer “. The term “technology transfer” is the mantra of the FX-2 program about the purchase of aircraft.
    […]
    By assuming, Dilma used the good argument of cuts in the budget to have time to study the business. The victory of the Gripen inside FAB has been considered and the F-18 returned to the wheel [was studied again]. But during one year, two certainties crystallized inside the government: 1) the Gripen is just a project and Sweden has zero political weight, 2) it is impossible to trust the promise of technology transfer from the U.S., subject to the mood of the Congress and to exchange of power at the head of the state.
    Everything indicates that the Rafale is coming.

    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2339192
    eagle1
    Participant

    From Olybrius :

    Air@Cosmos 2298, Feb 3, page 11:

    Rafale for India might be (unexhaustive list) :
    F30-4T with
    – RBE2 AESA
    – DDM NG
    – MICA
    – METEOR
    – M88-4E (no decision made about Kaveri)
    – AASM
    – AM39 Block 2 Mod 2
    – Scalp EG
    – RECO NG
    – Damocles or Litening
    – Divy Drishti (Samtel Thales Topsight HMD)
    – anti radar missile

    HMD and anti-radar missile will be the two new items on the rafale. The rest will depend on negotiation. Meteor integration will come sooner as it was expected.

    If the UAE deal is eventually clinched then we can certainly add a GMTI/GMTT mode.

    in reply to: MMRCA news XI #2344238
    eagle1
    Participant

    I think some put to much assumption and emotion in what I meant to say. It was not meant to be a frontal attack on JL but just to show that his bias toward the typhoon is something that you can find in every country. I did not say that this is something to blame and I just tried to give another point of view which I don’t claim to be the “absolute truth”. Hardly something extraordinary and disrespectful so no need to overreact.

    in reply to: MMRCA news XI #2344508
    eagle1
    Participant

    Simply because you have not read all the article. He still has a superiority complex for the typhoon despite the setback. I just answered that you can find the same “mine is better than yours” or “mine has more potential than yours” if you prefer in each country that manufacture a top line fighter. A reasonable/neutral aerospace observer/journalist would not go in such a jingoistic rant. I say he has an agenda and while it is not a crime in itself it is also my own right to balance his view by showing that this type of speech is nothing original as you can find the same superiority complex in french, american or russian press.

    in reply to: MMRCA news XI #2344877
    eagle1
    Participant

    The issue with Jackoniko/Jon Lake is that they are a bit delusional over this alleged “better potential”.

    First of all one should remark that every major country believe their jet is the best so it brings just another “ethnocentric” point of view with no originality.

    -Take french pilots point of view (Grandclaudon, Captain Romain) or recently french chief of staff and for them it makes no doubt that the rafale is the superior aircraft even in air to air.

    General Palomeros: “The Rafale is the best aircraft in the world”

    http://www.militaryphotos.net/forums/showthread.php?137433-Rafale-News/page210

    -Take US recent declaration on the Rafale choice and suddenly they are the best.

    As for the so called “experts” an argument which is often turned to pass your own wishes you can also find better sources like in switzerland in the voice of high raked officers :

    The Helvetic Confederation prefer the Gripen for reasons of price … against the advice of military

    (…)

    Fernand Carrel, the former commander of the Swiss Air Force, regretted the choice of the Federal Council. “All experts know that the Rafale is the best,” he said on Radio Suisse Romande.

    http://www.militaryphotos.net/forums/showthread.php?137433-Rafale-News/page182

    Not to mention that the rafale topped the typhoon in swiss evlauation while air superiority was the main deriver or french sources usually says the rafale is 10 to 15% cheaper than a typhoon. One could also mention that the rafale did better than the typhoon in every competition they faced together.

    Just to say that the major weakness from Jackonoko/Jon Lake articles is that they can’t accept that there are other point of views and that there is no “enshrined truth”. As long as they are living with this ethnocentric bias they will go from a delusion from another.

    On top of being a typical ethnocentric article it fails to see some other reasons that could have lead to a typhoon defeat like political aspects :

    The Real Reasons for Rafale’s Indian Victory
    (…)
    Political considerations were also a significant factor playing against Rafale’s final competitor, the Eurofighter Typhoon. As this aircraft is produced by a consortium of four nations, each with different foreign policies and different attitudes and tolerances to arms exports, Indian officials were a bit nervous about their ultimate reliability as a single supplier.
    (…)

    http://www.militaryphotos.net/forums/showthread.php?137433-Rafale-News/page211

    Then for the final round of negotiation between France and India I believe there are several reasons to be optimistic.

    1) Dassault has a long habit of negotiating with the indians and it appears they had more margin than Typhoon Gmbh who have made “monstrous sacrifices” (dixit la tribune) to compete with the rafale offer.

    2) Difference in price with the Typhoon is said to be significant so unless they have completely messed up their pricing and negotiation round its hard to believe that the Typhoon will suddenly become more competitive.

    3) Political partnership with france is safer (see article “the real reason of rafale victory”)

    4) In terms of logistics with the rest of IAF fighter fleet it makes more sense after the mirage 2000/mica deal. Also the pricy upgrade is said to have been a way to boost rafale offer competitiveness.

    5) A possible UAE or Brazil win which are becoming more likely in the coming months will give Dassault even more margin and credibility in the negotiation phase.

    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2347009
    eagle1
    Participant

    One has to remain very cautious as we all remember how tortuous those negociations can be but that would be a huge come back from the rafale if its bags 3 major export order in a year. (India, UAE and Brazil).

    Koweit and Quatar would then be very liekely and the rafale would be a favorite in Malaysia.

    The dream would be that Switzerland backpedal for the rafale after those exports. Of course if that ever materializes….fingercrossed

    in reply to: Breaking news the RAFALE WON #2347639
    eagle1
    Participant
    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2347641
    eagle1
    Participant

    add Brazil and that would be the Cherry on the cake !

    Brazil Minister Heads India to Improve Defense TiesDefenseNews, Feb 1

    BRASILIA — Brazilian Defense Minister Celso Amorim is to travel to India this week for talks on boosting bilateral military cooperation, his office announced.
    […]
    Brazil is keen on expanding its own defense industry and its military purchases to upgrade its air and naval forces are conditioned on technology transfer and construction in this country.

    Amorim was expected to discuss naval cooperation with his Indian counterparts, particularly plans to build aircraft carriers and Scorpene-class submarines, in addition to expand exchanges between military academies of the two countries.

    India announced Feb. 1 that it has selected the Rafale, a modern multi-role jet built by French firm Dassault Aviation, as its preferred next-generation interceptor, but details of the $12 billion (9.1 billion euros) contract remain to be ironed out.

    Last December, French Prime Minister Francois Fillon said during a visit to Brazil that he was confident that Brasilia would buy the Rafale because the aircraft’s technology cannot be matched.[…]

    in reply to: Rafale news XII #2347688
    eagle1
    Participant

    (!!!)

    Rafale: Dassault Aviation close to a deal with UAE
    la Tribune, feb 2

    A contract for the sale of 60 Rafale could be quickly announced in early March. Paris and Dassault Aviation have been able to reverse a situation compromised during Dubai Airshow.

    Good news may lead to another…. This is just a coincidence with the entry into exclusive negotiations with New Delhi but Dassault Aviation is also close to an agreement with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) for the sale of 60 Rafale. A visit of Nicolas Sarkozy had even been scheduled for 12 February in Abu Dhabi, but was ultimately delayed for “a few days” one says to “latribune.fr”. Another source said that the trip was postponed in early March although some observers believe it would be a bit early. Rather “late March, early April.”

    The relationship between Dassault Aviation and Abu Dhabi, which had been seriously degraded during the Dubai Airshow in November, are again in good shape. Especially since the CEO of Dassault Aviation, Charles Edelstenne, who had taken a Falcon just few days after the end of the Dubai Airshow, to put things flat with Abu Dhabi, had quickly been able to reconnect with the Emirati authorities . Abu Dhabi had taken advantage of Dubai Airshow, a nightmare to the French camp, to announce the competition against the Rafale, of the Eurofighter (BAE Systems, EADS and Italy’s Finmeccanica) to the great surprise of the French. “Everything has been unlocked” between the UAE and Dassault Aviation, one says to “latribune.fr”.

    Last days, the defense community is in levitation, spreading a very positive trend about the current negotiations, “the record is very, very hot.” “Good news are like bad news, they fly in squadron. Here is the beginning of a squadron of good news,” confessed Tuesday Defence Minister Gerard Longuet, without elaborating. “The case of India will accelerate the UAE one,” one says to “latribune.fr”.

    There is still a few technical and commercial points easy to resolve. But nothing very serious. “It’s a tactic to keep the negotiations warm,” says one. The [UAE] Rafale should be equipped with long range air-air missile Meteor but will not have the 9 tons engine, two requirements of the UAE. However, France pledged to take back the 63 Mirage 2000-9. The new Libyan army could acquire all or a part of this fleet.

Viewing 15 posts - 631 through 645 (of 1,087 total)