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Chox

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  • in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2386360
    Chox
    Participant

    Well there we are. It wasn’t as ghastly as it could have been. The only serious casualty seems to be Nimrod but there were some hints that the ASW/MR capability might be re-addressed at some stage.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2386865
    Chox
    Participant

    Jonesy I suggest you move-on. I’m not going to waste people’s time by repeating myself. Read my previous answers if you’re seriously interested, although I assume you’re not. Failing that, listen to the TV, listen to the people who actually have a clue what they’re talking about and maybe then you’ll see why so many of us think Fox’s SDR is ludicrous claptrap.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2386872
    Chox
    Participant

    return to REAL carrier aviation

    My how I tittered:D

    This was precisely what I was getting-at. Far too many people here have been reading far too many enthusiast magazines. If you seriously think a dozen jets on a single carrier constitutes “real” carrier aviation then I suspect you need your head examined!

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2386955
    Chox
    Participant

    The folks on Newsnight said it all a few minutes ago, really. A shabby tale of economics-driven spin-doctoring and shameful inter-service rivalry. Ludicrous and lamentable.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2386959
    Chox
    Participant

    Hope you all saw Newsnight just now. Paxman (as ever) hit a few proverbial nails on the head. As he rightly said, on the basis of this nonsense we might as well dispose of the RAF in its entirety. Likewise as the wise military studies pundit admitted, tomorrow’s SDR is essentially another grubby result of inter-service squabbling… just as I said actually!;)

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2386972
    Chox
    Participant

    Bazv, I wouldn’t necessarily disagree with much or even all of that. But as I said previously, that wasn’t my point. Even if you accept (as indeed I do) that carriers were needed in 1982, that does not provide a case for buying carriers now. It merely indicates that our defence thinking and foreign policy was flawed at that time. Naturally, anyone could claim that any potential future scenario might require carrier power but there are two key points here – firstly, this doesn’t mean that our participation in any of these future conflicts is essential, and secondly, even if we have the capacity and will to participate, what kind of significance is a dozen F35s if not merely over-priced tokenism? Either way, the concept of sacrificing so much for so little is just ludicrous.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2386975
    Chox
    Participant

    Indeed, if the news report is correct, it seems that Harriers and Nimrod are the main victims, and all to finance a carrier which might or might not have air assets by 2019. As for this ludicrous “multi national” capability, one just despairs. Does Fox really expect us to swallow this claptrap or is he dense-enough to seriously believe it? It’s almost beyond description in its short-sightedness, short-termism and crass simplicity. Typical politics in fact.

    PS, I’m not raking over all of the above posts again, there’s really nothing to add as I’ve addressed all the points in previous posts. However, somebody above really does need to check his grasp of Britain’s defence politics of the 1960s! 😉

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2387180
    Chox
    Participant

    It’s interesting that the notion of defending one’s sea lanes is raised, just when Nimrod looks like being a possible victim of the carrier farce. On the one hand maritime power is irrelevant and on the other it is vital, it seems?

    It would be foolish to write-off the political decision-making of the 1960s. The very early 1960s are certainly nothing to be proud of but the subsequent years in which Britain found itself in a very similar state to 2010 make a good comparison. TSR2 was cancelled and quite rightly too. It was a brilliant design but dogged (doomed in fact) by the way in which its design and production was set-up. Healey (because of Callaghan’s financial constraints) rightly understood that Britain could not afford to sustain the status quo. F-111 could undertake the same roles more cheaply. He also rightly accepted the folly of supersonic Harriers, jet transports and much more. He also understood the absurdity of large carriers. It is widely accepted that Healey was one of the best Defence Ministers this country ever had even though far too many people erroneously dismiss him as the “vandal that cancelled TSR2”.

    Britain finally accepted that playing on the world stage was unaffordable and withdrew from East of Suez. TSR2 was therefore redundant as was its replacement the F-111. AFVG was a dead end. Carriers were an unaffordable luxury but the Navy persisted with it’s obsessive thirst for air power and eventually got their Through Deck Cruisers, a design which was absurdly ineffective from the outset but suited the Navy as it was the only way through which they could stay in the fixed-wing business. Even then these “carriers” had little to do with need – they were proverbial straws that the Navy grasped.

    History is merely repeating itself again. Britain is in a similar financial fix. It is trying to maintain a world presence in the face of crippling costs, and the Navy is still trying (successfully it seems) to convince us that a country with hardly any future defensive and offensive air power, should divert huge sums of cash to support a dozen F35s for the Navy to parade around the world, to impress nobody but themselves. It’s utter nonsense.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2387225
    Chox
    Participant

    Well, we seem to be going round in circles. How can I make this any more simple?

    Cancelling the carriers might be expensive. Nowhere near as expensive as financing them for another 30-40 years together with the aircraft that operate from them. It’s not an insignificant amount, it’s a huge sum which the defence budget patently can’t sustain (hence the proposed cuts).

    Citing all of the conflicts in which Britain has engaged is entirely specious. Since WWII all of the military engagements pursued by Britain have been those of choice, not necessity. Afghanistan is no different. The only possible exception was the Falklands and as I’ve said repeatedly, that was a result of flawed foreign policy. In no way does that conflict justify buying a new carrier.

    We can embroil ourselves in conflicts around the world if we so desire but only at a cost. It has always been thus. Point is, the cost is now too high. Continuing to participate in operations like Afghanistan can only be done at the expense of other capabilities. Fox can claim that there is no threat to the UK for which such capabilities are needed. Problem is, like everyone else, he has absolutely no idea what the future holds.

    Terrorism is a red herring. We have been sold a story of how our presence in Afghanistan is fighting terrorism. We all know this is patently nonsense. Despite this, the defence budget is being geared towards this and presumably even more similar operations in the future. Make no mistake, these operations are not about fighting terrorism (that is probably done more effectively in Islanders flying over Bradford), it is about foreign policy and Britain’s position on the world stage. All very nice, but apart from the loss of life, it is destroying our real defensive capability.

    Put simply, carrier power is a great asset if one can afford it. Clearly we cannot, and what we will get is a hideously over-priced token asset which can achieve nothing, but simultaneously drains the remainder of our true defence capability. It is a dangerous and flawed concept.

    what unique role GR4 plays in the defence of the UK islands from their current bases?

    You’re not serious are you? I thought we weren’t going to try point-scoring?

    Typhoon is being inducted in sufficient numbers to ensure the integrity of sovereign airspace

    Again, you’re not serious are you? I mean really, you’re not serious, are you?

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2387247
    Chox
    Participant

    “we can’t defend ourselves” “but we shouldn’t have a navy” how are those two views compatable?

    This isn’t 1945. We can only afford to defend (both with defensive and offensive power) the UK mainland, unless you’re suggesting that we are still going to try and engage in the defence of the remaining outposts of the Empire. It’s a question of getting real, understanding just what a state we’re in, and how we should “cut our cloth” accordingly. I never said we shouldn’t have a Navy. I said we shouldn’t have a carrier – a view which has been held by many since the 1960s.

    MPs are against the carriers? erm wrong, they are backed by the majority of the last governement and the current one.
    Nonsense, hardly any MPs support the hair-brained notion other than the remaining (and dwindling) supporters of the US-led “world policeman” concept. The tragedy is that Fox seems to be stupid-enough to buy into this claptrap.

    And then where is this magic threat to the UK that we will not be able to defend?
    I have no idea. Point is, neither have you and – more importantly, neither does Fox.

    Then I would remind you the UK is a nuclear power.
    Lovely, we will rely on defending ourselves against any imaginable threat with a response of nuclear destruction. That sounds plausible…

    I’m afraid you assertions are just wrong.
    No they’re not. You just disagree with them. I agree with the military experts and politicians who think the path being embarked-upon by Fox is utterly ridiculous.

    See I would love to know where your work has been published
    No you wouldn’t, you’re just making pointless sarcastic remarks.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2387364
    Chox
    Participant

    French have been right all along when they dropped out of the EAP/ACA/TFK90/EFA mess

    Depends what you mean by “right” I guess. If you mean by that they got what they wanted and to hell with everyone else, then yes I’d agree. But we didn’t do so bad and we now have Typhoon while France has, er… Rafale…

    I’d actually say drop Tornado
    I take your point but given the pitiful number of Typhoons, the Tornado fleet is a great additional asset already paid-for. The Harrier is/was a third asset but compared to Tornado and Typhoon, it’s clearly the least-important. Point is, we shouldn’t be in a situation where any choice should have to be made between the three. Sacrificing any of these fleets for a handful of F-35s is utterly ridiculous. It seemed plausible when we were indulging ourselves in romantic notions of a large F-35 fleet which was essentially designed to be a replacement for Harrier, but that’s not what is on offer now. It’s been reduced to a token buy which (like any token purchase) is therefore pointless.

    in reply to: The Ultimate Aviation Book? #1104936
    Chox
    Participant

    Adrian’s “Testing Colours” … personally I’ve enjoyed more hours looking at those pictures than any other book! (no prizes for guessing what aircraft types I find fascinating):D

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part III #2387414
    Chox
    Participant

    I think (as I’ve said before) some (not all) of you guys need to step back from the enthusiast magazines. It’s far too easy to wrap oneself up in the stuff that is peddled by pundits and manufacturers, whilst failing to understand the wider picture of reality and history.

    Fundamentally, the issue is whether Britain can defend itself. Clearly, by whatever standards one cares to choose, we are barely capable of defending the UK mainland even as we are. After SDR we will have even less capability. Fox (using the old and dangerously feeble “ten year rule”) claims there is no direct threat to Britain which warrants any major defensive posture. This is of course utter claptrap. Nobody has a clue what lays ahead.

    Instead, Fox is going to spin-doctor us into a brave new world in which Britain helps the US to police trouble spots around the world, equipped with our “formidable” force of maybe a dozen serviceable carrier aircraft. He will claim that all of these potential conflicts will be potential threats to Britain but like Afghanistan, only idiots will actually believe this rubbish. In order to conduct these future crusades, any credible means of defending the UK will have been destroyed, presumably for good.

    So, let’s hope that Fox’s crystal ball is an accurate one and that no serious threat to the UK emerges either in the short or long term future, given that we will have virtually no ability to do anything about it if it did. On the other hand, our politicians will still be able to proudly strut on the world stage, committing Britain (and people’s lives) to even more conflicts which have the right foreign policy flavour.

    Anyone with a few brain cells can see the utter folly of this situation and this is why hardly any MPs are willing to defend the carriers. Everyone knows what a ludicrous concept they are, but Fox (driven by the Navy’s appalling appetite for supremacy) is going to try his best to sell the idea to us this week. It would be funny if it wasn’t so tragic.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2387416
    Chox
    Participant

    Jonesy, it’s not about “losing an argument” at all. I don’t have any interest in winning an argument with you. Why would I?. I’m just pointing-out the realities of the situation. If you think you’re impressing anyone by trying to “nit-pick” through specific lines to try and score points, I’m afraid you’re not. Likewise, if you’re not bright-enough to understand what I’m saying, that’s fine, but resorting to childish comments achieves nothing and makes you look even sillier.

    I’m a military aerospace writer with thirty years of experience under my belt so it’s not as if I’m clutching abstract thoughts out of the air. I have friends who are senior officers in the Navy, so it’s not as if I have any proverbial axe to grind with regard to that service either. I’m just trying to explain the realities of the situation. If you can get your head out of the enthusiast magazines, stop believing every political sound bite you hear, then maybe you might get a grasp of what I’m trying to convey to you.

    In simple terms (and I’m sorry to others for this repetition), Britain could obviously make good use of a carrier force. But it is not essential and has not been essential since WWII. All of the “vital” engagements since then have not been vital at all, they have been conflicts of choice. Obviously, they might have been regarded as hugely important, but this viewpoint is inevitably related to how much money one has. Not surprisingly, engagements seem less important when they are too expensive to contemplate. This isn’t just my view, its accepted political wisdom too.

    Jonesy’s silly comments about Tornado aside, we are all aware of what an important and valuable asset Tornado is. Harrier is valuable too, but if the RAF is being presented with a stark choice between the two, it makes perfect sense to dump the Harrier. But the real crime here is that they should not have to make this choice. If we were not pouring phenomenal amounts of money into the carriers, no choice would have to be made.

    Ultimately, if we are to saddle ourselves with massive spending for many years on these carriers, we will ultimately get ourselves just one carrier sailing the seas, equipped with maybe a dozen fully operational and serviceable aircraft. By any standards this is nothing more than a token. A very nice token of course but one which we will have obtained at the cost of destroying our ability to defend the UK in any credible way. Fox evidently sees this as perfectly acceptable but as I’ve said before, history tells us that “ten year rule” arguments are foolhardy. Showboating around the world to join whatever conflict looks politically fashionable is fine if you can afford to do it. Point is we cannot, especially when our real defence capability will have been destroyed in order to achieve this ability.

    No matter how one looks at this saga, the carriers cannot be justified. Hardly any politicians can or will defend them as everybody knows what folly they are, given our current circumstances. Fox and his cronies will try to portray the SDR choices in the best light possible and the media will probably be stupid-enough to believe his comments. But make no mistake, this is an act of supreme stupidity, prompted by the Navy’s almost fanatical eagerness for perceived supremacy over the other services. It’s no way to run a country.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2387590
    Chox
    Participant

    We didn’t need to fight in Korea, or Malaya, or Kenya, or Aden

    Exactly – we didn’t.

    Which is precisely the strong point of carriers… the ability to flexibly respond to whatever comes up

    …and as I said that’s a list of infinite possibilities. Britain can’t afford to equip for every imaginable contingency. Far better (and affordable) to equip for the key risks. No point in funding carriers to conduct squabbles around the world when we have to leave the UK without any credible defence at all. But that’s precisely what Fox is going to achieve.

    the moment the contracts where signed they where going to be built in one form or another as it is more expensive to cut them than to build them

    …and what you fail to grasp is that the cost of operating them (and purchasing/operating the air assets on them) is out of all proportion to the cost of buying them or cancelling them. Britain would save a fortune by simply writing-off the carriers.

Viewing 15 posts - 301 through 315 (of 935 total)