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hopsalot

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  • in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2229913
    hopsalot
    Participant

    If it is the sensible thing to do, then it should not count against Saab.

    Who is counting it against Saab? What they are doing is pursuing a perfectly reasonable, and if anything fairly well-worn strategy.

    My point is simply that this is not a case of “the planet’s best stealth fighter,” or first “sixth generation” fighter, astoundingly being developed by on a fixed price contract with only a trivial number of firm orders by miracle workers in Sweden.

    This is an extensive update to an existing design using overwhelmingly off the shelf components. That doesn’t mean that the approach isn’t valid or that the end results won’t be impressive, but it is important to have a valid basis for comparison.

    If you compare the Gripen NG to previous efforts of a similar nature, such as those I outlined earlier, you will see that Lockheed, Boeing, Sukhoi and others have executed similarly extensive upgrades to existing designs on fairly modest (and in some cases fixed) budgets and on fairly tight timelines. (and in the case of the F-15SA and F-16 Block 60 at least, with a similarly small number of firm orders)

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2229923
    hopsalot
    Participant

    The Gripen NG is a new project in all but name. The assemblies carried over from the C/D are counted in single digits [the cockpit canopy, ejection seat, elevons and gun].

    I don’t mean that the Gripen NG is an upgrade to existing airframes. I agree that with the trivial amount of exisiting components being carried forward that each Gripen NG airframe will count as a new.

    I mean that the Gripen NG program is an upgrade to an existing design. (similar to the examples I listed in my post, all of which were also new-build airframes)

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2229934
    hopsalot
    Participant

    I understand what you mean (and agree to some extend), but keep in mind that in the context of this article “best stealth fighter” doesn’t mean “most stealthy fighter”. Similarly, “not the world’s fastest, most agile or stealthiest fighter” doesn’t mean it is not the best airplane when all features, capabilities and cost are considered.

    Sure, and maybe one could make an argument that the world’s best pickup truck is a VW Beetle… Sure it isn’t really a pickup truck at all, but it is really cheap so we should overlook that, right?

    The Gripen NG isn’t a “stealth fighter” at all by any reasonable definition.

    It has the same sort of modest RCS reductions that have been incorporated into aircraft like the Super Hornet, Rafale, Eurofighter, etc, which are nice to have but certainly don’t qualify those aircraft to be labeled “stealth fighters.”

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2229935
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Its more because new fighters are anything but minimalist and low-cost*. The Gripen tries to buck this trend, whether its succeeds or not will be proven in time.

    *that retain a high degree of capability

    The Gripen NG is not a new fighter. That is one of the aspects of this whole discussion that I find puzzling. We have all of these breathless reports about this amazing new “6th generation,” “stealth” fighter that has somehow almost magically kept costs down…

    The reality is that the Gripen NG program is an upgrade, an extensive one to be sure, but no more so than has been the case for certain other 4th generation designs.

    The F-16 Block 60 replaced essentially the entire avionics fit of the F-16 and threw in a new engine as well.

    The F-15SA includes a new radar, new flight controls system, new missile warning system, new EW system, new IRST, new cockpit… essentially the only thing that is carried forward are the airframe and engines. (and as a Strike Eagle based aircraft we are talking about an airframe that first flew in 1986, two years before the first Gripen flew)

    The Super Hornet was an all-new airframe with new engines that originally carried forward avionics from the original Hornet, but that has since seen essentially all of the original avionics replaced.

    All of these are US examples, but I could just as easily use the Su-30MKI or Su-35 as an example.

    Where do I see the Gripen NG slotting in in this comparison? Something in between the F-15SA and the Super Hornet.

    It is a big upgrade no doubt, and I expect it to result in a pretty nifty aircraft when all is said and done. What I don’t get is why we are seeing such over the top reporting on it. All of the examples I listed above were comparably affordable programs that came in on budget. All of the programs above resulted in huge leaps in capability for existing designs.

    So what makes the Gripen different? Why the fan club? It is the latest example in a trend that has been running for quite a while now. It is no more a “6th generation,” “stealth fighter” than any of the examples I just listed.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2229951
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Yes… well, if you want to continue with the goofball claims, , you can afford to operate 2x Gripen for the (life) cost of 1x F-35…. and the F-35 is not close to being twice as good as the Gripen.

    Even the 3x more expensive F-22 isn’t as good as 2x Gripens never mind 3. :dev2:

    I am not sure if you are attributing those goofball claims to me or someone else.

    There is a place for quantity, as there is one for quality/capability. We have seen aircraft like the F-5 serve with distinction for long decades even while the F-15 has done the same.

    I would shy away from claims that airplane X is “worth” 2-3 of airplane Y, or vice versa as there are simply far too many variables to be considered. Which is better? One aircraft that can successfully carry out a specific mission, or 2-3 that can not? Which is preferable, an aircraft that can win a war more cheaply, but while taking higher losses, or one that would also win the war while taking fewer losses? It all depends on assumptions. Sometimes greater numbers and/or lower costs are preferable, other times the reverse is true.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2230152
    hopsalot
    Participant

    If i need to carry a big bomb through sam’s, no doubt F-35 win in every last parameter, as do most larger fighters,
    but in A2A, IMO, F-35 has nothing over NG, and altho SAAB claim NG is built to counter PAK-FA,
    i think both of them are at a disadvantage from a technical standpoint, and pilots must be better trained than the PAK-FA pilot,
    which with funds being equal, the NG pilot is more probable to be.

    Even Saab doesn’t make these types of goofball claimes…

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]223978[/ATTACH]

    Here Saab ranks the F-35 as a distinct step up in capability from the Gripen and essentially on par with the PAK FA… and this is in a primarily air to air comparison.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2230159
    hopsalot
    Participant

    As for the “6th Generation” term, why not? Looking at shrinking budgets, a modern but cost effective solution might be what most Air Forces need currently. What really characterize the 5G from the 4++G is the “radar stealth” thing which might arrive too late on the market (obsolete in a decade?).

    Maybe because the Gripen first flew in 1988? …and while the Gripen NG is a substantial upgrade over the original Gripen, it isn’t appreciably more extensive an upgrade than has already been done in the case of the latest F-15s, Su-27/30/35 and so forth.

    Maybe because a minimalist, low-cost, fighter is anything but new? (See F-5, Mig-21, or even F-16)

    Stealth is a defining feature of 5th generation aircraft. At this point we have more than enough examples, including the F-35, F-22, PAK FA, J-20, and J-31 to recognize that there really isn’t any debate among professionals about the need for stealth on the modern battlefield. The only place where debate continues is in the realm of fan kiddie supporters of companies/countries that don’t have a 5th generation aircraft in development.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2230317
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Bill Sweetman suggests Gripen E might be considered to be the first Gen. 6 fighter on the market… :dev2:

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/03/24/the-planet-s-best-stealth-fighter-isn-t-made-in-america.html

    Great, so a tweaked 4th generation airframe with upgraded avionics is now a “6th generation” fighter. :stupid:

    I guess that makes the F-15SA a 6th generation fighter, just like the, Su-30, Su-35, etc.

    hopsalot
    Participant

    Is this remotely possible by western militaries?

    Under $100 million? No…

    The cheapest possible option would be an adaptation of an airliner. The P-8 probably provides the best example of what that might end up looking like.

    It has 11 stations (5 internal) with a carrying capacity of 22,000lbs (2,000lbs per station) and a range of over 4,000NM (though perhaps not with that maximum load), extendable via aerial refueling.

    The P-8 costs about $180 million a copy, but includes a lot of equipment that really wouldn’t be useful for a dedicated bomber and that presumably could be removed to achieve a lower price.

    According to this page: http://www.bga-aeroweb.com/Defense/P-8-Poseidon.html

    A P-8 airframe without avionics costs roughly $140 million and thus I think you can take roughly ~$150-160 million as the absolute lowest imaginable price for an airliner-derived bomber.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2234993
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Stealth brigade sticking their heads in the sand? People have been “stealth is dead/doesn’t work” since it first became a topic of discussion publicly. And the real world proof of this is a lucky SA-3 downing that F-117A at relatively short range? An aircraft that BTW doesn’t have its own ECM or EW capabilities and that had been using the same flight path repeatedly due to poor mission planning. I guess the rest of the Nighthawk’s career didn’t count for anything. That one shot down aircraft means the entire program was a failure, good to know.

    Or is it this other “example” of an SR-71 with a radar cross section the size of a large conventional fighter being seen by a static S-band radar site in Sweden from the side that means stealth is a laughable concept?

    So obviously stealth doesn’t work and for the past 30+ years all of the morons in the United States armed forces have been fooled by Lockheed and Northrop sales teams? I guess those new Chinese and Russian fighters (not to mention European UCAVs) means that the rest of the world must be morons too. If only they had been reading internet commentary, they would know better.

    Stealth isn’t some magic that makes it impossible to detect an aircraft. Yet LO design is today a fundamental aspect of aircraft survivability to be factored into everything else when developing any sort of aircraft.

    Indeed, most of the discussion around here lately has been one of the best real-world examples of “sour grapes” I have ever seen.

    One need only look at the F-22, F-35, PAK FA, J-20, J-31, (not to mention KF-X, ATD-X, and TFX), plus UCLASS, Neuron, and Taranis, NGB, etc…

    The experts agree that stealth is an absolutely critical feature for next generation combat aircraft.

    The only people who are still trying to debate this are internet fanboys who just can’t bring themselves to admit that their favorite 4th generation fighter is being left behind by a newer generation of aircraft.

    That is really all there is to it. There are technologies that help diminish the advantage stealth conveys, but nothing that can actually levels the playing field.

    Driven by hunger, a fox tried to reach some grapes hanging high on the vine but was unable to, although he leaped with all his strength. As he went away, the fox remarked ‘Oh, you aren’t even ripe yet! I don’t need any sour grapes.’ People who speak disparagingly of things that they cannot attain would do well to apply this story to themselves.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2236134
    hopsalot
    Participant

    as Opit said, your “rule of thumb” is meaningless… on a penetration mission, the rafale has a radius of over 1000 nm (meaning, when carrying EFTs, ground ordnance, A2A ordnance to defend itself, etc… all externally, obviously). The F-35 less than 600 (and that is with everything carried inside)

    And how exactly do these profiles and load-outs compare? Oh wait, you don’t know…

    start hanging stuff underneath the F-35’s wings and your radius will drop even further down, meaning that when you have to attack something that will force the Rafale to go to the extreme limit of its combat radius, the F-35 will only have a one-way ticket if it tries to attack the same target

    This of course is incorrect, see above.

    The issue here that some seem to be struggling with is that in this comparison the “truck” is substantially more efficient than the car, not the other way around.

    This isn’t a question simply of fuel load. Nor (as some who are apparently struggling to keep up have concluded) is it purely an issue of fuel fraction.

    With broadly comparable aircraft fuel fraction allows for a valid comparison, but as has already been discussed in this thread at length (for those who have been keeping up), carrying fuel in drop tanks is extremely inefficient and you can’t stupidly compare fuel fractions between aircraft where one is carrying all of its fuel internally, while the other is carrying the majority of its fuel externally.

    For a perfect example of this see the F-16 on the slide posted on the previous page, with about 1,000 gallons internal and 740 gallons external (figure 1750 total) it can go 460nmi. Increase that fuel by another 900 gallons (460 more via bigger drop tanks, 440 in the CFT) and you have a 51% increase in fuel load.

    How much farther do you go? 37%

    Note also in this scenario half of the additional fuel was added via conformal fuel tanks, which are substantially more efficient than drop tanks, and the F-16 is dropping its drop tanks when empty. (meaning if anything this scenario is optimistic compared to the Rafale)

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2236141
    hopsalot
    Participant

    The amount of fuel is meaningless as long as you discard other meaningful parameters (such as weight and/or fuel fraction). In other words, are you really sure a truck will go much farther than a car just because it carries more fuel ?

    If the truck is far less draggy, and has a more efficient engine, then yes.

    The F-35 is somewhat heavier than a Rafale and has more power, but in this comparison it just isn’t going to be close.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2236275
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Bigger bombs yes, but I don’t think it will carry them nearly as far. Not even close.

    Nic

    :very_drunk:

    The Rafale in that configuration is far draggier than the F-35. Even if we simply went with the rule of thumb that only half of the fuel in the Rafale’s external tanks was useable (2,400kg) that leaves the Rafale with 7100kg of fuel compared to the F-35’s 8,300kg.

    In this scenario it would be awfully optimistic to assume that the Rafale could go nearly as far as an F-35 even if it had with the same amount of fuel. (which it doesn’t)

    So you are right about one thing, the comparison wouldn’t be at all close.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2236277
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Nothing mysterious, datas are from LM presentation to Norway…

    That was sarcasm, there was nothing mysterious at all about it.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (2) #2236336
    hopsalot
    Participant

    I don’t think media bias is unique to blogs, the words are from Michael W. Wynne. And yes he does state that “calculations, neglecting range drag”. I think he knows that 30% more fuel will not equate to equal increase in range. I think he is making the point that USAF is taking several different approaches to extend range.

    I don’t know if I will ever stop being amused by the things the F-35’s critics invent.

    Every possible report suggest there is some bizarre and terrible aerodynamic problem with the plane. First the F-35 mysteriously (not at all) doesn’t gain enough extra range from drop tanks. The chicken little crowd then takes this as proof that the F-35 suffers from terrible aerodynamic problems that will cripple its range with external ordnance… :rolleyes:

    Newflash, all fighters suffer when carrying external weapons and fuel. That is something the F-35 program has tried to explain over and over again, and that boosters of various 4th generation fighters have refused to accept. Now suddenly it is news that the F-35 will see its range reduced when carrying an external load.

    Which of these looks more efficient:

    This:

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]226116[/ATTACH]

    6 AAM, 6 550lb bomb, 9500kg fuel (4,800kg external)

    or this:

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]226117[/ATTACH]

    4 AAM, 6 2000lb bomb, 8300kg fuel, targeting pod

    Of course the F-35 in this picture will suffer reduced range and performance compared to an F-35 with an all internal load, but relative to a 4th generation fighter the F-35 still has a far cleaner aerodynamic configuration, even though it is carrying 6 x 2,000 bombs while the Rafale is carrying 6 550lb bombs.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,681 through 1,695 (of 2,738 total)