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hopsalot

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,471 through 1,485 (of 2,738 total)
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  • in reply to: Europe Expands Airtanking with Airbus A330 Selection #2246839
    hopsalot
    Participant

    It’s had teething problems, but it’s not been more troublesome than the KC-767 was. Look at how late that was entering service in Italy.

    Looking at who’s ordered or selected the A330 MRTT, I see some customers who have very high technical standards, & no prejudice in favour of European aircraft – & looking at the list of customers for other current tankers, I see countries with obvious biases in selection, or a strong interest in keeping down initial purchase price even at the cost of capacity.

    It is amusing how easily this could be adapted to be a post about the F-35. (or for that matter many other programs)

    Delays and teething problems are all too common in defense programs. As frustrating as they are they don’t mean that the end result won’t be good.

    For just one good example look at the C-17.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2246913
    hopsalot
    Participant

    And by the way, this is not digressing, this part of the multifaceted problem the F-35 represents as the next NATO fighter …

    Greece was never particularly big or rich, yet throughout its NATO service it could maintain a more than respectable and quite capable actually, Air Force with diverse assets maintaining about 300-350 front line NATO fighters up to the 2000s. Well all that is gone now and the spectacularly high F-35 price is not going to allow that to change.

    …and you think the Eurofighter or Rafale are different? Take a look at the German or French air forces in the early 90s when they had much larger inventories of “diverse assets.”

    Now they are procuring only a fraction as many multi-role aircraft to fill all roles.

    I would agree with that, I am however willing to bet that Greece hasn’t rid itself of the EF2000 prospect. As I said previously, eventually someone along he line will realise the used typhoons of the German airforce can be shoved down the throats of the HAF and keep up pretences while making money as well.

    Ok, so first the Germans buy far too few Eurofighters to replace their inventory, then they are going to force some of them onto the Greeks?

    Defence Committee chairman Hans-Peter Bartels meanwhile said Germany should further cut its Eurofighter fleet, according to business daily Handelsblatt.

    “We should reduce the Euro Fighter fleet to 108 machines, that’s enough,” he said.

    http://www.defensenews.com/article/20140220/DEFREG01/302200036/Germany-Cuts-Order-Eurofighter-Jets

    108 fighters, for a reunified Germany. Think about that…

    This isn’t about the F-35. This is about European defense spending in general.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2247160
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Useless for Greece, not useless in general… That means not fitting their doctrine, structure and budget… When was it last time Greeks needed to penetrate anyone’s air defenses to strike a high valued target? Was it ever?

    Now you are an expert on what Greece needs too?

    Your shtick is really getting old.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2247278
    hopsalot
    Participant

    There’s not a hope in hell of Greece buying F-35 in the near future. No money. Even before the world banking crisis they had to scrap their intended Typhoon purchase due to lack of funds.

    Only way I can foresee Greece buying F-35 would be if Turkey had it in service and it proved to give them a big advantage over the non-VLO aircraft in Greece’s fighter fleet.

    Buying more F-16s instead of the Typhoons was a smart move on their part. They will have ample opportunity to fly with and against F-35s in various NATO exercises. Money will be the limiting factor, but I expect them to move to purchase F-35s once they can. The alternative would be to essentially give up on maintaining parity with Turkey.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2248032
    hopsalot
    Participant

    The Dutch F-16 replacement budget is adjusted for inflation every year.
    In 2008, SAAB offered 85 Gripen NG aircraft to the RNethAF for a sum (remember inflation-adjustment) that is now thought to be sufficient for 37 F-35 aircraft, while offering 100% offset orders.

    Which Gripen NG was it? The lighter, cheaper, one that could carry more?

    A look at actual signed contracts from the last year or two clearly shows that the Gripen NG is nowhere near that cheap.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2248746
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Except such premise does not hold any value because there is no “Europe” which behaves as a single market/supplier/client. Trying to mix UK and Belgium with Macedonia and Switzerland is definitely stretched.

    Your problem is that you are driven by an agenda with the goal to show the Russia in worst light possible, at best by introducing economic entities which don’t exist, just to artificially create greater dependancy that it really is. Here an idea, let us extend Europe down to Kazakhstan, together with Turkey it will add you another 10 percentage points..

    Most of Turkey is outside of Europe, as is all of Kazakhstan.

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/39/Europe_polar_stereographic_Caucasus_Urals_boundary.svg/2000px-Europe_polar_stereographic_Caucasus_Urals_boundary.svg.png

    This is just your lame speculation. The current economic turmoil in Russia is caused by at least three factors combined and you have no idea which one has the greatest impact. One is current oil prices, the other one is economic sanctions, the last one is investors’ expectations which, IMO, have by far the greatest influence.

    Reading comprehension. What does the world “primarily” mean to you? Oil prices are most certainly the primary driver of the collapse of the Ruble.

    Which continues BTW, further demonstrating the ridiculousness of your assertions yesterday.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2248749
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Define ‘military assets’. Unless your definition excludes some of the best soldiers in the world, Denmark does have military assets permanently on Greenland – the Sirius Patrol.

    It is pretty obvious at this point that he is just making it up as he goes.

    Nobody but Canada operates over cold sparsely-populated regions therefor only he, a Canadian, could possibly understand what it takes to operate in the north.

    Forget about Alaska. Ignore Norwegian, Danish, UK, and US operations over the North Sea, Iceland(Operation Ignition), and the Arctic.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Icelandic_Air_Policing

    None of that counts. Only Canada flies over the cold. Only Canadians know.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2248996
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Come on, that map is so old it’s laughable…..the “Dominion of Canada”, not since 1982?….. the “Soviet Union”?….unexplored?…

    Now, Denmark flies F16’s above Polar Regions?…..OK I grant you, the North Sea around Denmark can get pretty cold…but man , come on…. lets face it Denmark is SMALL, it has 43,094 km2of land……..Canada has 9 970610 km2 , how do those equate?…they don;t , Norway?..they are 385,252 km2 a bit bigger but still tiny compared to Canada, the second largest land mass Country in the world. Now is Norway cold and icy, YES, but it;s still much smaller, and much more densly populated…same story with Sweden….what works for them is good, but they are not Canada.

    The same story goes on and on when comparing Europe to Canada, that Nations are just so much smaller, so many more airstrips / airports and help can get to a site much more rapidly.

    Now, the F35 is replacing the F15? NOT from what I have been led to believe…I understood that the F15 is being retained, the F16’s are going bye bye. The F35’s will fly in conjunction to the F22’s and F15’s.

    and your right, not ONE, 0, zilch, nada F35’s are in service, NONE are flying in Alaska at all……are they “Planned” on going there at some point, yes, but not there yet….

    You do realize that Greenland is part of Denmark, right?

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2249086
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Typical fail by mixing Europe with EU. I have seen several figures for EU alone, ranging from 49 to 52%.

    A fail indeed, but not on my part. My original premise was always “Europe.” You are the one that introduced the “EU” into the discussion.

    A frequently repeated myth. But Russia is not the typical single commodity economy like Saudi Arabia, Venezuela or Nigeria.
    Let us see few examples of percentage of mineral products on total exports:

    We are one again left to wonder where you get your numbers.

    Others have already introduced data showing over 70% of Russia’s exports are hydrocarbons and lubricants. That is more diverse than Saudi Arabia, but is still an extreme case of dependency on a single set of commodities. (and Russia lacks Saudi Arabia’s massive holdings of liquid assets that allow it to weather any short-term oil price drops)

    That is greatly exaggerated. The dependancy of Russian economy on crude oil and/or EU is moderate, at best. There are dozens of countries whose economy is impacted by the oil prices to much greater extent than Russia, except they are much less interesting to talk about.

    BTW, you wouldn’t call Australia a single commodity economy, would you?

    This is one of those truly classic internet moments. :D:D:D

    We are in the midst of a full-scale collapse of Russia’s economy and currency, triggered primarily by falling oil prices, and yet you choose today to argue that Russia’s dependency on oil is “moderate, at best.” :very_drunk:

    Russia’s central bank raised its benchmark interest rate the most since the nation’s 1998 default, making the announcement in the middle of the night in Moscow as policy makers seek to douse investor panic and stem a ruble rout.

    The central bank increased the key rate to 17 percent from 10.5 percent effective today, it said in a statement on its website. Policy makers gathered for an unscheduled meeting after a one-point increase on Dec. 11.

    “This decision is aimed at limiting substantially increased ruble depreciation risks and inflation risks,” the bank said in the statement.

    Russia’s central bank raised interest rates for the sixth time in 2014 after more than $80 billion spent from its reserves failed to stop a 49 percent selloff of the ruble, the world’s worst-performing currency this year. President Vladimir Putin, whose incursion into Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula in March prompted the U.S. and its allies to strike back with sanctions, this month called for “harsh” measures to deter currency speculators.

    “While such drastic tightening measures will inflict more pain on the economy, we have been arguing for a while that it is not about preventing recession, but a full-scale financial turmoil caused by the precipitous ruble fall,” said Piotr Matys, a currency strategist at Rabobank International in London.
    Ruble Drop

    The ruble yesterday tumbled past 60 for the first time on record, losing 9.7 percent to 64.4455 a dollar. That extended its plunge this year to 49 percent, which overtook the Ukrainian hryvnia’s drop. Brent, the grade of oil traders look at for pricing Russia’s main export blend, slipped 79 cents, or 1.3 percent, to end the session at $61.06 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

    Russia derives about 50 percent of its budget revenue from oil and natural gas taxes. As much as a quarter of gross domestic product is linked to the energy industry, Moody’s Investors Service estimated in a Dec. 9 report.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-15/russia-increases-key-interest-rate-to-17-to-stem-ruble-decline.html

    Ok, so here is an idea. Read the article above and try to understand what it is telling you. Carefully consider this new information and ask yourself how your theory of how the world works could be modified to bring it in accordance with how the world is actually working.

    :eagerness:

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2249262
    hopsalot
    Participant

    What’s your source for that? And why do you think that adding together the figures for four EU members gives you the total for all 27 EU members?

    Here’s what Eurostat says for 2013: 51.8% of Russian exports to the EU, 43.6 of Russia’s imports from the EU.

    It is a classic Wikipedia fail…

    If you go here:

    http://atlas.media.mit.edu/profile/country/rus/

    …and set the page to “continent,” you will see the Europe accounts for 63.44% of Russia’s exports.

    Russia’s exports meanwhile are composed overwhelmingly of oil, gas, and related products:

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]233954[/ATTACH]

    That is dependency. Russia’s economy is highly dependent on one set of exports to one market. That is why when oil prices take a dive so does the Russian economy:

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]233955[/ATTACH]
    (note that oil is now under $60 a barrel)

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2249344
    hopsalot
    Participant

    That is understandable. I don’t comment on whether it’s good or bad, just stating the obvious.
    BTW, care to elaborate on that “stupid” emoticon in your response?

    The idea that Canada’s trade with the US amounts to dependency or reliance on a “single vendor/client.”

    The US and Canadian economies share a level of integration that is almost unique in the world, behaving in many respects as a single giant economy.

    Quoting from Wikipedia:

    The United States and Canada have the largest trade relationship in the world. In 2012, U.S. merchandise trade with Canada consisted of US$324.2 billion in imports and US$292.4 billion in exports. The trade relationship between the two countries crosses all industries and is vital to both nations’ success as each country is the largest trade partner of the other.

    The trade across Ambassador Bridge, between Windsor, Ontario, and Detroit, Michigan, alone is equal to all trade between the United States and Japan.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada%E2%80%93United_States_trade_relations

    This is nothing whatsoever like many other trade relationships where one country (Russia) provides one primary export (hydrocarbon fuels and lubricants) to one primary customer (Europe).

    The idea of a major trade disruption between the US and Canada is inconceivable at this point. For better or worse the economic futures of the US and Canada are closely coupled.

    It depends on how you take it. It’s not common to refer to EU as a single economy.. If EU was a single economy, then German exports to France or Italy would logically cease to be exports. That might change one day, true,but we’re not there yet..

    Of course it is quite common to refer to the “EU economy” or “European economy.” Google that and see if you get any hits.

    The various European states remain independent, as are the US and Canada, but due to their close integration in most respects they behave as a single large economy. (as do the US and Canada) That doesn’t mean individual regions/provinces/states won’t show variation.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2249406
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Jay.. From your response, I cannot quite agree with that single sentence. Imports from US constitute 50.6%, exports to US are at 74.5%. That is a very strong dependance on a single vendor/client, in my opinion. The only other country with similar numbers I can think of is Mexico..

    :stupid:

    What you have to understand is that the Canadian economy is so closely coupled with the US economy that they are very nearly one and the same. The vast majority of the Canadian population is concentrated along the US/Canadian border, and given that the US is the world’s largest economy a great degree of interdependence is inevitable.

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]233938[/ATTACH]

    Canada is no more “dependent” on the US than Germany or France are “dependent” on their European trading partners.

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]233939[/ATTACH]

    Also, pro-tip… when JSR starts posting about economics, or pretty much anything for that matter, just ignore him. It is like trying to talk politics with a dog.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2249734
    hopsalot
    Participant

    They were much cheaper to run than the aircraft they replaced. And targeting pods made them good enough to replace complicated weapon systems built into the older aircraft that forced them to be one-dimensional role players whereas F-16’s are Multirole. And they were built using a common engine cores for the HI-LO mix, which substantially simplified the engine logistics food chains. And they were a jump in maneuverability compared to previous fighters they replaced.

    F-35 essentially takes the progression a step further.

    How many times have we heard that most of the missions the USAF (and NATO) flies are air policing and third-world pickup truck plinking? An F-16 is more than sufficient to fill out the force structure until the F-35 takes over and they won’t lack for things to do in that time. Personally I would also welcome seeing some Scorpions or a similar armed trainer aircraft added to the fleet to specialize in the COIN and possibly air policing roles, freeing higher-end assets to focus on what they do best.

    in reply to: Regarding F-15 s combat record #2251651
    hopsalot
    Participant

    But the only alternative then is to see everything in black-and-white – like the happy badger in your avatar…

    Oh course not, but you have presented us with another logical fallacy.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_dilemma

    in reply to: Regarding F-15 s combat record #2251654
    hopsalot
    Participant

    Re your sig:

    This sort of reasoning always advantages the liar.

    Nic

    indeed…

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argument_to_moderation

Viewing 15 posts - 1,471 through 1,485 (of 2,738 total)