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JSR

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  • JSR
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    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2240814
    JSR
    Participant

    Norway’s Foreign Pension fond has something called: Etic councel, which have to approve any investment in foreign military products. We have very strict guidlines. The same goes for Tobaco and alcohole, certain pharma drugs etc etc.
    I’m actual proud we do this, we have pulled out of several large investment partners like in Israel defence industry etc etc.

    Anyway, this has NOTHING to do with CORRUPTION at all. You are greatly misinformed..
    I’m not claiming we have no corruption, but we have very little of it.

    Oh, and your link.. did you actually bother to read it? 😀

    Not investing in military power is also form corruption. You need Israel more than Israel need you. Look at US congress. and without US military you will find your wealth evaporate very quickly. don’t concentrate on commentary.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2240820
    JSR
    Participant

    Like I said, they are not population figures but scores derived from working age population adjusted by total dependency ratio. The numbers themselves are not important, only the relative difference between them. But if you want it in strict population terms:

    China 2050
    Working Age: 850m
    Elderly: 325m
    Children: 200m

    India 2050
    Working Age: 1100m
    Elderly: 215m
    Children: 315m

    Russia in 2050 will have around 70m people of working age. So if we take the ‘Russia’ as a unit of measurement, we can see that by 2050 India has 3.5 Russias worth of manpower advantage over China.

    from where this forecasts comes. these are highly unreliable. by 2050 medical advances will be enough that retirement age will be closer to 80. so concept of elderly and working age will be not there. and who will built bullet trains, nuclear reactors, hydro dams,
    gas pipelines on scale of China for India that it is less polluted with less inflation when it starts industrialization?. India cannot find water for creating large 300mm fab.

    I already mentioned that continuing structural economic changes may further undermine the advantages conferred by a large workforce. Nonetheless, it will remain a significant input. USA is not the world’s largest economy because it is the best structured or best educated or has the best technology or greatest resources, but rather because it has a much larger population than other countries that score similarly (or better) by other measures, the next most populous advanced nation being Japan which was, of course, until recently also the world’s #2 economy until it was overtaken by the world’s most populous nation. Size isn’t everything, and its significance may diminish further in time, but it is and will remain a critical factor.

    Japan never had 2nd largest economy. It was Soviet Union and after that Germany when it starts employing Chinese/EEU for its factories.

    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2240823
    JSR
    Participant

    Dude, pls do not threat every western citizens with the same sad sterio type point of view.
    I’ve been to Russia several times, and have some friends there. I find the Russian people very kind friendly.
    I find Russia to be a very beautyfull country. I’m planning to go on Elbrus trecking sometime 🙂 , i’e been in several major citys and through North Caukasus.

    The one i have a problem with is Putin and his staff.
    I read a recent report that Putin has hidden away some 400 Billion NOK in different tax paradice bank systems.
    The Corruption in Russia is so transparent and devestating for your own Economy and future prospect.

    I personly got robbed by your traffic police several times.. its really sad.

    Its not you guys i’m vorried about, but its your system as a Nation.

    I can with easy see the bull**** on both side, I’m not too foundly about US foreign policy eighter..

    you should worry about corruption in Norway as your soverign wealth funds are invested outside Norway. and there is very little investment in military and science. country is completely un competitive.
    Putin money is very near to him that’s why he can afford to spend hundreds of billions on military buildup until 2020 and further beyond that. and in post 2020 period air defences will become strong enough that ICBMs can be defeated. with such military power Norway energy industry will come under microscope.

    Russia/ Saudi against Norway. from Russia perspective Norway is even worth less than Saudi.
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2014/04/29/saudi-arabia-and-russia-blast-norways-human-rights-record-wait-what/

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2240994
    JSR
    Participant

    you should not rely on this unreliable data. Even the present data is unreliable let alone future forecasts. China did not have 1.8b population in 2000.
    and India cant have 2.3b population in 2050 present area. how ridiculous is that forecast. and why is population so important in year 2050? when in future robotics will be more important for industry and military. supercomputers will be flying UCAVs from the ground .

    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2241004
    JSR
    Participant

    By such a nonsense claim you lost your credibility.

    your increasing credibility by making opposite claims?. It is the same claim about IL-76 and Tashkent. as that plant was exclusive plant for IL-76 production for all USSR. but it does not mean it has Uzbek investment or technical contribution.

    Ukraine cannot make Nuclear reactor nor it has mastered centrifuge fuel cycle.

    this is the company that provide fuel to Ukraine nuclear reactors.
    http://www.tvel.ru/wps/wcm/connect/tvel/tvelsite.eng/

    this is the company that mine raw uranium.
    http://www.armz.ru/eng/

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2241373
    JSR
    Participant

    2050 to 2080 predictions?. complete out of touch with reality. The only reasonable prediction is that Arab population will grow so fast that practically zero Oil exports left. means no energy for irrigation and fertilizer. complete dependence on food import from fresh water rich nation.
    the flow of hard currency from Middleast will practically stop.
    the negative impacts are already visible. India arms imports have considerably slowed down despite much larger GDP/Population size relative to 1970s/1980s.
    Airforce will shrink the largest. see 500 MIG-21 to less than 40 LCA. even producing 40 LCA have become multi decade effort.

    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2241380
    JSR
    Participant

    They weren’t Russian weapons. They were Soviet weapons, designed & built by establishments scattered across the USSR, employing Soviet citizens from most or all republics & many ethnicities, & paid for by the whole union.

    I suppose you think Ukraine should have given Russia all the Soviet tanks built at Kharkiv, all the Soviet transports built at Kiev, all the Soviet missiles built at Dnipropetrovsk, etc. . . . or should Russia have given them all to Ukraine?

    They were Russian weopons in sense as they were developed with natural resource & centralized scientific base located in Russia. It goes all the way to fueling nuclear reactors for electricity production. building pipelines for Ukraine that are on rent. you cant imagine if those Pipelines were not present in 1991. Just look at who developed the composite and material technology for An-124.

    this is just one item history.

    http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/ENF-China_builds_uranium_enrichment_centrifuge-2502134.html
    In 2010, China needed 3600 tonnes of uranium and 2.5 million SWU of enrichment. By 2020, it expects to need 10,000 tonnes of uranium and 7 million SWU. The country has largely depended on Russian-supplied enrichment technology to meet its needs, with the remaining enriched uranium being imported.

    The Lanzhou enrichment plant started in 1964 for military use and operated commercially between 1980 and 1997 using Soviet-era diffusion technology. A Russian centrifuge plant of 500,000 SWU* per year started operation there in 2001.

    An enrichment plant using Russian centrifuges was also set up at Hanzhun in Shaanxi province under agreements between Russia and China Nuclear Energy Industry Corporation (CNEIC). The first two modules at Hanzhun came into operation in 1997 and 2000, adding capacity for 500,000 SWU per year. Further capacity of 500,000 SWU per year at Hanzhun was commissioned in mid 2011.

    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2241526
    JSR
    Participant

    The map is 2001 census, from the Kuchma times, preceding even Orange Revolution. I don’t want to party with either camp in this argument but facts are facts.

    Note that I was strictly focused on ethnic map to provide data to the lukos’ claim. There is, of course, another map of people having declared Russian as their native language and yet another map of people using Russian language in their homes which considerably exceed the number of ethnic Russians in the region.

    does not matter. same people are in power in all the governments. it does not take into account the demographic collaspse since 2000.
    you look at election results. it is well 80 to 90% in most eastern regions. odesa is 60 to 70%. support only drop after economic failure. now next election will be interesting.

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/26/%D0%94%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B3%D0%B8%D0%B9_%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80_2010_%D0%BF%D0%BE_%D0%BE%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B3%D0%B0%D1%85-en.png/1280px-%D0%94%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B3%D0%B8%D0%B9_%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80_2010_%D0%BF%D0%BE_%D0%BE%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B3%D0%B0%D1%85-en.png

    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2241838
    JSR
    Participant

    Frankly, I would like to see both side lose. Both Ukraine and Russia are Thugocracies. The leaders’ primary purpose is to consolidate power. Helping the Ukranian and Russian peoples lead better lives is last priority of their list of things to do.

    As for the US and most western governments, I classify them as Ineptocracies. Bungling fools, every “leader” amongst them.

    Russia building bridge to China that will reduce distance by 700km. better communication with China. the cheaper is Chinese goods imported the higher living standard.
    http://rdif.ru/Eng_fullNews/949/

    in reply to: Malaysian Airlineus 777 shot down over Ukraine #2241842
    JSR
    Participant

    http://38.media.tumblr.com/2dd2b4ce89e3cb8f3ca1efda22c4a8c0/tumblr_mxhwh8Ehax1rasnq9o1_500.png

    I don’t think you can put any credibility on this map. considering corrupt system that created this map. 58% is too low for crimea.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2241847
    JSR
    Participant

    Cute, but in the long run Russia needs India to help fund its projects more than India needs Russia for JV and ToT.

    your long run forecasts are always wrong. look at Brazil and Rafale. India needs Russia far more than Russia needs India. Brahmos is not a JV but Russia giving 1980s tech at low licensing cost. I highly doubt any Western Aviation or missile product can be given so cheap for license.
    live with this 21st century reality. Only resource rich and less susceptible to global warming nations will always be in driving seat.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2242236
    JSR
    Participant

    IL-214 will be a lot faster than turbo prop with PD-14M engines. speed is also element in deployment and rescue operations.
    operating limited C-17 means airframes will wear down faster.

    in reply to: Which attack helicopter for Iraq? #2242245
    JSR
    Participant
    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2242252
    JSR
    Participant

    Thats true, that WAS the reason to involve Russia into MTR project. It was supposed to be mutually beneficial project, where India gets the know-how in exchange of footing the bill. But it is going no where, so there is Avro replacement.

    Of course Russia also require similar planes for their services, so they need IL-476/IL-214 and will develop based on their timelines/funding etc.

    Not every project can be mutually beneficial. and second point I already pointed out that India is even slow in procuring FMS deal. so releasing money on time for IL-214 was non-starter. IL-476/IL-214 will be in production for long time. India will ultimately buy it off the shelf.
    C-17 production line is almost closed.
    I don’t see KC-390 has long production run. Its too expensive from the start. and after Brazil orders are done. there is no production volume coming.

Viewing 15 posts - 2,476 through 2,490 (of 4,319 total)