If, as seems likely, trench3 gets cancelled that means it’s no-longer an MMRCA contender
1) Tranche 3 won’t be cancelled. Germany and Spain are committed to it.
2) Cancellation of Tranche 3 (not trench3) would not mean that it wan’t an MMRCA contender. Aircraft could still be built for export. Indeed prices might become more keen!
EF is not serious contender just price/capability not there.
1) Price is not there? So what is the price for India when some are built by HAL? EF GmbH haven’t told me, but if they’ve told you, then let’s hear it. I’d suspect that with the local production element they’ll get them much cheaper than Austria – so we’re talking less than €61 m. Perhaps even less than the UK, which would mean less than £37 m.
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1) Nobody is ‘committed’ to trench3 they just don’t want to pay the penalty clauses- hence the emergency inter-governmental meetings.
2) Lack of committment to trench3 meant an early exit from the Singaporean AF tender (amongst performance issues), and will definitely jeopordise its MMRCA bid.
1b) HAL produced Su-30MKIs cost more than the Irkut units- caused a major scandal & review last year, so costing locally produced Typhoon at £37 million, add 50% to that figure and you’ll be closer. Probably a reason why Indian firms were offered a financial stake in EADS instead.
Imho, the deserved winner will be SH (BM is too heavyweight for IAF’s reqmnt).
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