Ah yes of course Gary. The evil U.S.
Here are a few things to consider if anyone thinks that this has anything to do with how we deal with Iraq.
I don’t think we are going to appease them at any cost. A few people have advised the U.S. to make a deal at any cost. Pay them off. Several million $$ of one of the last pay offs ended up in the NK president’s personal bank account. I would say they can either allow the inspectors from Vienna to get in there and sign off on some kind of normal nuclear program or: eat grass. I don’t think paying them off is going to do any good. Seeing as the ’94 deal didn’t stop their nuclear program.
Something to consider for anyone crazy enough to think a punitive raid against NK reactors makes any sense at all. This would mean a lot of shops, businesses and homes in northern S. Korea could get damaged in response. Civilian loss of life; unknown.
As the preperation of any military action against NK; they would certainly know we mean business if the towns in the northern part of South Korea started evacuating. ( Expect a move like this to cripple the dynamic South Korean economy). The new South Korean President is a lawyer. I have no clue how hard he is. If he believes in appeasement, this could be bad. Expect mass demonstrations in SK by all the appeasement community.
So: My opinion, that leaves China. Let them be the father figure on this one. Do what it takes; including diplomatic groveling to China to have them apply pressure. NK gets a lot of goods and services from China. If things really get bad we need China to sign off on any military action as we certainly don’t need to upset any of their geo-political plans, or perceived national security issues. I would be real curious to see how they feel about military action by the U.S. that close to their border. ( especially by the same platform ( B-2 ) that took out their embassy in Belgrade 😉 To be a fly on the wall to hear those conversations….
Japan: Very defensive, believes war is bad. The people know this. Now that I have said that, they are like the boy scouts: Be prepared. I would be curious how much of a push it would take them to re-focus their military into one that has military ballistic rockets with a nuke payload. Not hard for them to do. Get them motivated and it could happen. One of their strategic council could certainly make a case that MAD worked in the cold war. On the issue of China putting pressure on NK to put their nuke program on a world inspection schedule and standards: I would caution China to remember Japan when asking them to pick up the ball and run with it. Reguardless of today’s situation. I don’t think China wants to sea Japan with nukes.
Certainly a lot harder then going in and removing SH out of Iraq. One solution; Iraq is tangible. NK isn’t that easy. It has to be done within the comfort level of China, Japan and of course SK. Three countries that have a lot of military firepower.
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