Don’t try to sell this as a political victory of Russia. What matters is Russia didn’t got anything they wanted, period. I don’t have to sell you or anyone, anything. From political perspective, Turkey shot down the aircraft, and got away pretty clean with it.
your limited understanding is showing here. Russia wants Turkey to keep quiet when it creates the biggest slaughter house in Syria. Russia want Turkey to either help or on the side lines when wider Sunni-Shia wars for control of middleastern oil starts. Russia will be the key player in that kind of wars from airspace and equipment suppliers.
The existence of Modern Turkey solely depends on Russia.
It will be Russia that will provide confidence to rest of EU for tourism. Germanic tourist not spend and without Tourism Turkey construction, real estate and retail markets will collapse.
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-needs-to-tell-europe-life-is-normal-inside-says-leading-tourism-representative.aspx?pageID=238&nID=102734&NewsCatID=349
He also noted that there was a loss of around 40 percent in tourism revenue from its German market, although the number of arrivals from Germany to Turkey did not see a dramatic decline.
“This was mainly due to a series of bomb attacks in Turkey during a time when wealthier Germans made early reservations,” noted Bösl, who also praised the normalization in Turkish-Russian relations as a significant constant to strengthen their hands in the European market.“Travel agencies shape the market. The return of Russians to the Turkish market will strengthen our hands in Europe as Turkey’s tourism sector has started to normalize again. This will boost our sales,” he added.
It will be Russian gas pipelines that will give you rent. It is Russian nuclear reactors with full fuel cycle supply that will give you cheaper electricity for industrials. It is only Russia weopons that you can use in high intensity combat with kurds and assure supply of weopons and spares. infact if Turkey join Russia it can get some spoils in Middleastern Oil otherwise Iranian will take most of benefit.
Every single bombing, every cluster bomb, every SRBM, every ATGM launch in Syria is caught on a video camera and found its way on to the youtube. Now Turkey collaborating with IS, providing them weapons and taking their oil for 3+ years and there is no single proof of that? Gee, I only hope our intelligence service is 1% as good. Idiots even get cought by petty journalists while trying to provide arms to Syrian Turkmen..
every single?. think over it.
Your own speculation. Our own speculation in Turkey is this; Russia expected 1-formal apology, 2-compensation for the lost aircraft, 3-compensation to the family, 4-judgement of the men who killed the pilot. before relations can be improved. Turkey offered NONE of these.
Even yesterday, Erdogan said, 1-Russian side admitted first aircraft crossed the border but they still deny second aircraft which involved in the event crossed the border. We will provide all radar data to Russia to prove their border violation. 2-They (pilots who shot down the Su-24) are being trialled of a crime totally irrelevant to the shooting down event so don’t try and make a correlation between these two unrelated events. 3- Alparslan Çelik (who is claimed to be the man who killed the russian pilot) is under arrested for totally unrelated crime of carrying unregistered firearms, although his trials and concerning the killing of the pilot is also ongoing and evidence is being looked at, it would be inappropirate for me to comment on an ongoing trial.
From where I stand, “regret” was offered on day#1, and Turkey’s position hasn’t changed the slightest since then. So I believe there is something Russia badly needs from Turkey, so badly and immediately that they even gave up their pride in this matter, swallowed all their statements and come to table over an unfounded excuse of passing “deep regret” as an “apology”.
Where did he said that? Only statement I recall is “our good mutual relations shouldn’t have degraded by a mistake of one pilot”. Which was considered as selling THK pilots, and he had to correct that with “I was obviously referring to the mistake of Russian pilot who crossed our border, of course”.
There is no border crossing that’s why rest of Nato left you high and dry. Nato wants impose there own AWACS so that Turkey is under control . The reason for normalization is very different (To encourage Turkey to fight West, to get more money from Arabs in bargaining by showing Russia normalization).
http://www.presstv.ir/DetailFr/2016/06/30/472978/Iran-Turkey-Russia-Bahram-Qassemi-Putin-Erdogan
Iran welcomes steps by Russia, Turkey to mend ties
Turkey can send all the cannon fodder and Ruaf will bomb them endlessly. it does not impact them but some point will come that West and Arabs will punish Turkey for this dysfunctional policy.
.
Tech transfer from west done? LACK OF tech transfer is the reason why Turkey prefers NOT buying western equipment anymore. Tech transfer is the sole prerequisite of all latest procurements, for example, US agreed on full tech tranfer and licence production of S-70 a few months ago, and T-70 will be the utility helicopter of Turkish Army. They disagreed to tranfer technology of AH-1Z, so there wont be a AH-1T, and A-129 is chosen instead. No country on earth wanted to transfer tech about UCAVs back in ~2007, so we bought from no one, started flying our own armed UAV designs in 7 years. We wanted to licence produce Hellfire missile, US didn’t allowed that, and our UAVs and T-129 today fly with domestic ATGMs. List goes on and on, you see my point, I think.
how many UCAVs and T-129 are actually in service and can they sustain high tempo operations.
Regarding Stealth fighter project, I can safely say TAI is still recruiting new personel each month just for that project, and since you haven’t been to TAI, you haven’t got the slightest idea what resources they may or may not have at their disposal. You probably don’t know the fact TAI is producing the middle hull and inlet ducts for for LRIP F-35As since ~October 2013, and I’d say they have quite equipment and the expertise for working with appropirate materials and composites required in a 5th gen fighter.
the key question is where those workers got trained and from where the industrial machinery imported to built the parts. and there is huge difference in managing parts and the whole project.
What the hell has the EU got to do with NATO except for the fact that they are equally evil organizations?
Nic
both has nearly identical membership and big layer of expensive governance.
the numbers are now very big.
https://www.rt.com/news/355457-syria-aleppo-terrorists-ceasfire/
Since Sunday “nearly 1,000 militants were killed and over 2,000 injured,” the Russian General Staff told media
Turkey is not leaving NATO. So long as Erdogan patch things up with Putin, NATO will need Turkish bases more than it needs NATO security guarantees. Having the two pilots responsible for the Su-24 shootdown arrested with insinuation that they did it to harm Russo-Turkish relations at behest of “foreign interest” was amusingly knavish.
Having said that it would be nuts for US to sell them F-35s, but I wouldn’t put money on a sane Turkish policy. I’m sure somewhere there’s a J-31 salesman studying up on Turkish just in case.
Its not just Turkey but selling to all Middleast modern weopons have significant drawback . Israel will be looking for its own interests.
Ruaf is doing round the clock bombing on Idlib and Aleppo without much public protest from Turkey. there is sense growing that Turkey is disposing off all the islamist inside Syria by pushing them into one place for joint actions.
If Turkey cant become member of EU there is no reason for it to do its obligation for Nato.
What do we even know about the T-50 or J-20 that assures you that pilots will always take them over the F-35? Pure aerodynamics? At supersonic speeds sure, that’s very likely true. Yet what about items such as LO, avionics, and other items that also determine mission effectiveness? It seems like you’re always operating with the assumption that somehow the F-35’s LO attributes and avionics can always be bested somehow and in the end it’s all a matter of kinematics. Even though Russia can have unique and innovative solution, truth is Russia has traditionally lagged the west in avionics.l, and for them to somehow so suddenly reach parity of the F-35 in terms of avionics is assuming that the years of advantage in experience and investment can just be hand waved away. What do you even base this on?
This doesn’t get into the fact that Russia is still buying more Su-30SM and China is getting more J-10s. Yet these planes likely stack up very poorly against the F-22, despite entering service well after the raptor, so should they be dismissed as well?
From where the word tradition comes from. Does China/Korea/Japan had any traditions in fundamental research to make breakthrough technologies to make them largest suppliers of tech industrial chain.
Su-30SM had that big jamming pods and I am sure long range standoff weopons to hit the ground . It’s hitting the fixed bases on the ground that make airplane useful. Indian are going to Brahmos solution presumably the radar can handle the ranged against ships.
Even the Ka-52k is getting 180km radar and 300 km range missiles. I would estimate next fighter upgrade to radars will be at 1800km range
Lol wtf? Accepting 3 millions syrians go gain favor from whom? Well nvm whatever it’s totaly OOT. Dont worry there are great countries in EU that will stop the ‘muslim’ invasion, like greece.
Reread Andrxx post. He mentioned Civilized image. it’s not just Syrians but open door policy and investments with Middleast on very large scale on non productive sectors and the money flow to non scientific community of the society that is raising the cost of living for the have nots.
Problem was/is never the AKP rule. When AKP first elected, military didn’t want to make a coup, because that would have shaken the “civilized image” of Turkey, and automatically and perhaps permenantly prevented accession of Turkey into the EU.
..
the military in Turkey is not intelligent enough to see that AKP will permanently run Turkey into the ground. EU will not admit turkey whose economic and technical system is complete flop and that has taken millions of people from Middleast to gain favors. infact Turkey is now the biggest threat to EU well being as the Middleastern money that supposed to invest and buy products from EU will be needed in Turkey.
how is the military procurement going now? what happen to that long range SAM system implementation and rest of military projects. you can see they cant implement any thing on time let alone with quality.
this one says 2000 in 10 days
http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160808/1044056316/syria-force-militants.html
this one 1200 in 7 days.
http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13950518001132
this will be most intense airstrikes on small area. the impact on rebel is on whole country level.
[The foiled coup attempt seeking to unseat the government of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has cost the Turkish economy 300 billion lira ($100 billion/90 billion euro), the trade minister was quoted as saying on Tuesday.]
To me, from what I have seen here in Turkey, he is grossly over exaggerating the damage. The economy was already in bad state. With large loans to be paid shortly with no funds. Now there is a plausible reason (a coup attempt) to renegotiate with the loangivers. But hey if I was trade minister; I would also seize the opportunity! 🙂
$100b is not exaggeration when you look loss investment /tourism income and skilled people fleeing/not given appropriate opportunities. but I wouldn’t worry too much about loans as long as Turkey have millions of people from Middleast.
Either this coup was planned by a janitor or something, or it was more of a terrorist attack then to call it a “coup attempt”…
do you really think the military is competent enough to do large coup after 15 years of AK rule. they did what they could.
I didn’t even know Russia is operating in that part of Syria.
they publicly called it de conflicting but they very closely observe the country.